Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas

Colombia - Categoria Primera A

Atlético Nacional
Atlético Nacional

v.s

11 Nov 2026 19:00

Once Caldas
Once Caldas

Atlético Nacional are creating the better shooting profile with average 6.25 overall shots and 1.7 xG. Their season scoring average is 2 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Head-to-Head
Atlético Nacional
6
wins
3
draws
Once Caldas
3
wins
42%
BTTS
5/12
92%
OVER 0.5
11/12
58%
OVER 1.5
7/12
25%
OVER 2.5
3/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    2.72

    League 2.54

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Above average

    52%

    League 48%

  • Both Teams Score

    Average

    57%

    League 53%

  • Cards

    Average

    5.63

    League 5.84

  • Corners

    Above average

    10.65

    League 8.94

Based on 349 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Once Caldas average 10.9 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 8.94, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    95%
    UNDER
    5%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    75%
    UNDER
    25%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    40%
    UNDER
    60%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    25%
    UNDER
    75%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 95% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Atlético Nacional

Home

WLWDW
VS

Once Caldas

Away

DWWDL

Points & Results

  • 2.17
    PPG
    1.62
  • 71%
    Wins
    38%
  • 50%
    First to Score
    62%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 2.00
    Scored/game
    1.57
  • 0.88
    Conceded/game
    1.19
  • 1.70
    xG
    1.59
  • 1.27
    xGA
    1.40

Trends

  • 42%
    Both Score
    76%
  • 33%
    Clean Sheet
    19%

Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas: Statistics and Analysis - Categoria Primera A 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Categoria Primera A match will be played on 12/11/2026 (Thursday) at 00:00.

The fixture is part of game week 19th of the Categoria Primera A season. Atlético Nacional currently sits in position 1st of the Categoria Primera A table. Once Caldas occupies position 5th.

Stat Probabilities for Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas at 57%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Atlético Nacional and Once Caldas point to a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas?

According to the latest match odds, is the favorite at an implied probability of about 0%. The full 1X2 market has Atlético Nacional at , the draw at , and Once Caldas at .

Overall performance in the Categoria Primera A

Atlético Nacional's record so far reads 17W-1D-6L from 24 played a win rate of 71% at 2.17 points per game.

Once Caldas stands at 8W-10D-3L from 21 played, winning 38% of their matches at 1.62 points per game.

In their last five, Atlético Nacional has gone 4W-0D-1L, averaging 2.4 points per game.

Once Caldas's last five read 2W-2D-1L, at 1.6 points per game.

At home, Atlético Nacional has a 91% win rate (10W-1D-0L from 11 played).

On the road, Once Caldas has won 20% of their matches (2W-7D-1L from 10 played).

Goal statistics for Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas

In attack, Atlético Nacional averages 2 goals scored per game in the Categoria Primera A (48 in total), while conceding 0.88 per game (21 in total).

Once Caldas averages 1.57 goals scored per game (33 in total) and 1.19 conceded per game (25 in total).

Atlético Nacional's top scorer this season is Alfredo Morelos, with 14 goals.

For Once Caldas, Dayro Mauricio Moreno Galindo leads the scoring charts with 16 goals this season.

Atlético Nacional's main creator is Juan Manuel Rengifo Duque, with 7 assists.

Juan David Cuesta Santos tops the Once Caldas assist chart with 9.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas

Atlético Nacional and Once Caldas have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Atlético Nacional wins: 6

  • Draws: 3

  • Once Caldas wins: 3

Frequently asked questions about Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas

When is Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas?

The match will be played on 12/11/2026 (Thursday) at 00:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Nacional and Once Caldas?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 6-3-3 (Atlético Nacional wins – draws – Once Caldas wins).

What was the last match between Atlético Nacional and Once Caldas?

The two sides last met on 01/05/2026, and the result was Once Caldas 1 vs 0 Atlético Nacional. Full details: Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas, 01/05/2026.

Who is the favorite in Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas?

is the favorite at odds of , an implied probability of about 0%. Atlético Nacional is priced at , the draw at and Once Caldas at .

Where can I find a Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas prediction page.

Where can I find Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas stats?

All key statistics for Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas?

Live streaming information is available on our Atlético Nacional vs Once Caldas stream page.