Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio
Uruguay - Primera División
Deportivo Maldonado are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.12 overall shots and 1.4 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.58 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.
Result Probability
The result market leans toward Deportivo Maldonado at 54%. The points profile supports that read: Deportivo Maldonado average 2.24 PPG and Danubio average 0.71 PPG in the comparable split.
- 18/05/2026, 21:30Primera DivisiónDeportivo Maldonado3 - 1Danubio18/05/2026, 21:30Primera DivisiónDeportivo Maldonado
3 - 1
Danubio - 19/04/2026, 19:00Primera DivisiónDanubio1 - 1Deportivo Maldonado19/04/2026, 19:00Primera DivisiónDanubio
1 - 1
Deportivo Maldonado - 02/12/2024, 22:00Primera DivisiónDeportivo Maldonado3 - 1Danubio02/12/2024, 22:00Primera DivisiónDeportivo Maldonado
3 - 1
Danubio - 03/06/2024, 18:00Primera DivisiónDanubio1 - 1Deportivo Maldonado03/06/2024, 18:00Primera DivisiónDanubio
1 - 1
Deportivo Maldonado - 06/11/2023, 22:00Primera DivisiónDeportivo Maldonado1 - 2Danubio06/11/2023, 22:00Primera DivisiónDeportivo Maldonado
1 - 2
Danubio
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Average
2.29League 2.37
Over 2.5 Goals
Below average
39%League 44%
Both Teams Score
Average
47%League 50%
Cards
Average
5.55League 5.91
Corners
Average
9.40League 9.02
Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Danubio average 8.64 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.02, which points to sustained attacking territory.
Over / Under
0.5
1+ gol
OVER85%UNDER15%1.5
2+ gol
OVER60%UNDER40%2.5
3+ gol
OVER20%UNDER80%3.5
4+ gol
OVER10%UNDER90%
The recent scoring sample is stronger for Under 3.5 at 90% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.
Team Performance
Deportivo Maldonado
Home
Danubio
Away
Points & Results
- 1.79PPG0.97
- 52%Wins18%
- 58%First to Score45%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.580.82
- Conceded/game0.941.24
- xG1.401.27
- xGA1.271.32
Trends
- 48%Both Score45%
- 42%Clean Sheet24%
- 19/10/2026, 23:00Primera DivisiónNacional3 - 2LDeportivo Maldonado19/10/2026, 23:00Primera DivisiónNacional
3 - 2
Deportivo MaldonadoL - 09/10/2026, 23:00Primera DivisiónDeportivo Maldonado1 - 1DLiverpool de Montevideo09/10/2026, 23:00Primera DivisiónDeportivo Maldonado
1 - 1
Liverpool de MontevideoD - 03/10/2026, 21:00Primera DivisiónDeportivo Maldonado3 - 0WCentral Español03/10/2026, 21:00Primera DivisiónDeportivo Maldonado
3 - 0
Central EspañolW - 27/09/2026, 00:30Primera DivisiónMontevideo City Torque0 - 2WDeportivo Maldonado27/09/2026, 00:30Primera DivisiónMontevideo City Torque
0 - 2
Deportivo MaldonadoW - 19/09/2026, 21:30Primera DivisiónDeportivo Maldonado2 - 0WCerro Largo19/09/2026, 21:30Primera DivisiónDeportivo Maldonado
2 - 0
Cerro LargoW - 13/09/2026, 19:00Primera DivisiónDefensor Sporting1 - 0LDeportivo Maldonado13/09/2026, 19:00Primera DivisiónDefensor Sporting
1 - 0
Deportivo MaldonadoL - 05/09/2026, 21:00Primera DivisiónDeportivo Maldonado2 - 0WWanderers05/09/2026, 21:00Primera DivisiónDeportivo Maldonado
2 - 0
WanderersW
Deportivo Maldonado scored in 6/7 recent form matches and averaged 1.71 goals.
- 18/10/2026, 18:00Primera DivisiónDanubio1 - 0WCentral Español18/10/2026, 18:00Primera DivisiónDanubio
1 - 0
Central EspañolW - 09/10/2026, 20:00Primera DivisiónMontevideo City Torque1 - 0LDanubio09/10/2026, 20:00Primera DivisiónMontevideo City Torque
1 - 0
DanubioL - 04/10/2026, 13:00Primera DivisiónDanubio2 - 1WCerro Largo04/10/2026, 13:00Primera DivisiónDanubio
2 - 1
Cerro LargoW - 27/09/2026, 21:00Primera DivisiónDefensor Sporting1 - 0LDanubio27/09/2026, 21:00Primera DivisiónDefensor Sporting
1 - 0
DanubioL - 20/09/2026, 16:00Primera DivisiónDanubio1 - 1DWanderers20/09/2026, 16:00Primera DivisiónDanubio
1 - 1
WanderersD - 13/09/2026, 16:00Primera DivisiónJuventud de Las Piedras1 - 1DDanubio13/09/2026, 16:00Primera DivisiónJuventud de Las Piedras
1 - 1
DanubioD - 05/09/2026, 18:00Primera DivisiónDanubio0 - 4LPeñarol05/09/2026, 18:00Primera DivisiónDanubio
0 - 4
PeñarolL
Danubio scored in 4/7 recent form matches and averaged 0.71 goals.
Deportivo Maldonado is +93% better in terms of Scored/game
Deportivo Maldonado is +32% better in terms of Conceded/game
Deportivo Maldonado is +10% better in terms of xG
Deportivo Maldonado is +4% better in terms of xGA
Deportivo Maldonado is +20% better in terms of First-Half Form
Danubio is +12% better in terms of Offsides
Deportivo Maldonado is +1% better in terms of Corners
Deportivo Maldonado is +20% better in terms of Cards
Deportivo Maldonado is +23% better in terms of Shots on Target
Starting
Deportivo Maldonado
Substitutes
Deportivo Maldonado
| # | Form | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group 1 | |||||||||||
| 1 | Peñarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 16 | ||
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 | ||
| 3 | Racing de Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 10 | ||
| 4 | Central Español | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 | ||
| 5 | Liverpool de Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 | ||
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 9 | ||
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 | ||
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 | ||
| Group 2 | |||||||||||
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 15 | ||
| 2 | Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 | ||
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 12 | ||
| 4 | Montevideo City Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 | ||
| 5 | Juventud de Las Piedras | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 | ||
| 6 | Albion | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 | ||
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 | ||
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | ||
Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio: Statistics and Analysis - Primera División 2026
On this page you can check all the key statistics for Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
This Primera División match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 23:30.
The venue is Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel.
The fixture is part of game week 12th of the Primera División season. Deportivo Maldonado currently sits in position 3rd of the Primera División table. Danubio occupies position 8th.
Stat Probabilities for Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio at 47%.
Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Deportivo Maldonado and Danubio point to a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.
Over 4.5 cards: Deportivo Maldonado's matches have produced 5 or more total cards 71% of the time.
Over 4.5 cards: Danubio's matches have produced 5 or more total cards 71% of the time.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio prediction page.
Who is the favorite in Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio?
According to the latest match odds, Deportivo Maldonado is the favorite at 2.04 an implied probability of about 49.02%. The full 1X2 market has Deportivo Maldonado at 2.04, the draw at 3.65, and Danubio at 4.2.
Overall performance in the Primera División
Deportivo Maldonado's record so far reads 17W-8D-8L from 33 played a win rate of 52% at 1.79 points per game.
Danubio stands at 6W-14D-13L from 33 played, winning 18% of their matches at 0.97 points per game.
In their last five, Deportivo Maldonado has gone 3W-1D-1L, averaging 2 points per game.
Danubio's last five read 2W-1D-2L, at 1.4 points per game.
At home, Deportivo Maldonado has a 65% win rate (11W-5D-1L from 17 played).
On the road, Danubio has won 12% of their matches (2W-6D-9L from 17 played).
Goal statistics for Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio
In attack, Deportivo Maldonado averages 1.58 goals scored per game in the Primera División (52 in total), while conceding 0.94 per game (31 in total).
Danubio averages 0.82 goals scored per game (27 in total) and 1.24 conceded per game (41 in total).
Deportivo Maldonado's top scorer this season is Christian Alejandro Tabó Hornos, with 10 goals.
For Danubio, Mateo Gabriel Peralta Píriz leads the scoring charts with 6 goals this season.
Deportivo Maldonado's main creator is Matías Espíndola, with 3 assists.
Maicol Sebastián Ferreira Soppi tops the Danubio assist chart with 4.
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Head-to-head: Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado and Danubio have met 11 times in recent years. The record:
Deportivo Maldonado wins: 2
Draws: 6
Danubio wins: 3
Frequently asked questions about Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio
When is Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio?
The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 23:30.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Maldonado and Danubio?
Across their last 11 meetings the record is 2-6-3 (Deportivo Maldonado wins – draws – Danubio wins).
What was the last match between Deportivo Maldonado and Danubio?
The two sides last met on 18/05/2026, and the result was Deportivo Maldonado 3 vs 1 Danubio. Full details: Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio, 18/05/2026.
Who is the favorite in Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio?
Deportivo Maldonado is the favorite at odds of 2.04, an implied probability of about 49.02%. Deportivo Maldonado is priced at 2.04, the draw at 3.65 and Danubio at 4.2.
Where can I find a Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio prediction?
You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio prediction page.
Where can I find Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio stats?
All key statistics for Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio are on this page, updated in real time.
Where can I watch Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio?
Live streaming information is available on our Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio stream page.