The kick off for the match between Deportes Tolima and Atlético Nacional will take place at 01:00 (UK time) - Saturday, 05/16 - at the Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro. This clash of the 2026 Categoria Primera A looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis, including predictions for Club Deportes Tolima S.A. vs Club Atlético Nacional S.A.. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Nacional
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Under 2.5 Goals
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Deportes Tolima Preview
Deportes Tolima has played 21 matches in the Categoria Primera A so far, with 10 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses. This results in an average of 1.76 points per match.
In the 2026 season, the team has recorded 14 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses. Deportes Tolima's attack has scored 40 goals, 30 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.43 goals per league match and 1.38 goals per match across the entire season.
Luis Fernando Sandoval Oyola is the team’s top scorer with 7 goals, while Juan Pablo Torres Patiño leads the team in assists with 4. Defensively, Vinotinto y Oro has conceded 17 goals in the league (an average of 0.81) and 22 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 0.76 over 29 matches).
Atlético Nacional preview
In 21 Categoria Primera A matches, Atlético Nacional has recorded 15 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 2.19 points per game.
In the 2026 season, the team has 15 wins in 22 matches. The team has scored 45 goals, 44 of them in the Categoria Primera A (an average of 2.1 goals per match), with Alfredo Morelos being the team's top scorer with 10 goals and Juan Manuel Rengifo Duque providing 6 assists.
Defensively, Purslane has conceded 17 goals in the league and 20 in the 2026 season overall, resulting in an average of 0.91 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Nacional
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Deportes Tolima
Colombia - Categoria Primera A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W D W |
2.6 |
| Home | W W D W W |
2.6 |
| Away | W L L L D |
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 48% | 73% | 20% |
| Goals | 2.24 | 2.45 | 2 |
| Scored | 1.43 | 1.82 | 1 |
| Conceded | 0.81 | 0.64 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 43% | 45% | 40% |
| Without Conceding | 43% | 45% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 9% | 40% |
| 1st to Score | 62% | 82% | 40% |
|
xG
|
1.39 | 1.67 | 1.07 |
|
xGA
|
1.17 | 1.07 | 1.28 |
Atlético Nacional
Colombia - Categoria Primera A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W L L W |
1.8 |
| Home | W W W D W |
2.6 |
| Away | W L L W W |
1.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 71% | 90% | 55% |
| Goals | 2.9 | 3.3 | 2.55 |
| Scored | 2.1 | 2.9 | 1.36 |
| Conceded | 0.81 | 0.4 | 1.18 |
| Both Teams to Score | 43% | 40% | 45% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 60% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 10% | 45% |
| 1st to Score | 62% | 80% | 18% |
|
xG
|
1.73 | 2.06 | 1.44 |
|
xGA
|
1.22 | 1.1 | 1.32 |
Access all match stats for Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Nacional
Where to watch Vinotinto y Oro vs Purslane live?
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Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.