Zapotlanejo vs Real Refineros
Mexico - Liga Premier Serie A
Zapotlanejo are creating the better shooting profile with average 7.17 overall shots and 2.14 xG. Their season scoring average is 2.4 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.
Result Probability
The result market leans toward Zapotlanejo at 78%. The points profile supports that read: Zapotlanejo average 2.4 PPG and Real Refineros average 1 PPG in the comparable split.
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Above average
4.30League 3.51
Over 2.5 Goals
Above average
78%League 68%
Both Teams Score
Above average
55%League 50%
Corners
Below average
7.83League 9.42
Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Zapotlanejo average 9.25 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.42, which points to sustained attacking territory.
Over / Under
0.5
1+ goal
OVER95%UNDER5%1.5
2+ goals
OVER80%UNDER20%2.5
3+ goals
OVER75%UNDER25%3.5
4+ goals
OVER65%UNDER35%
The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 95% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.
Team Performance
Zapotlanejo
Home
Real Refineros
Away
Points & Results
- 2.20PPG1.00
- 70%Wins20%
- 60%First to Score20%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game2.401.80
- Conceded/game1.702.30
- xG2.141.61
- xGA1.421.42
Trends
- 60%Both Score70%
- 30%Clean Sheet20%
- 31/10/2026, 18:00Liga Premier Serie ACañoneros Marina2 - 4WZapotlanejo31/10/2026, 18:00Liga Premier Serie ACañoneros Marina
2 - 4
ZapotlanejoW - 24/10/2026, 22:00Liga Premier Serie AZapotlanejo5 - 3WCiervos24/10/2026, 22:00Liga Premier Serie AZapotlanejo
5 - 3
CiervosW - 17/10/2026, 22:00Liga Premier Serie ASaltillo Soccer2 - 3WZapotlanejo17/10/2026, 22:00Liga Premier Serie ASaltillo Soccer
2 - 3
ZapotlanejoW - 10/10/2026, 22:00Liga Premier Serie AZapotlanejo2 - 4LMineros de Fresnillo10/10/2026, 22:00Liga Premier Serie AZapotlanejo
2 - 4
Mineros de FresnilloL - 01/10/2026, 18:00Liga Premier Serie AHéroes de Zaci0 - 1WZapotlanejo01/10/2026, 18:00Liga Premier Serie AHéroes de Zaci
0 - 1
ZapotlanejoW - 25/09/2026, 22:00Liga Premier Serie AZapotlanejo1 - 0WFC Santiago25/09/2026, 22:00Liga Premier Serie AZapotlanejo
1 - 0
FC SantiagoW - 19/09/2026, 16:00Liga Premier Serie ACorrecaminos UAT II1 - 1DZapotlanejo19/09/2026, 16:00Liga Premier Serie ACorrecaminos UAT II
1 - 1
ZapotlanejoD
Zapotlanejo scored in 7/7 recent form matches and averaged 2.43 goals.
- 31/10/2026, 22:00Liga Premier Serie AReal Refineros4 - 1WGuerreros de Autlán31/10/2026, 22:00Liga Premier Serie AReal Refineros
4 - 1
Guerreros de AutlánW - 27/10/2026, 02:05Liga Premier Serie AFC Santiago6 - 0LReal Refineros27/10/2026, 02:05Liga Premier Serie AFC Santiago
6 - 0
Real RefinerosL - 17/10/2026, 22:00Liga Premier Serie AReal Refineros3 - 3DGuerreros del Pacífico17/10/2026, 22:00Liga Premier Serie AReal Refineros
3 - 3
Guerreros del PacíficoD - 10/10/2026, 22:00Liga Premier Serie AReal Refineros2 - 3LHalcones Negros10/10/2026, 22:00Liga Premier Serie AReal Refineros
2 - 3
Halcones NegrosL - 04/10/2026, 00:00Liga Premier Serie ADragones de Oaxaca3 - 2LReal Refineros04/10/2026, 00:00Liga Premier Serie ADragones de Oaxaca
3 - 2
Real RefinerosL - 25/09/2026, 18:00Liga Premier Serie AReal Refineros3 - 3DCiervos25/09/2026, 18:00Liga Premier Serie AReal Refineros
3 - 3
CiervosD - 20/09/2026, 22:00Liga Premier Serie ADelfines Coatzacoalcos2 - 2DReal Refineros20/09/2026, 22:00Liga Premier Serie ADelfines Coatzacoalcos
2 - 2
Real RefinerosD
Real Refineros scored in 6/7 recent form matches and averaged 2.29 goals.
Zapotlanejo is +33% better in terms of Scored/game
Zapotlanejo is +35% better in terms of Conceded/game
Zapotlanejo is +33% better in terms of xG
Both teams are equal in terms of xGA
Zapotlanejo is +117% better in terms of First-Half Form
Real Refineros is +100% better in terms of Offsides
Zapotlanejo is +13% better in terms of Corners
Both teams are equal in terms of Cards
Zapotlanejo is +9% better in terms of Shots on Target
| # | Form | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dragones de Oaxaca | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 8 | +19 | 24 | |
| 2 | Artesanos Metepec | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 23 | |
| 3 | Zapotlanejo | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 17 | +7 | 22 | |
| 4 | CDM | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 12 | +19 | 20 | |
| 5 | FC Santiago | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 7 | +16 | 19 | |
| 6 | La Tribu de Cd. Juárez | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 13 | +10 | 18 | |
| 7 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 18 | |
| 8 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 17 | |
| 9 | Correcaminos UAT II | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 17 | |
| 10 | Vaqueros Reynosa | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 17 | |
| 11 | Halcones Negros | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 14 | +8 | 16 | |
| 12 | Guerreros del Pacífico | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 17 | +3 | 15 | |
| 13 | Guerreros de Autlán | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 11 | |
| 14 | Real Refineros | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 10 | |
| 15 | Calor de San Juan | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 10 | |
| 16 | Saltillo Soccer | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 7 | |
| 17 | Real Apodaca | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 5 | |
| 18 | Ciervos | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 4 | |
| 19 | Héroes de Zaci | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 28 | -25 | 2 | |
| 20 | Cañoneros Marina | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 33 | -28 | 0 |
Zapotlanejo vs Real Refineros: Statistics and Analysis - Liga Premier Serie A 2026/2027
On this page you can check all the key statistics for Zapotlanejo vs Real Refineros - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
This Liga Premier Serie A match will be played on 07/11/2026 (Saturday) at 01:00.
The fixture is part of game week 11th of the Liga Premier Serie A season. Zapotlanejo currently sits in position 3rd of the Liga Premier Serie A table. Real Refineros occupies position 14th.
Stat Probabilities for Zapotlanejo vs Real Refineros
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Zapotlanejo vs Real Refineros at 55%.
Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Zapotlanejo and Real Refineros point to a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.
Zapotlanejo over 1.5 goals scored: the numbers give Zapotlanejo a 80% chance of scoring 2 or more goals.
Real Refineros over 1.5 goals conceded: based on their record, there is a 75% chance of Real Refineros conceding 2 or more goals.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the Zapotlanejo vs Real Refineros prediction page.
Who is the favorite in Zapotlanejo vs Real Refineros?
According to the latest match odds, Zapotlanejo is the favorite at 1.39 an implied probability of about 71.94%. The full 1X2 market has Zapotlanejo at 1.39, the draw at 5.25, and Real Refineros at 6.3.
Overall performance in the Liga Premier Serie A
Zapotlanejo's record so far reads 7W-1D-2L from 10 played a win rate of 70% at 2.2 points per game.
Real Refineros stands at 2W-4D-4L from 10 played, winning 20% of their matches at 1 points per game.
In their last five, Zapotlanejo has gone 4W-0D-1L, averaging 2.4 points per game.
Real Refineros's last five read 1W-1D-3L, at 0.8 points per game.
At home, Zapotlanejo has a 80% win rate (4W-0D-1L from 5 played).
On the road, Real Refineros has won 25% of their matches (1W-1D-2L from 4 played).
Goal statistics for Zapotlanejo vs Real Refineros
In attack, Zapotlanejo averages 2.4 goals scored per game in the Liga Premier Serie A (24 in total), while conceding 1.7 per game (17 in total).
Real Refineros averages 1.8 goals scored per game (18 in total) and 2.3 conceded per game (23 in total).
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Frequently asked questions about Zapotlanejo vs Real Refineros
When is Zapotlanejo vs Real Refineros?
The match will be played on 07/11/2026 (Saturday) at 01:00.
Who is the favorite in Zapotlanejo vs Real Refineros?
Zapotlanejo is the favorite at odds of 1.39, an implied probability of about 71.94%. Zapotlanejo is priced at 1.39, the draw at 5.25 and Real Refineros at 6.3.
Where can I find a Zapotlanejo vs Real Refineros prediction?
You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Zapotlanejo vs Real Refineros prediction page.
Where can I find Zapotlanejo vs Real Refineros stats?
All key statistics for Zapotlanejo vs Real Refineros are on this page, updated in real time.
Where can I watch Zapotlanejo vs Real Refineros?
Live streaming information is available on our Zapotlanejo vs Real Refineros stream page.