The kick off for the match between Puebla and Toluca will take place at 01:00 (UK time) - Saturday, 01/31 - at the Estadio Cuauhtémoc. This clash of the 2025/26 Liga MX looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for Puebla vs Toluca. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Puebla vs Toluca
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Correct Score: 2 - 0
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Puebla preview
Puebla has played 20 matches in the Liga MX so far, with 4 wins, 3 draws, and 13 losses. This results in an average of 0.75 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 13 losses. Puebla's attack has scored 23 goals, 23 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.15 goals per league match and 1.15 goals per match across the entire season.
Emiliano Gómez Dutra is the team’s top scorer with 6 goals, while Ricardo Marín Sánchez leads the team in assists with 4. Defensively, Puebla has conceded 45 goals in the league (an average of 2.25) and 45 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 2.25 over 20 matches).
Toluca preview
In 26 Liga MX matches, Toluca has recorded 16 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with an average of 2.08 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 16 wins in 26 matches. The team has scored 54 goals, 54 of them in the Liga MX (an average of 2.08 goals per match), with José Paulo Bezerra Maciel Júnior being the team's top scorer with 15 goals and Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas providing 10 assists.
Defensively, Toluca has conceded 25 goals in the league and 25 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 0.96 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Puebla vs Toluca
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Puebla
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W L W L |
1.2 |
| Home | W L W L D |
1.4 |
| Away | L L W D L |
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 33% | 9% |
| Goals | 3.4 | 3.67 | 3.18 |
| Scored | 1.15 | 1.44 | 0.91 |
| Conceded | 2.25 | 2.22 | 2.27 |
| Both Teams to Score | 55% | 56% | 55% |
| Without Conceding | 10% | 11% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 33% | 45% |
| 1st to Score | 30% | 33% | 27% |
|
xG
|
1.32 | 1.51 | 1.15 |
|
xGA
|
1.56 | 1.31 | 1.78 |
Toluca
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D W W W L |
2 |
| Home | W W W D W |
2.6 |
| Away | D W L L W |
1.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 62% | 69% | 54% |
| Goals | 3.04 | 3.92 | 2.15 |
| Scored | 2.08 | 2.69 | 1.46 |
| Conceded | 0.96 | 1.23 | 0.69 |
| Both Teams to Score | 54% | 77% | 31% |
| Without Conceding | 35% | 23% | 46% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 8% | 46% |
| 1st to Score | 30% | 54% | 38% |
|
xG
|
1.79 | 2.1 | 1.42 |
|
xGA
|
1.1 | 1.13 | 1.07 |
Access all match stats for Puebla vs Toluca
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I’m a journalist and content creator with over 7 years of experience in sports betting. At APWin, I live football and betting markets, and outside the screen I’m also a marathon runner always chasing performance.