VPS vs Gnistan

Finland - Veikkausliiga

VPS

v.s

12 Oct 2026 11:00

Gnistan

Gnistan are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.52 overall shots and 1.51 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.6 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

48%
VPS to win
25%
Draw
27%
Gnistan to win

The result market leans toward VPS at 51%. The points profile supports that read: VPS average 1.62 PPG and Gnistan average 1.58 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
VPS
4
wins
4
draws
Gnistan
4
wins
50%
BTTS
6/12
83%
OVER 0.5
10/12
75%
OVER 1.5
9/12
42%
OVER 2.5
5/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    2.49

    League 2.51

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Below average

    39%

    League 45%

  • Both Teams Score

    Above average

    53%

    League 49%

  • Cards

    Average

    4.01

    League 3.78

  • Corners

    Average

    9.34

    League 9.85

Based on 150 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. VPS average 10 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.85, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    95%
    UNDER
    5%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    65%
    UNDER
    35%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    45%
    UNDER
    55%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    30%
    UNDER
    70%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 95% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

VPS

Home

LLWLW
VS

Gnistan

Away

DDWDD

Points & Results

  • 1.44
    PPG
    1.64
  • 40%
    Wins
    44%
  • 40%
    First to Score
    64%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.20
    Scored/game
    1.60
  • 1.00
    Conceded/game
    1.28
  • 1.45
    xG
    1.51
  • 1.34
    xGA
    1.56

Trends

  • 48%
    Both Score
    60%
  • 28%
    Clean Sheet
    20%

VPS vs Gnistan: Statistics and Analysis - Veikkausliiga 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for VPS vs Gnistan - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Veikkausliiga match will be played on 12/10/2026 (Monday) at 16:00.

The fixture is part of game week 5th of the Veikkausliiga season. VPS currently sits in position 6th of the Veikkausliiga table. Gnistan occupies position 4th.

Stat Probabilities for VPS vs Gnistan

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in VPS vs Gnistan at 53%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for VPS and Gnistan point to a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the VPS vs Gnistan prediction page.

Who is the favorite in VPS vs Gnistan?

According to the latest match odds, VPS is the favorite at 2.04 an implied probability of about 49.02%. The full 1X2 market has VPS at 2.04, the draw at 3.72, and Gnistan at 3.55.

Overall performance in the Veikkausliiga

VPS's record so far reads 10W-6D-9L from 25 played a win rate of 40% at 1.44 points per game.

Gnistan stands at 11W-8D-6L from 25 played, winning 44% of their matches at 1.64 points per game.

In their last five, VPS has gone 2W-0D-3L, averaging 1.2 points per game.

Gnistan's last five read 2W-3D-0L, at 1.8 points per game.

At home, VPS has a 46% win rate (6W-3D-4L from 13 played).

On the road, Gnistan has won 42% of their matches (5W-4D-3L from 12 played).

Goal statistics for VPS vs Gnistan

In attack, VPS averages 1.2 goals scored per game in the Veikkausliiga (30 in total), while conceding 1 per game (25 in total).

Gnistan averages 1.6 goals scored per game (40 in total) and 1.28 conceded per game (32 in total).

VPS's top scorer this season is Simon Lindholm, with 7 goals.

For Gnistan, Adeleke Akinola Akinyemi leads the scoring charts with 12 goals this season.

VPS's main creator is Jayden Turfkruier, with 5 assists.

Joakim Latonen tops the Gnistan assist chart with 6.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: VPS vs Gnistan

VPS and Gnistan have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • VPS wins: 4

  • Draws: 4

  • Gnistan wins: 4

Frequently asked questions about VPS vs Gnistan

When is VPS vs Gnistan?

The match will be played on 12/10/2026 (Monday) at 16:00.

What is the head-to-head record between VPS and Gnistan?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 4-4-4 (VPS wins – draws – Gnistan wins).

What was the last match between VPS and Gnistan?

The two sides last met on 27/06/2026, and the result was Gnistan 1 vs 1 VPS. Full details: VPS vs Gnistan, 27/06/2026.

Who is the favorite in VPS vs Gnistan?

VPS is the favorite at odds of 2.04, an implied probability of about 49.02%. VPS is priced at 2.04, the draw at 3.72 and Gnistan at 3.55.

Where can I find a VPS vs Gnistan prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the VPS vs Gnistan prediction page.

Where can I find VPS vs Gnistan stats?

All key statistics for VPS vs Gnistan are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch VPS vs Gnistan?

Live streaming information is available on our VPS vs Gnistan stream page.