União Santarém vs Vitória de Sernache

Portugal - Liga 3

Vitória de Sernache are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.17 overall shots and 1.15 xG. Their season scoring average is 0.67 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

49%
União Santarém to win
27%
Draw
24%
Vitória de Sernache to win
União Santarém
3
wins
0
draws
Vitória de Sernache
0
wins
33%
BTTS
1/3
100%
OVER 0.5
3/3
100%
OVER 1.5
3/3
67%
OVER 2.5
2/3

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Above average

    3.00

    League 2.46

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Average

    50%

    League 48%

  • Both Teams Score

    Well below avg

    33%

    League 48%

  • Cards

    Average

    3.33

    League 3.57

  • Corners

    Above average

    10.33

    League 9.54

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. União Santarém average 13.33 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.54, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    91%
    UNDER
    9%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    75%
    UNDER
    25%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    50%
    UNDER
    50%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    33%
    UNDER
    67%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 91% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

União Santarém

Home

WWLLD
VS

Vitória de Sernache

Away

WLLLD

Points & Results

  • 1.17
    PPG
    0.67
  • 33%
    Wins
    17%
  • 17%
    First to Score
    17%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.00
    Scored/game
    0.67
  • 1.67
    Conceded/game
    2.17
  • 1.24
    xG
    1.15
  • 1.53
    xGA
    1.51

Trends

  • 33%
    Both Score
    33%
  • 17%
    Clean Sheet
    33%

União Santarém vs Vitória de Sernache: Statistics and Analysis - Liga 3 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for União Santarém vs Vitória de Sernache - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Liga 3 match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 20:00.

The fixture is part of game week 7th of the Liga 3 season. União Santarém currently sits in position 7th of the Liga 3 table. Vitória de Sernache occupies position 10th.

Stat Probabilities for União Santarém vs Vitória de Sernache

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in União Santarém vs Vitória de Sernache at 33%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for União Santarém and Vitória de Sernache point to a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

Corners against União Santarém: opponents have taken 5 or more corners in 83% of União Santarém's matches.

Vitória de Sernache over 1.5 goals conceded: based on their record, there is a 100% chance of Vitória de Sernache conceding 2 or more goals.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the União Santarém vs Vitória de Sernache prediction page.

Who is the favorite in União Santarém vs Vitória de Sernache?

According to the latest match odds, União Santarém is the favorite at 1.94 an implied probability of about 51.55%. The full 1X2 market has União Santarém at 1.94, the draw at 3.46, and Vitória de Sernache at 3.93.

Overall performance in the Liga 3

União Santarém's record so far reads 2W-1D-3L from 6 played a win rate of 33% at 1.17 points per game.

Vitória de Sernache stands at 1W-1D-4L from 6 played, winning 17% of their matches at 0.67 points per game.

In their last five, União Santarém has gone 2W-1D-2L, averaging 1.4 points per game.

Vitória de Sernache's last five read 1W-1D-3L, at 0.8 points per game.

At home, União Santarém has a 33% win rate (1W-1D-1L from 3 played).

On the road, Vitória de Sernache has won 0% of their matches (0W-0D-3L from 3 played).

Goal statistics for União Santarém vs Vitória de Sernache

In attack, União Santarém averages 1 goals scored per game in the Liga 3 (6 in total), while conceding 1.67 per game (10 in total).

Vitória de Sernache averages 0.67 goals scored per game (4 in total) and 2.17 conceded per game (13 in total).

União Santarém's top scorer this season is Emanuel Fernando Gonçalves, with 3 goals.

For Vitória de Sernache, André Dias leads the scoring charts with 2 goals this season.

União Santarém's main creator is João Ricardo Meireles Machado, with 4 assists.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: União Santarém vs Vitória de Sernache

União Santarém and Vitória de Sernache have met 3 times in recent years. The record:

  • União Santarém wins: 3

  • Draws: 0

  • Vitória de Sernache wins: 0

Frequently asked questions about União Santarém vs Vitória de Sernache

When is União Santarém vs Vitória de Sernache?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 20:00.

What is the head-to-head record between União Santarém and Vitória de Sernache?

Across their last 3 meetings the record is 3-0-0 (União Santarém wins – draws – Vitória de Sernache wins).

What was the last match between União Santarém and Vitória de Sernache?

The two sides last met on 07/04/2024, and the result was União Santarém 3 vs 0 Vitória de Sernache. Full details: União Santarém vs Vitória de Sernache, 07/04/2024.

Who is the favorite in União Santarém vs Vitória de Sernache?

União Santarém is the favorite at odds of 1.94, an implied probability of about 51.55%. União Santarém is priced at 1.94, the draw at 3.46 and Vitória de Sernache at 3.93.

Where can I find a União Santarém vs Vitória de Sernache prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the União Santarém vs Vitória de Sernache prediction page.

Where can I find União Santarém vs Vitória de Sernache stats?

All key statistics for União Santarém vs Vitória de Sernache are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch União Santarém vs Vitória de Sernache?

Live streaming information is available on our União Santarém vs Vitória de Sernache stream page.