Nacional and Progreso face each other on Sunday 08.23.2026, at 22:30 (UK Time), in a Primera División 2026 match. The game will take place at Nacional's home ground, the Estadio Gran Parque Central.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Club Nacional de Football and Club Atlético Progreso, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Nacional vs Progreso
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
BTTS - Yes
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Nacional preview
Nacional heads into the match with the following record in the Primera División: in 24 matches, Club Nacional de Football secured 11 victories, 2 draws, and 11 losses, maintaining an average of 1.46 points per game.
Taking a broader look at The Pocket's 2026 season, the team has achieved a total of 14 victories so far.
Nacional has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 44 goals, of which 35 were scored in the Primera División, resulting in an average of 1.46 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Maxi Gómez, who has found the back of the net 11 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Christian Gabriel Oliva Giménez has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 2 assists.
On the defensive side, Nacional has conceded 33 goals in the Primera División (an average of 1.38 per game) and 46 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.44 per match in the 2026 campaign.
Progreso preview
Progreso comes into the game with 24 matches played so far in the Primera División. They have secured 4 victories, 4 draws, and 16 losses, maintaining an average of 0.67 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026 season, the team has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 16 losses.
Club Atlético Progreso's attack has been highly effective, scoring 18 goals during this period. Of that total, 18 were netted in the Primera División, with an average of 0.75 goals per game. The overall season average is 0.75.
The Gauchos of the Pantanoso's offensive system is led by Elvis Nahuel López Barboza, the team's top scorer this season. The uruguayan forward has found the back of the net 3 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Facundo Kidd Álvarez. The defender has contributed with 2 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 37 goals with an average of 1.54 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 37 goals in 24 matches, averaging 1.54 per match.
Head to head: Nacional vs Progreso
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Nacional
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L W W L |
1.2 |
| Home | L W L L W |
1.2 |
| Away | L W D L W |
1.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 46% | 50% | 42% |
| Goals | 2.83 | 2.42 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 1.46 | 1.5 | 1.42 |
| Conceded | 1.38 | 0.92 | 1.83 |
| Both Teams to Score | 58% | 50% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 25% | 33% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 17% | 25% |
| 1st to Score | 42% | 50% | 33% |
|
xG
|
1.5 | 1.64 | 1.37 |
|
xGA
|
1.05 | 0.88 | 1.22 |
Progreso
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L L W L |
0.6 |
| Home | L W L L L |
0.6 |
| Away | L L L W L |
0.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Goals | 2.29 | 2.5 | 2.08 |
| Scored | 0.75 | 0.83 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1.54 | 1.67 | 1.42 |
| Both Teams to Score | 42% | 42% | 42% |
| Without Conceding | 8% | 8% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 1st to Score | 42% | 25% | 17% |
|
xG
|
1.16 | 1.17 | 1.16 |
|
xGA
|
1.48 | 1.43 | 1.53 |
Access all match stats for Nacional vs Progreso
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Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.