Nacional and Cerro face each other on Sunday 05.10.2026, at 23:30 (UK Time), in a Primera División 2026 match. The game will take place at Nacional's home ground, the Estadio Gran Parque Central.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Club Nacional de Football and Club Atlético Cerro, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Nacional vs Cerro
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Over 2.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Nacional preview
Nacional heads into the match with the following record in the Primera División: in 14 matches, Club Nacional de Football secured 6 victories, 1 draws, and 7 losses, maintaining an average of 1.36 points per game.
Taking a broader look at The Pocket's 2026 season, the team has achieved a total of 7 victories so far.
Nacional has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 28 goals, of which 22 were scored in the Primera División, resulting in an average of 1.57 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Maxi Gómez, who has found the back of the net 7 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Christian Gabriel Oliva Giménez has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 2 assists.
On the defensive side, Nacional has conceded 21 goals in the Primera División (an average of 1.5 per game) and 30 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.67 per match in the 2026 campaign.
Cerro preview
Cerro comes into the game with 14 matches played so far in the Primera División. They have secured 2 victories, 4 draws, and 8 losses, maintaining an average of 0.71 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026 season, the team has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses.
Club Atlético Cerro's attack has been highly effective, scoring 8 goals during this period. Of that total, 8 were netted in the Primera División, with an average of 0.57 goals per game. The overall season average is 0.57.
The Villagers's offensive system is led by Alejo Agustín Macelli, the team's top scorer this season. The argentinian midfielder has found the back of the net 3 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Brahian Milton Alemán Athaydes. The midfielder has contributed with 1 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 20 goals with an average of 1.43 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 20 goals in 14 matches, averaging 1.43 per match.
Head to head: Nacional vs Cerro
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Nacional
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L L L W |
0.6 |
| Home | L W L W W |
1.8 |
| Away | L L L W L |
0.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 43% | 33% | 50% |
| Goals | 3.07 | 2 | 3.88 |
| Scored | 1.57 | 1.17 | 1.88 |
| Conceded | 1.5 | 0.83 | 2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 64% | 33% | 88% |
| Without Conceding | 21% | 33% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 33% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 43% | 33% | 50% |
|
xG
|
1.55 | 1.78 | 1.39 |
|
xGA
|
1.11 | 0.95 | 1.24 |
Cerro
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L D D W |
1 |
| Home | L D W W L |
1.4 |
| Away | L D L L L |
0.2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Goals | 2 | 1.38 | 2.83 |
| Scored | 0.57 | 0.63 | 0.5 |
| Conceded | 1.43 | 0.75 | 2.33 |
| Both Teams to Score | 43% | 38% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 38% | 50% |
| 1st to Score | 43% | 63% | 17% |
|
xG
|
1.3 | 1.26 | 1.36 |
|
xGA
|
1.39 | 1.27 | 1.57 |
Access all match stats for Nacional vs Cerro
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