Toluca vs Necaxa | Prediction | Liga MX | 03/08

Mexico - Liga MX

3 - 1

02 Aug 2026 21:05

Toluca and Necaxa face each other on Monday 08.03.2026, at 02:05 (UK Time), in a Liga MX 2026/27 match. The game will take place at Toluca's home ground, the Estadio Nemesio Díez (La Bombonera).

Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Deportivo Toluca Fútbol Club S.A. de C.V. and Club Necaxa S.A. de C.V., grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.

APWin predictions for Toluca vs Necaxa

With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:

BTTS - Yes

Market: BTTS - Yes · @ 1.57

1.57

Confidence

64%

Last updated: 03-08-2026

The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.

Our prediction is: Necaxa win or draw

We feel strongly about Necaxa's chances of leaving with a point, or maybe even more. That is why our betting tip is Necaxa to win or draw on the Double Chance market.

Necaxa has shown considerable courage and determination in their recent away performances, while Toluca's form has not been the most convincing. So while an away win might be too much to ask for, Necaxa is more than capable of collecting a point in this match.

Our prediction is: Under 2.5 goals in the match

It's hard to see too many goals in this match between Toluca and Necaxa given their lack of goalscoring ability.

That is why we project the total to go under 2.5 goals. So if 2 or fewer goals are scored, the bet wins.

Toluca preview

Toluca heads into the match with the following record in the Liga MX: in 2 matches, Deportivo Toluca Fútbol Club S.A. de C.V. secured 1 victories, 0 draws, and 1 losses, maintaining an average of 1.5 points per game.

Taking a broader look at The Red Devils's 2026/27 season, the team has achieved a total of 24 victories so far.

Toluca has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 84 goals, of which 3 were scored in the Liga MX, resulting in an average of 1.5 goals per game.

Individually, the standout performer is José Paulo Bezerra Maciel Júnior, who has found the back of the net 21 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 12 assists.

On the defensive side, Toluca has conceded 2 goals in the Liga MX (an average of 1 per game) and 46 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.02 per match in the 2026/27 campaign.

Toluca's Latest Results

Necaxa preview

Necaxa comes into the game with 2 matches played so far in the Liga MX. They have secured 2 victories, 0 draws, and 0 losses, maintaining an average of 3 points per game in the competition.

Across all competitions in the 2026/27 season, the team has recorded 11 wins, 8 draws, and 18 losses.

Club Necaxa S.A. de C.V.'s attack has been highly effective, scoring 48 goals during this period. Of that total, 4 were netted in the Liga MX, with an average of 2 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.3.

The Lightning Bolts's offensive system is led by Diber Cambindo, the team's top scorer this season. The colombian forward has found the back of the net 14 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Agustín Palavecino. The midfielder has contributed with 5 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 2 goals with an average of 1 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 62 goals in 37 matches, averaging 1.68 per match.

Necaxa's Latest Results