Progreso and Deportivo Maldonado face each other on Sunday 08.16.2026, at 15:00 (UK Time), in a Primera División 2026 match. The game will take place at Progreso's home ground, the Estadio Parque Abraham Paladino (Parque Paladino).
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Club Atlético Progreso and Club Deportivo Maldonado, S.A.D., grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
BTTS - Yes
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Progreso preview
Progreso heads into the match with the following record in the Primera División: in 23 matches, Club Atlético Progreso secured 4 victories, 4 draws, and 15 losses, maintaining an average of 0.7 points per game.
Taking a broader look at The Gauchos of the Pantanoso's 2026 season, the team has achieved a total of 4 victories so far.
Progreso has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 18 goals, of which 18 were scored in the Primera División, resulting in an average of 0.78 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Elvis Nahuel López Barboza, who has found the back of the net 3 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Facundo Kidd Álvarez has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 2 assists.
On the defensive side, Progreso has conceded 35 goals in the Primera División (an average of 1.52 per game) and 35 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.52 per match in the 2026 campaign.
Deportivo Maldonado preview
Deportivo Maldonado comes into the game with 23 matches played so far in the Primera División. They have secured 12 victories, 6 draws, and 5 losses, maintaining an average of 1.83 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026 season, the team has recorded 12 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses.
Club Deportivo Maldonado, S.A.D.'s attack has been highly effective, scoring 38 goals during this period. Of that total, 38 were netted in the Primera División, with an average of 1.65 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.65.
The Green-and-Red's offensive system is led by Christian Alejandro Tabó Hornos, the team's top scorer this season. The uruguayan forward has found the back of the net 7 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Matías Espíndola. The midfielder has contributed with 3 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 24 goals with an average of 1.04 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 24 goals in 23 matches, averaging 1.04 per match.
Head to head: Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Progreso
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L W L L |
0.6 |
| Home | W L L L W |
1.2 |
| Away | L L L W L |
0.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 17% | 18% | 17% |
| Goals | 2.3 | 2.55 | 2.08 |
| Scored | 0.78 | 0.91 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1.52 | 1.64 | 1.42 |
| Both Teams to Score | 43% | 45% | 42% |
| Without Conceding | 9% | 9% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 48% | 45% | 50% |
| 1st to Score | 22% | 27% | 17% |
|
xG
|
1.17 | 1.18 | 1.16 |
|
xGA
|
1.5 | 1.46 | 1.53 |
Deportivo Maldonado
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D D L D W |
1.2 |
| Home | D D D W W |
1.8 |
| Away | L W D W D |
1.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 52% | 67% | 36% |
| Goals | 2.7 | 2.67 | 2.73 |
| Scored | 1.65 | 1.83 | 1.45 |
| Conceded | 1.04 | 0.83 | 1.27 |
| Both Teams to Score | 61% | 58% | 64% |
| Without Conceding | 35% | 42% | 27% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 8% | 18% |
| 1st to Score | 22% | 67% | 55% |
|
xG
|
1.43 | 1.5 | 1.35 |
|
xGA
|
1.24 | 1.21 | 1.28 |
Access all match stats for Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado
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Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.