Italy vs Belgium prediction

Published: 22 Sept 2026Updated: 22 Sept 2026

International - UEFA Nations League

v.s

25 Sept 2026 14:45

Italy and Belgium face each other on Friday 09.25.2026, at 19:45 (UK Time), in a UEFA Nations League 2026/27 match. The game will take place at Italy's home ground, the Stadio Olimpico.

Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Seleção da Itália and Belgium National Team, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.

APWin predictions for Italy vs Belgium

With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:

BTTS - Yes

Market: BTTS - Yes · @ 1.64

1.64

Confidence

77%

Last updated: 21-09-2026

The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.

Our prediction is: Under 2.5 goals in the match

From what they have shown thus far this season, Italy and Belgium both tend to play quite defensive styles and like to keep things tight in midfield.

As a result, we predict the total going under 2.5 goals to be the most attractive betting option for this upcoming match.

Our prediction is: Italy to win

In all honesty, there is no other result we can foresee for this match other than Italy to win outright, which is our betting tip.

Italy's strong form this season, particularly at home, is hard to overlook, as are Belgium's shaky overall results and performances of late. And we expect the two sides to play true to form when they meet for their upcoming match.

Italy preview

Italy heads into the match with the following record in the UEFA Nations League: in 0 matches, Seleção da Itália secured 0 victories, 0 draws, and 0 losses, maintaining an average of 0 points per game.

Taking a broader look at The Blues's 2026/27 season, the team has achieved a total of 9 victories so far.

Italy has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 26 goals, of which 0 were scored in the UEFA Nations League, resulting in an average of 0 goals per game.

Individually, the standout performer is Mateo Retegui, who has found the back of the net 5 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Mateo Retegui has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 4 assists.

On the defensive side, Italy has conceded 0 goals in the UEFA Nations League (an average of 0 per game) and 13 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.08 per match in the 2026/27 campaign.

Belgium preview

Belgium comes into the game with 0 matches played so far in the UEFA Nations League. They have secured 0 victories, 0 draws, and 0 losses, maintaining an average of 0 points per game in the competition.

Across all competitions in the 2026/27 season, the team has recorded 11 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses.

Belgium National Team's attack has been highly effective, scoring 56 goals during this period. Of that total, 0 were netted in the UEFA Nations League, with an average of 0 goals per game. The overall season average is 3.11.

Red Devils's offensive system is led by Kevin De Bruyne, the team's top scorer this season. The belgian midfielder has found the back of the net 6 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Alexis Saelemaekers. The forward has contributed with 4 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 0 goals with an average of 0 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 17 goals in 18 matches, averaging 0.94 per match.

Head to head: Italy vs Belgium

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Italy

Home

WWDWL
VS

Belgium

Away

LWWWD

Points & Results

  • 0
    PPG
    0
  • 0%
    Wins
    0%
  • 0%
    First to Score
    0%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 0
    Scored/game
    0
  • 0
    Conceded/game
    0
  • 0
    xG
    0
  • 0
    xGA
    0

Trends

  • 0%
    Both Score
    0%
  • 0%
    Clean Sheet
    0%
  • 0%
    Failed to Score
    0%

Access all match stats for Italy vs Belgium

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Likely Scores

#ScoreProbability%
11 - 1
0.14%
20 - 0
0.11%
31 - 0
0.10%
40 - 1
0.09%
52 - 1
0.08%
61 - 2
0.08%
72 - 0
0.07%
80 - 2
0.06%
92 - 2
0.05%
103 - 1
0.03%
111 - 3
0.03%
123 - 0
0.03%