The kick off for the match between Nacional and Defensor Sporting will take place at 20:30 (UK time) - Sunday, 09/20 - at the Estadio Gran Parque Central. This clash of the 2026 Primera División looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis, including predictions for Club Nacional de Football vs Defensor Sporting Club. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Nacional vs Defensor Sporting
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
APWin Prediction
APWin Prediction
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Nacional Preview
Nacional has played 28 matches in the Primera División so far, with 13 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses. This results in an average of 1.54 points per match.
In the 2026 season, the team has recorded 16 wins, 6 draws, and 14 losses. Nacional's attack has scored 49 goals, 40 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.43 goals per league match and 1.36 goals per match across the entire season.
Maxi Gómez is the team’s top scorer with 11 goals, while Christian Gabriel Oliva Giménez leads the team in assists with 2. Defensively, The Pocket has conceded 36 goals in the league (an average of 1.29) and 49 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.36 over 36 matches).
Defensor Sporting preview
In 28 Primera División matches, Defensor Sporting has recorded 7 wins, 11 draws, and 10 losses, with an average of 1.14 points per game.
In the 2026 season, the team has 7 wins in 29 matches. The team has scored 23 goals, 23 of them in the Primera División (an average of 0.82 goals per match), with Brian Guillermo Montenegro Benítez being the team's top scorer with 7 goals and Lucas Agazzi Galeano providing 3 assists.
Defensively, The One-Eyed has conceded 30 goals in the league and 31 in the 2026 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.07 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Nacional vs Defensor Sporting
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Nacional
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D D W W L |
1.6 |
| Home | D W L W L |
1.4 |
| Away | D W L W D |
1.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 46% | 50% | 43% |
| Goals | 2.71 | 2.43 | 3 |
| Scored | 1.43 | 1.5 | 1.36 |
| Conceded | 1.29 | 0.93 | 1.64 |
| Both Teams to Score | 57% | 50% | 64% |
| Without Conceding | 29% | 36% | 21% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 14% | 21% |
| 1st to Score | 46% | 50% | 43% |
|
xG
|
1.45 | 1.58 | 1.32 |
|
xGA
|
1.06 | 0.92 | 1.21 |
Defensor Sporting
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W D L D L |
1 |
| Home | W L L L W |
1.2 |
| Away | D D D D L |
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 25% | 40% | 8% |
| Goals | 1.89 | 2.13 | 1.62 |
| Scored | 0.82 | 0.93 | 0.69 |
| Conceded | 1.07 | 1.2 | 0.92 |
| Both Teams to Score | 54% | 47% | 62% |
| Without Conceding | 25% | 33% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 32% | 27% | 38% |
| 1st to Score | 46% | 40% | 38% |
|
xG
|
1.49 | 1.68 | 1.27 |
|
xGA
|
1.56 | 1.55 | 1.57 |
Access all match stats for Nacional vs Defensor Sporting
Where to watch The Pocket vs The One-Eyed live?
Check out the live stream of Nacional vs Defensor Sporting below and follow the match in real time.
Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.