Alianza Lima vs Grêmio | Prediction | Copa Sudamericana

Alianza Lima and Grêmio face each other in an official match of the 2025 Copa Sudamericana season. The game takes place at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva on Thursday, 17/07/2025, at 01:30 (UK Time).

Our experts have prepared prediction for Alianza Lima vs Grêmio, based on in-depth study and analysis of both teams' probabilities. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free predictions for today. Find more Copa Sudamericana predictions by clicking the link.

Check out our predictions below:

APWin's prediction for Alianza Lima vs Grêmio

APWin Prediction

1st Half Draw

More predictions for Alianza Lima vs Grêmio

Discover betting tips and predictions that could be profitable for this match.

👉 Our prediction is: Alianza Lima win or draw

The home team is usually a safe bet in the Double Chance market, and that is no different in the upcoming match. Our top tip is to bet a Alianza Lima win or draw against Grêmio.

Our analysis of Alianza Lima points to them being the superior side, which is why they have a strong chance to win the match outright. And with the added benefit of needing only a draw at home against Grêmio, their chances of cashing in the 1X Double Chance bet grow even stronger.

👉 Our prediction is: Alianza Lima to score first

Alianza Lima has the upper hand in their matchup with Grêmio. It's clear from the odds, as they are favoured at a price of 1.65 to win. And being at home only helps their cause of picking up three points.

But when it comes to picking up added value, the First to Score market is the way to go. The home side has been quite consistent at finding the back of the net, which is why Alianza Lima to score first is our top betting tip.

How Alianza Lima arrives for the match

Alianza Lima comes into the match having played 0 games in the Copa Sudamericana so far. They have recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with an average of 0 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2025 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 14 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses.

Alianza Lima's attack has scored 34 goals during this period. Out of this total, 0 goals were scored in the Copa Sudamericana, averaging 0 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.21.

The offense system of Alianza Lima is led by Hernán Barcos as the top scorer of the season. The argentinian forward has scored 5 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Fernando Gaibor, who has contributed with 3 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 0 goals with an average of 0 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 27 goals conceded in 28 matches, resulting in an average of 0.96.

Alianza Lima's Latest Results

16/07/2025

Alianza Lima

2 - 0

Grêmio

How Grêmio arrives for the match

On the other hand, Grêmio comes into the match having played 6 games in the Copa Sudamericana so far. They have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with an average of 2 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2025 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 13 wins, 12 draws, and 9 losses.

Grêmio's attack has scored 49 goals during this period. Out of this total, 8 goals were scored in the Copa Sudamericana, averaging 1.33 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.44.

The offense system of Grêmio is led by Martin Braithwaite as the top scorer of the season. The danish forward has scored 6 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Edenilson, who has contributed with 6 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 4 goals with an average of 0.67 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 38 goals conceded in 34 matches, resulting in an average of 1.12.

Grêmio's Latest Results

Alianza Lima

Grêmio

Grêmio

Sportivo Luqueño

Grêmio

Godoy Cruz

Atlético Grau

Grêmio

Godoy Cruz

Grêmio

Both Teams in the Standings

To provide context on how both teams are coming into this match, we present here the current campaigns of the two clubs at this moment.

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Mushuc Runa SC	6	5	1	0	12	4	+8	16	2.67
2	Mushuc Runa SC	6	5	1	0	12	4	+8	16	2.67
3	CD Universidad Católica	6	4	2	0	12	5	+7	14	2.33
4	Huracán	6	4	2	0	11	2	+9	14	2.33
5	Huracán	6	4	2	0	11	2	+9	14	2.33
6	CD Universidad Católica	6	4	2	0	12	5	+7	14	2.33
7	Fluminense	6	4	1	1	11	2	+9	13	2.17
8	Fluminense	6	4	1	1	11	2	+9	13	2.17
9	Independiente	6	4	0	2	15	6	+9	12	2.00
10	Godoy Cruz	6	3	3	0	10	5	+5	12	2.00
11	Grêmio	6	3	3	0	8	4	+4	12	2.00
12	Once Caldas	6	4	0	2	8	6	+2	12	2.00
13	Lanús	6	3	3	0	9	4	+5	12	2.00
14	Independiente	6	4	0	2	15	6	+9	12	2.00
15	Lanús	6	3	3	0	9	4	+5	12	2.00
16	Godoy Cruz	6	3	3	0	10	5	+5	12	2.00
17	Grêmio	6	3	3	0	8	4	+4	12	2.00
18	Once Caldas	6	4	0	2	8	6	+2	12	2.00
19	Cienciano	6	2	4	0	12	6	+6	10	1.67
20	Cienciano	6	2	4	0	12	6	+6	10	1.67
21	Palestino	6	3	0	3	9	9	0	9	1.50
22	Atlético MG	6	2	3	1	11	6	+5	9	1.50
23	Atlético MG	6	2	3	1	11	6	+5	9	1.50
24	Palestino	6	3	0	3	9	9	0	9	1.50
25	Guaraní	6	2	2	2	9	12	-3	8	1.33
26	América de Cali	6	1	5	0	6	4	+2	8	1.33
27	Corinthians	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8	1.33
28	Vasco da Gama	6	2	2	2	8	8	0	8	1.33
29	Caracas	6	2	2	2	9	11	-2	8	1.33
30	América de Cali	6	1	5	0	6	4	+2	8	1.33
31	Corinthians	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8	1.33
32	Vasco da Gama	6	2	2	2	8	8	0	8	1.33
33	Caracas	6	2	2	2	9	11	-2	8	1.33
34	Guaraní	6	2	2	2	9	12	-3	8	1.33
35	Boston River	6	2	1	3	12	14	-2	7	1.17
36	Nacional Potosí	6	2	1	3	8	12	-4	7	1.17
37	Cerro Largo	6	2	1	3	5	8	-3	7	1.17
38	Melgar	6	2	1	3	5	10	-5	7	1.17
39	Boston River	6	2	1	3	12	14	-2	7	1.17
40	Cerro Largo	6	2	1	3	5	8	-3	7	1.17
41	Nacional Potosí	6	2	1	3	8	12	-4	7	1.17
42	Melgar	6	2	1	3	5	10	-5	7	1.17
43	Vitória	6	1	3	2	3	4	-1	6	1.00
44	Vitória	6	1	3	2	3	4	-1	6	1.00
45	Cruzeiro	6	1	2	3	5	7	-2	5	0.83
46	Unión Española	6	1	2	3	6	7	-1	5	0.83
47	Academia Puerto Cabello	6	1	2	3	8	8	0	5	0.83
48	Academia Puerto Cabello	6	1	2	3	8	8	0	5	0.83
49	Unión Española	6	1	2	3	6	7	-1	5	0.83
50	Cruzeiro	6	1	2	3	5	7	-2	5	0.83
51	Defensa y Justicia	6	0	4	2	4	7	-3	4	0.67
52	Atlético Grau	6	0	4	2	5	9	-4	4	0.67
53	Unión Santa Fe	6	1	1	4	2	8	-6	4	0.67
54	GV San Jose	6	1	1	4	5	15	-10	4	0.67
55	Deportes Iquique	6	1	1	4	7	16	-9	4	0.67
56	Defensa y Justicia	6	0	4	2	4	7	-3	4	0.67
57	Atlético Grau	6	0	4	2	5	9	-4	4	0.67
58	Unión Santa Fe	6	1	1	4	2	8	-6	4	0.67
59	Deportes Iquique	6	1	1	4	7	16	-9	4	0.67
60	GV San Jose	6	1	1	4	5	15	-10	4	0.67
61	Sportivo Luqueño	6	0	2	4	4	9	-5	2	0.33
62	Sportivo Luqueño	6	0	2	4	4	9	-5	2	0.33
63	Racing	6	0	1	5	3	14	-11	1	0.17
64	Racing	6	0	1	5	3	14	-11	1	0.17
View more standings

Data and Statistics for Alianza Lima vs Grêmio

Check out the summary of team statistics with various relevant information to support your football prediction.

Alianza Lima

South America - Copa Sudamericana

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall		0
Home		0
Away		0

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Goals	0	0	0
Scored	0	0	0
Conceded	0	0	0
Both Teams to Score	0%	0%	0%
Without Conceding	0%	0%	0%
Failed To Score	0%	0%	0%
1st to Score	0%	0%	0%
xG	0	0	0
xGA	0	0	0

Grêmio

South America - Copa Sudamericana

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D D D W	2
Home	W D W	2.33
Away	D D W	1.67

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	67%	33%
Goals	2	1.67	2.33
Scored	1.33	1.33	1.33
Conceded	0.67	0.33	1
Both Teams to Score	50%	33%	67%
Without Conceding	50%	67%	33%
Failed To Score	17%	0%	33%
1st to Score	0%	100%	67%
xG	1.6	1.9	1.41
xGA	1.34	1.32	1.35

You can check all the statistics for Alianza Lima vs Grêmio below.

Alianza Lima vs Grêmio Preview, Livescore and H2H

On APWin, you can also check all the statistics for the Copa Sudamericana.

Where to watch Alianza Lima vs Grêmio live?

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Facts and Curiosities for Alianza Lima vs Grêmio

The bookmakers place Alianza Lima as the favorite to win the match, with a 39% chance of victory. During the analysis of this prediction, the average odds were as follows: