Joinville and Guarany de Bagé face each other on Saturday 05.30.2026, at 20:00 (UK Time), in a Serie D 2026 match. The game will take place at Joinville's home ground, the Estádio do JEC (Arena Joinville).
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Joinville Esporte Clube and Guarany Futebol Clube, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Joinville vs Guarany de Bagé
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Joinville Win
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Joinville preview
Joinville heads into the match with the following record in the Serie D: in 8 matches, Joinville Esporte Clube secured 3 victories, 3 draws, and 2 losses, maintaining an average of 1.5 points per game.
Taking a broader look at JEC's 2026 season, the team has achieved a total of 5 victories so far.
Joinville has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 17 goals, of which 7 were scored in the Serie D, resulting in an average of 0.88 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Iago Angelo Dias, who has found the back of the net 2 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Fernando José da Cunha Neto has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 1 assists.
On the defensive side, Joinville has conceded 5 goals in the Serie D (an average of 0.63 per game) and 32 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.45 per match in the 2026 campaign.
Guarany de Bagé preview
Guarany de Bagé comes into the game with 8 matches played so far in the Serie D. They have secured 1 victories, 1 draws, and 6 losses, maintaining an average of 0.5 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026 season, the team has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses.
Guarany Futebol Clube's attack has been highly effective, scoring 13 goals during this period. Of that total, 2 were netted in the Serie D, with an average of 0.25 goals per game. The overall season average is 0.62.
Red-and-White's offensive system is led by Welder de Jesus Costa, the team's top scorer this season. The brazilian forward has found the back of the net 3 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Adailson Gonçalves Sousa. The forward has contributed with 3 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 15 goals with an average of 1.88 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 33 goals in 21 matches, averaging 1.57 per match.
Head to head: Joinville vs Guarany de Bagé
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Joinville
Brazil - Serie D
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D L L D W |
1 |
| Home | D D W W L |
1.6 |
| Away | L L W D L |
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 38% | 50% | 25% |
| Goals | 1.5 | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Scored | 0.88 | 1.25 | 0.5 |
| Conceded | 0.63 | 0.5 | 0.75 |
| Both Teams to Score | 38% | 50% | 25% |
| Without Conceding | 38% | 50% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| 1st to Score | 38% | 75% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.28 | 1.31 | 1.24 |
|
xGA
|
1.36 | 1.33 | 1.39 |
Guarany de Bagé
Brazil - Serie D
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L W L L |
0.6 |
| Home | L W L D D |
1 |
| Away | L L L L L |
0 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Goals | 2.13 | 1.5 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| Conceded | 1.88 | 1.25 | 2.5 |
| Both Teams to Score | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Without Conceding | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| 1st to Score | 38% | 25% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.08 | 1.31 | 0.62 |
|
xGA
|
1.32 | 1.28 | 1.4 |
Access all match stats for Joinville vs Guarany de Bagé
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Sports betting analyst with over ten years of experience in football analysis, match statistics and betting markets.