HJK vs Gnistan

Finland - Veikkausliiga

HJK

v.s

17 Oct 2026 09:00

Gnistan

HJK are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.69 overall shots and 1.59 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.73 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

66%
HJK to win
20%
Draw
14%
Gnistan to win

The result market leans toward HJK at 71%. The points profile supports that read: HJK average 2 PPG and Gnistan average 1.58 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
HJK
4
wins
2
draws
Gnistan
3
wins
56%
BTTS
5/9
100%
OVER 0.5
9/9
78%
OVER 1.5
7/9
67%
OVER 2.5
6/9

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Above average

    2.85

    League 2.47

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Above average

    50%

    League 43%

  • Both Teams Score

    Average

    50%

    League 48%

  • Cards

    Below average

    3.00

    League 3.80

  • Corners

    Average

    9.70

    League 9.90

Based on 159 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Gnistan average 10 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.9, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    90%
    UNDER
    10%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    75%
    UNDER
    25%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    55%
    UNDER
    45%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    30%
    UNDER
    70%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 90% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

HJK

Home

WWDDW
VS

Gnistan

Away

LDDWD

Points & Results

  • 1.73
    PPG
    1.62
  • 50%
    Wins
    42%
  • 50%
    First to Score
    62%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.73
    Scored/game
    1.54
  • 1.12
    Conceded/game
    1.23
  • 1.59
    xG
    1.50
  • 1.35
    xGA
    1.56

Trends

  • 42%
    Both Score
    58%
  • 38%
    Clean Sheet
    23%

HJK vs Gnistan: Statistics and Analysis - Veikkausliiga 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for HJK vs Gnistan - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Veikkausliiga match will be played on 17/10/2026 (Saturday) at 14:00.

The venue is Bolt Arena.

The fixture is part of game week 6th of the Veikkausliiga season. HJK currently sits in position 3rd of the Veikkausliiga table. Gnistan occupies position 4th.

Stat Probabilities for HJK vs Gnistan

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in HJK vs Gnistan at 50%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for HJK and Gnistan point to a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the HJK vs Gnistan prediction page.

Who is the favorite in HJK vs Gnistan?

According to the latest match odds, HJK is the favorite at 1.51 an implied probability of about 66.23%. The full 1X2 market has HJK at 1.51, the draw at 5.46, and Gnistan at 6.87.

Overall performance in the Veikkausliiga

HJK's record so far reads 13W-6D-7L from 26 played a win rate of 50% at 1.73 points per game.

Gnistan stands at 11W-9D-6L from 26 played, winning 42% of their matches at 1.62 points per game.

In their last five, HJK has gone 3W-2D-0L, averaging 2.2 points per game.

Gnistan's last five read 1W-4D-0L, at 1.4 points per game.

At home, HJK has a 62% win rate (8W-2D-3L from 13 played).

On the road, Gnistan has won 42% of their matches (5W-4D-3L from 12 played).

Goal statistics for HJK vs Gnistan

In attack, HJK averages 1.73 goals scored per game in the Veikkausliiga (45 in total), while conceding 1.12 per game (29 in total).

Gnistan averages 1.54 goals scored per game (40 in total) and 1.23 conceded per game (32 in total).

HJK's top scorer this season is Mads Borchers, with 13 goals.

For Gnistan, Adeleke Akinola Akinyemi leads the scoring charts with 12 goals this season.

HJK's main creator is Teemu Pukki, with 5 assists.

Joakim Latonen tops the Gnistan assist chart with 6.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: HJK vs Gnistan

HJK and Gnistan have met 9 times in recent years. The record:

  • HJK wins: 4

  • Draws: 2

  • Gnistan wins: 3

Frequently asked questions about HJK vs Gnistan

When is HJK vs Gnistan?

The match will be played on 17/10/2026 (Saturday) at 14:00.

What is the head-to-head record between HJK and Gnistan?

Across their last 9 meetings the record is 4-2-3 (HJK wins – draws – Gnistan wins).

What was the last match between HJK and Gnistan?

The two sides last met on 18/09/2026, and the result was Gnistan 1 vs 1 HJK. Full details: HJK vs Gnistan, 18/09/2026.

Who is the favorite in HJK vs Gnistan?

HJK is the favorite at odds of 1.51, an implied probability of about 66.23%. HJK is priced at 1.51, the draw at 5.46 and Gnistan at 6.87.

Where can I find a HJK vs Gnistan prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the HJK vs Gnistan prediction page.

Where can I find HJK vs Gnistan stats?

All key statistics for HJK vs Gnistan are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch HJK vs Gnistan?

Live streaming information is available on our HJK vs Gnistan stream page.