Tombense and Noroeste face each other on Saturday 05.23.2026, at 22:00 (UK Time), in a Serie D 2026 match. The game will take place at Tombense's home ground, the Estádio Antônio Guimarães de Almeida (Almeidão).

Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Tombense Futebol Clube and Esporte Clube Noroeste, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.

APWin predictions for Tombense vs Noroeste

With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:

APWin Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.

👉 Our prediction is: Under 2.5 goals in the match

Based on our analysis, Tombense vs Noroeste looks like going to fall safely under 2.5 goals.

The statistics point to the match being more of a defensive struggle, with the two teams more likely to play cautiously than they are to go out and attack.

👉 Our prediction is: Tombense to win the 1st half

Tombense comes into their match with Noroeste with a lot going for them. Apart from being the superior side based on form and statistics, they also have the added advantage of being at home.

The odds for an outright home win on the 1X2 market are not that appealing, so we recommend taking Tombense to win the first half to get the most value out of your bet.

Tombense preview

Tombense heads into the match with the following record in the Serie D: in 7 matches, Tombense Futebol Clube secured 3 victories, 3 draws, and 1 losses, maintaining an average of 1.71 points per game.

Taking a broader look at Hawk's 2026 season, the team has achieved a total of 6 victories so far.

Tombense has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 21 goals, of which 9 were scored in the Serie D, resulting in an average of 1.29 goals per game.

Individually, the standout performer is Pedro Henrique de Oliveira, who has found the back of the net 4 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Júlio Henrique de Lacerda de Paula has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 1 assists.

On the defensive side, Tombense has conceded 4 goals in the Serie D (an average of 0.57 per game) and 18 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 0.95 per match in the 2026 campaign.

Noroeste preview

Noroeste comes into the game with 14 matches played so far in the Serie D. They have secured 4 victories, 4 draws, and 6 losses, maintaining an average of 1.14 points per game in the competition.

Across all competitions in the 2026 season, the team has recorded 9 wins, 11 draws, and 13 losses.

Esporte Clube Noroeste's attack has been highly effective, scoring 36 goals during this period. Of that total, 14 were netted in the Serie D, with an average of 1 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.09.

Norusca's offensive system is led by Carlos Henrique de Moura Brito, the team's top scorer this season. The brazilian forward has found the back of the net 5 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Diego Mathias de Almeida. The midfielder has contributed with 3 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 14 goals with an average of 1 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 40 goals in 33 matches, averaging 1.21 per match.

Head to head: Tombense vs Noroeste

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Home Team

Tombense Team Logo

Tombense

Brazil - Serie D

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W D D L D

1.2

Home W D W D L

1.6

Away D L D W L

1

Away Team

Noroeste Team Logo

Noroeste

Brazil - Serie D

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall D W W W W

2.6

Home D W W L D

1.6

Away W W L L L

1.2

Access all match stats for Tombense vs Noroeste

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Published on 23 May 2026, at 01:05 Last updated on 23 May 2026, at 06:13
Author: Amauri Barbosa

Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.