Italy vs Belgium prediction
International - UEFA Nations League
Italy and Belgium face each other on Friday 09.25.2026, at 19:45 (UK Time), in a UEFA Nations League 2026/27 match. The game will take place at Italy's home ground, the Stadio Olimpico.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Seleção da Itália and Belgium National Team, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Italy vs Belgium
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
BTTS - Yes
Market: BTTS - Yes · @ 1.64
Confidence
77%
Last updated: 21-09-2026
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Our prediction is: Under 2.5 goals in the match
From what they have shown thus far this season, Italy and Belgium both tend to play quite defensive styles and like to keep things tight in midfield.
As a result, we predict the total going under 2.5 goals to be the most attractive betting option for this upcoming match.
Our prediction is: Italy to win
In all honesty, there is no other result we can foresee for this match other than Italy to win outright, which is our betting tip.
Italy's strong form this season, particularly at home, is hard to overlook, as are Belgium's shaky overall results and performances of late. And we expect the two sides to play true to form when they meet for their upcoming match.
Italy preview
Italy heads into the match with the following record in the UEFA Nations League: in 0 matches, Seleção da Itália secured 0 victories, 0 draws, and 0 losses, maintaining an average of 0 points per game.
Taking a broader look at The Blues's 2026/27 season, the team has achieved a total of 9 victories so far.
Italy has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 26 goals, of which 0 were scored in the UEFA Nations League, resulting in an average of 0 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Mateo Retegui, who has found the back of the net 5 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Mateo Retegui has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, Italy has conceded 0 goals in the UEFA Nations League (an average of 0 per game) and 13 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.08 per match in the 2026/27 campaign.
- 07 Jun 2026GreeceItalyW0107 Jun 2026International FriendliesGreece
v.s
Italy0 - 1W - 03 Jun 2026LuxembourgItalyW0103 Jun 2026International FriendliesLuxembourg
v.s
Italy0 - 1W - 31 Mar 2026Bosnia and HerzegovinaItalyD1131 Mar 2026WC Qualification EuropeBosnia and Herzegovina
v.s
Italy1 - 1D - 26 Mar 2026ItalyNorthern IrelandW2026 Mar 2026WC Qualification EuropeItaly
v.s
Northern Ireland2 - 0W - 16 Nov 2025ItalyNorwayL1416 Nov 2025WC Qualification EuropeItaly
v.s
Norway1 - 4L
Belgium preview
Belgium comes into the game with 0 matches played so far in the UEFA Nations League. They have secured 0 victories, 0 draws, and 0 losses, maintaining an average of 0 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026/27 season, the team has recorded 11 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses.
Belgium National Team's attack has been highly effective, scoring 56 goals during this period. Of that total, 0 were netted in the UEFA Nations League, with an average of 0 goals per game. The overall season average is 3.11.
Red Devils's offensive system is led by Kevin De Bruyne, the team's top scorer this season. The belgian midfielder has found the back of the net 6 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Alexis Saelemaekers. The forward has contributed with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 0 goals with an average of 0 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 17 goals in 18 matches, averaging 0.94 per match.
- 10 Jul 2026SpainBelgiumL2110 Jul 2026World CupSpain
v.s
Belgium2 - 1L - 07 Jul 2026USABelgiumW1407 Jul 2026World CupUSA
v.s
Belgium1 - 4W - 01 Jul 2026BelgiumSenegalW3201 Jul 2026World CupBelgium
v.s
Senegal3 - 2W - 27 Jun 2026New ZealandBelgiumW1527 Jun 2026World CupNew Zealand
v.s
Belgium1 - 5W - 21 Jun 2026BelgiumIranD0021 Jun 2026World CupBelgium
v.s
Iran0 - 0D
Head to head: Italy vs Belgium
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Italy
Home
Belgium
Away
Points & Results
- PPG00
- 0%Wins0%
- 0%First to Score0%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game00
- Conceded/game00
- xG00
- xGA00
Trends
- 0%Both Score0%
- 0%Clean Sheet0%
- 0%Failed to Score0%
Access all match stats for Italy vs Belgium
Where to watch Italy vs Belgium live?
Check out the live stream of Italy vs Belgium below and follow the match in real time.
Watch this match
Italy vs Belgium
Likely Scores
| # | Score | Probability | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 - 1 | 0.14% | |
| 2 | 0 - 0 | 0.11% | |
| 3 | 1 - 0 | 0.10% | |
| 4 | 0 - 1 | 0.09% | |
| 5 | 2 - 1 | 0.08% | |
| 6 | 1 - 2 | 0.08% | |
| 7 | 2 - 0 | 0.07% | |
| 8 | 0 - 2 | 0.06% | |
| 9 | 2 - 2 | 0.05% | |
| 10 | 3 - 1 | 0.03% | |
| 11 | 1 - 3 | 0.03% | |
| 12 | 3 - 0 | 0.03% |