FC Santiago vs Real Refineros
Mexico - Liga Premier Serie A
Real Refineros are creating the better shooting profile with average 6.25 overall shots and 1.56 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.75 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.
Result Probability
The result market leans toward FC Santiago at 81%. The points profile supports that read: FC Santiago average 2.5 PPG and Real Refineros average 1.33 PPG in the comparable split.
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Average
3.54League 3.44
Over 2.5 Goals
Well above avg
84%League 67%
Both Teams Score
Above average
59%League 51%
Corners
Well below avg
4.50League 9.59
Over / Under
0.5
1+ gol
OVER93%UNDER7%1.5
2+ gol
OVER75%UNDER25%2.5
3+ gol
OVER62%UNDER38%3.5
4+ gol
OVER43%UNDER57%
The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 93% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.
Team Performance
FC Santiago
Home
Real Refineros
Away
Points & Results
- 1.63PPG0.88
- 50%Wins13%
- 38%First to Score13%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.751.75
- Conceded/game0.882.00
- xG0.581.56
- xGA0.691.38
Trends
- 25%Both Score75%
- 38%Clean Sheet25%
- 18/10/2026, 00:00Liga Premier Serie AFC Santiago3 - 0WReal Apodaca18/10/2026, 00:00Liga Premier Serie AFC Santiago
3 - 0
Real ApodacaW - 11/10/2026, 00:00Liga Premier Serie ALa Tribu de Cd. Juárez0 - 2WFC Santiago11/10/2026, 00:00Liga Premier Serie ALa Tribu de Cd. Juárez
0 - 2
FC SantiagoW - 04/10/2026, 23:00Liga Premier Serie AFC Santiago2 - 2DGuerreros de Autlán04/10/2026, 23:00Liga Premier Serie AFC Santiago
2 - 2
Guerreros de AutlánD - 25/09/2026, 22:00Liga Premier Serie AZapotlanejo1 - 0LFC Santiago25/09/2026, 22:00Liga Premier Serie AZapotlanejo
1 - 0
FC SantiagoL - 19/09/2026, 00:00Liga Premier Serie AFC Santiago4 - 1WSaltillo Soccer19/09/2026, 00:00Liga Premier Serie AFC Santiago
4 - 1
Saltillo SoccerW - 11/09/2026, 18:00Liga Premier Serie AMineros de Fresnillo2 - 0LFC Santiago11/09/2026, 18:00Liga Premier Serie AMineros de Fresnillo
2 - 0
FC SantiagoL - 05/09/2026, 00:00Liga Premier Serie AFC Santiago3 - 0WHéroes de Zaci05/09/2026, 00:00Liga Premier Serie AFC Santiago
3 - 0
Héroes de ZaciW
FC Santiago scored in 5/7 recent form matches and averaged 2 goals.
- 17/10/2026, 22:00Liga Premier Serie AReal Refineros3 - 3DGuerreros del Pacífico17/10/2026, 22:00Liga Premier Serie AReal Refineros
3 - 3
Guerreros del PacíficoD - 10/10/2026, 22:00Liga Premier Serie AReal Refineros2 - 3LHalcones Negros10/10/2026, 22:00Liga Premier Serie AReal Refineros
2 - 3
Halcones NegrosL - 04/10/2026, 00:00Liga Premier Serie ADragones de Oaxaca3 - 2LReal Refineros04/10/2026, 00:00Liga Premier Serie ADragones de Oaxaca
3 - 2
Real RefinerosL - 25/09/2026, 18:00Liga Premier Serie AReal Refineros3 - 3DCiervos25/09/2026, 18:00Liga Premier Serie AReal Refineros
3 - 3
CiervosD - 20/09/2026, 22:00Liga Premier Serie ADelfines Coatzacoalcos2 - 2DReal Refineros20/09/2026, 22:00Liga Premier Serie ADelfines Coatzacoalcos
2 - 2
Real RefinerosD - 12/09/2026, 22:00Liga Premier Serie AReal Refineros0 - 0DCalor de San Juan12/09/2026, 22:00Liga Premier Serie AReal Refineros
0 - 0
Calor de San JuanD - 06/09/2026, 18:00Liga Premier Serie ACañoneros Marina0 - 1WReal Refineros06/09/2026, 18:00Liga Premier Serie ACañoneros Marina
0 - 1
Real RefinerosW
Real Refineros scored in 6/7 recent form matches and averaged 1.86 goals.
Both teams are equal in terms of Scored/game
FC Santiago is +127% better in terms of Conceded/game
Real Refineros is +169% better in terms of xG
FC Santiago is +100% better in terms of xGA
Real Refineros is +19% better in terms of First-Half Form
Real Refineros is +100% better in terms of Offsides
FC Santiago is +8% better in terms of Corners
Both teams are equal in terms of Cards
Real Refineros is +274% better in terms of Shots on Target
| # | Form | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Artesanos Metepec | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 20 | |
| 2 | Dragones de Oaxaca | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 18 | |
| 3 | CDM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 10 | +17 | 16 | |
| 4 | Zapotlanejo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 16 | |
| 5 | Vaqueros Reynosa | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 16 | |
| 6 | La Tribu de Cd. Juárez | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | +10 | 15 | |
| 7 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 15 | |
| 8 | Correcaminos UAT II | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 14 | |
| 9 | Halcones Negros | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 12 | +8 | 13 | |
| 10 | FC Santiago | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 13 | |
| 11 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 11 | |
| 12 | Guerreros del Pacífico | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 | |
| 13 | Calor de San Juan | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 10 | |
| 14 | Guerreros de Autlán | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 | |
| 15 | Real Refineros | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 7 | |
| 16 | Saltillo Soccer | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 7 | |
| 17 | Real Apodaca | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 4 | |
| 18 | Ciervos | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 4 | |
| 19 | Héroes de Zaci | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 2 | |
| 20 | Cañoneros Marina | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 29 | -26 | 0 |
FC Santiago vs Real Refineros: Statistics and Analysis - Liga Premier Serie A 2026/2027
On this page you can check all the key statistics for FC Santiago vs Real Refineros - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
This Liga Premier Serie A match will be played on 27/10/2026 (Tuesday) at 02:05.
The fixture is part of game week 9th of the Liga Premier Serie A season. FC Santiago currently sits in position 10th of the Liga Premier Serie A table. Real Refineros occupies position 15th.
Stat Probabilities for FC Santiago vs Real Refineros
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in FC Santiago vs Real Refineros at 59%.
Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for FC Santiago and Real Refineros point to a 84% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.
FC Santiago over 1.5 goals scored: the numbers give FC Santiago a 100% chance of scoring 2 or more goals.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the FC Santiago vs Real Refineros prediction page.
Who is the favorite in FC Santiago vs Real Refineros?
According to the latest match odds, FC Santiago is the favorite at 1.28 an implied probability of about 78.13%. The full 1X2 market has FC Santiago at 1.28, the draw at 6.89, and Real Refineros at 14.7.
Overall performance in the Liga Premier Serie A
FC Santiago's record so far reads 4W-1D-3L from 8 played a win rate of 50% at 1.63 points per game.
Real Refineros stands at 1W-4D-3L from 8 played, winning 13% of their matches at 0.88 points per game.
In their last five, FC Santiago has gone 3W-1D-1L, averaging 2 points per game.
Real Refineros's last five read 0W-3D-2L, at 0.6 points per game.
At home, FC Santiago has a 75% win rate (3W-1D-0L from 4 played).
On the road, Real Refineros has won 33% of their matches (1W-1D-1L from 3 played).
Goal statistics for FC Santiago vs Real Refineros
In attack, FC Santiago averages 1.75 goals scored per game in the Liga Premier Serie A (14 in total), while conceding 0.88 per game (7 in total).
Real Refineros averages 1.75 goals scored per game (14 in total) and 2 conceded per game (16 in total).
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Frequently asked questions about FC Santiago vs Real Refineros
When is FC Santiago vs Real Refineros?
The match will be played on 27/10/2026 (Tuesday) at 02:05.
Who is the favorite in FC Santiago vs Real Refineros?
FC Santiago is the favorite at odds of 1.28, an implied probability of about 78.13%. FC Santiago is priced at 1.28, the draw at 6.89 and Real Refineros at 14.7.
Where can I find a FC Santiago vs Real Refineros prediction?
You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the FC Santiago vs Real Refineros prediction page.
Where can I find FC Santiago vs Real Refineros stats?
All key statistics for FC Santiago vs Real Refineros are on this page, updated in real time.
Where can I watch FC Santiago vs Real Refineros?
Live streaming information is available on our FC Santiago vs Real Refineros stream page.