Toluca and Monterrey face each other in an official match of the 2025/26 Liga MX season. The game takes place at Estadio Nemesio DĂez on Thursday, 25/09/2025, at 03:05 (UK Time).
Our experts have prepared predictions for Toluca vs Monterrey, based on detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.
APWin predictions for Toluca vs Monterrey
The top bookmakers have set the odds, and our team has analyzed all relevant match data. See our expert match prediction below:
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals
APWin experts have analyzed the main betting markets and selected high-value bets.
Toluca preview
Toluca comes into the match having played 9 games in the Liga MX so far. They have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with an average of 2.11 points per game in the tournament.
In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 8 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses.
Toluca's attack has scored 28 goals during this period. Out of this total, 22 goals were scored in the Liga MX, averaging 2.44 goals per match. The season's average stands at 2.55.
The offense system of Toluca is led by JesĂşs Daniel Gallardo Vasconcelos as the top scorer of the season. The mexican midfielder has scored 3 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas, who has contributed with 6 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 11 goals with an average of 1.22 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 13 goals conceded in 11 matches, resulting in an average of 1.18.
Monterrey preview
On the other hand, Monterrey comes into the match having played 9 games in the Liga MX so far. They have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with an average of 2.44 points per game in the tournament.
In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 7 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses.
Monterrey's attack has scored 20 goals during this period. Out of this total, 20 goals were scored in the Liga MX, averaging 2.22 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.82.
The offense system of Monterrey is led by Sergio Canales as the top scorer of the season. The spanish midfielder has scored 6 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Lucas Ocampos, who has contributed with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 11 goals with an average of 1.22 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 17 goals conceded in 11 matches, resulting in an average of 1.55.
Head to head: Toluca vs MonterreyÂ
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Home Team
Toluca
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W L D |
2.11 |
| Home | W D L W |
1.75 |
| Away | W W L W W |
2.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 67% | 50% | 80% |
| Goals | 3.67 | 4.25 | 3.2 |
| Scored | 2.44 | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| Conceded | 1.22 | 1.75 | 0.8 |
| Both Teams to Score | 67% | 100% | 40% |
| Without Conceding | 22% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| 1st to Score | 56% | 50% | 60% |
|
xG
|
1.77 | 2.14 | 1.41 |
|
xGA
|
1.16 | 1.03 | 1.3 |
Away Team
Monterrey
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D W W W W |
2.44 |
| Home | D W W W |
2.5 |
| Away | W W W W L |
2.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 78% | 75% | 80% |
| Goals | 3.44 | 4 | 3 |
| Scored | 2.22 | 2.75 | 1.8 |
| Conceded | 1.22 | 1.25 | 1.2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 56% | 75% | 40% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 25% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| 1st to Score | 56% | 50% | 60% |
|
xG
|
1.62 | 1.68 | 1.57 |
|
xGA
|
1.2 | 1.39 | 1.02 |
Access all match stats for Toluca vs Monterrey
Where to watch Toluca vs Monterrey live?
Check out the live stream of Toluca vs Monterrey below and follow the match in real time.
