Progreso vs Danubio | Prediction | Primera División | 29/08
Uruguay - Primera División
Progreso and Danubio face each other in an official match of the 2026 Primera División season. The game takes place at Estadio Parque Abraham Paladino (Parque Paladino) on Saturday, 29/08/2026, at 15:00 (UK Time).
Our experts have prepared predictions for Club Atlético Progreso vs Danubio Fútbol Club, based on a detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.
APWin predictions for Progreso vs Danubio
The top bookmakers have set the odds, and our team has analysed all relevant match data. See our expert match prediction below:
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals
Market: 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals · @ 1.27
Last updated: 26-08-2026
APWin experts have analysed the main betting markets and selected high-value bets.
Our prediction is: under 9.5 corners
After analysing the odds in the different markets, our best betting tip for this match is on the corners market and taking the total to go under 9.5 corners.
We anticipate Progreso vs Danubio to be quite a controlled match with the main action concentrated in the middle of the pitch. That should limit the number of opportunities for corners, and so the odds of 1.34 for 9 corners or fewer looks quite attractive.
The Gauchos of the Pantanoso preview
Progreso comes into the match having played 25 games in the Primera División so far. They have recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 17 losses, with an average of 0.64 points per game in the tournament.
In the 2026 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 4 wins, 4 draws, and 17 losses.
Progreso's attack has scored 18 goals during this period. Out of this total, 18 goals were scored in the Primera División, averaging 0.72 goals per match. The season's average stands at 0.72.
The offence system of Progreso is led by Elvis Nahuel López Barboza as the top scorer of the season. The uruguayan forward has scored 3 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Facundo Kidd Álvarez, who has contributed with 2 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 38 goals with an average of 1.52 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 38 goals conceded in 25 matches, resulting in an average of 1.52.
- 17/10/2026ProgresoJuventud de Las PiedrasW2017/10/2026Primera DivisiónProgreso
v.s
Juventud de Las Piedras2 - 0W - 10/10/2026PeñarolProgresoD1110/10/2026Primera DivisiónPeñarol
v.s
Progreso1 - 1D - 03/10/2026Liverpool de MontevideoProgresoL3203/10/2026Primera DivisiónLiverpool de Montevideo
v.s
Progreso3 - 2L - 26/09/2026ProgresoRacing de MontevideoW2126/09/2026Primera DivisiónProgreso
v.s
Racing de Montevideo2 - 1W - 19/09/2026Boston RiverProgresoW1219/09/2026Primera DivisiónBoston River
v.s
Progreso1 - 2W
The Strip preview
On the other hand, Danubio comes into the match having played 25 games in the Primera División so far. They have recorded 4 wins, 12 draws, and 9 losses, with an average of 0.96 points per game in the tournament.
In the 2026 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 4 wins, 12 draws, and 9 losses.
Danubio's attack has scored 22 goals during this period. Out of this total, 22 goals were scored in the Primera División, averaging 0.88 goals per match. The season's average stands at 0.88.
The offence system of Danubio is led by Mateo Gabriel Peralta Píriz as the top scorer of the season. The uruguayan midfielder has scored 4 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Maicol Sebastián Ferreira Soppi, who has contributed with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 31 goals with an average of 1.24 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 31 goals conceded in 25 matches, resulting in an average of 1.24.
- 18/10/2026DanubioCentral EspañolW1018/10/2026Primera DivisiónDanubio
v.s
Central Español1 - 0W - 09/10/2026Montevideo City TorqueDanubioL1009/10/2026Primera DivisiónMontevideo City Torque
v.s
Danubio1 - 0L - 04/10/2026DanubioCerro LargoW2104/10/2026Primera DivisiónDanubio
v.s
Cerro Largo2 - 1W - 27/09/2026Defensor SportingDanubioL1027/09/2026Primera DivisiónDefensor Sporting
v.s
Danubio1 - 0L - 20/09/2026DanubioWanderersD1120/09/2026Primera DivisiónDanubio
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Wanderers1 - 1D
Head to head: Progreso vs Danubio
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Progreso
Home
Danubio
Away
Points & Results
- PPG0.640.96
- 16%Wins16%
- 20%First to Score48%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game0.720.88
- Conceded/game1.521.24
- xG1.151.25
- xGA1.461.32
Trends
- 40%Both Score48%
- 8%Clean Sheet28%
- 52%Failed to Score44%
Access all match stats for Progreso vs Danubio
Where to watch Progreso vs Danubio live?
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Progreso vs Danubio
Likely Scores
| # | Score | Probability | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 - 1 | 14.56% | |
| 2 | 0 - 0 | 11.49% | |
| 3 | 0 - 1 | 10.96% | |
| 4 | 1 - 0 | 9.64% | |
| 5 | 1 - 2 | 8.00% | |
| 6 | 0 - 2 | 7.42% | |
| 7 | 2 - 1 | 7.13% | |
| 8 | 2 - 0 | 5.91% | |
| 9 | 2 - 2 | 4.31% | |
| 10 | 1 - 3 | 3.22% | |
| 11 | 0 - 3 | 2.99% | |
| 12 | 3 - 1 | 2.56% |