Querétaro vs Toluca | Prediction | Liga MX | 22/08

Mexico - Liga MX

1 - 2

21 Aug 2026 23:10

Querétaro and Toluca face each other on Saturday 08.22.2026, at 04:10 (UK Time), in a Liga MX 2026/27 match. The game will take place at Querétaro's home ground, the Estadio Corregidora (El Coloso del Cimatario).

Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Querétaro Fútbol Club S.A. de C.V. and Deportivo Toluca Fútbol Club S.A. de C.V., grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.

APWin predictions for Querétaro vs Toluca

With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:

Double Chance: Querétaro or Draw

Market: Double Chance: Querétaro or Draw · @ 1.95

1.95

Confidence

78%

Last updated: 18-08-2026

The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.

Our prediction is: Toluca to win the 1st half

Toluca will travel looking for a win against Querétaro. Even as the away side, expect Toluca to be the primary aggressor in this match.

With Querétaro hardly in the best of form of late, Toluca has the perfect opportunity to capture a half-time lead on their way to a win. So our betting tip is for Toluca to win the first half.

Our prediction is: Both teams don't score

Defensive solidity should prove to be a major factor in this matchup. Both teams' backlines are rock solid, so scoring chances will be hard to come by.

As such, there is decent value to be had in betting 'no' on the Both Teams to Score market.

Querétaro preview

Querétaro heads into the match with the following record in the Liga MX: in 4 matches, Querétaro Fútbol Club S.A. de C.V. secured 2 victories, 1 draws, and 1 losses, maintaining an average of 1.75 points per game.

Taking a broader look at The White Roosters's 2026/27 season, the team has achieved a total of 12 victories so far.

Querétaro has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 42 goals, of which 5 were scored in the Liga MX, resulting in an average of 1.25 goals per game.

Individually, the standout performer is Ali Ávila Vega, who has found the back of the net 11 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Lucas Rodríguez has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 5 assists.

On the defensive side, Querétaro has conceded 4 goals in the Liga MX (an average of 1 per game) and 56 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.44 per match in the 2026/27 campaign.

Toluca preview

Toluca comes into the game with 4 matches played so far in the Liga MX. They have secured 2 victories, 1 draws, and 1 losses, maintaining an average of 1.75 points per game in the competition.

Across all competitions in the 2026/27 season, the team has recorded 25 wins, 12 draws, and 10 losses.

Deportivo Toluca Fútbol Club S.A. de C.V.'s attack has been highly effective, scoring 86 goals during this period. Of that total, 6 were netted in the Liga MX, with an average of 1.5 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.83.

The Red Devils's offensive system is led by José Paulo Bezerra Maciel Júnior, the team's top scorer this season. The portuguese forward has found the back of the net 21 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas. The forward has contributed with 12 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 3 goals with an average of 0.75 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 47 goals in 47 matches, averaging 1 per match.

Head to head: Querétaro vs Toluca

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Querétaro

Home

DWWLW
VS

Toluca

Away

DWLWL

Points & Results

  • 1.75
    PPG
    1.75
  • 50%
    Wins
    50%
  • 25%
    First to Score
    75%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.25
    Scored/game
    1.50
  • 1
    Conceded/game
    0.75
  • 1.37
    xG
    1.88
  • 1.73
    xGA
    1.16

Trends

  • 50%
    Both Score
    50%
  • 25%
    Clean Sheet
    50%
  • 50%
    Failed to Score
    25%

Access all match stats for Querétaro vs Toluca

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Published: 19 Aug 2026
Updated: 20 Oct 2026