Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II

Portugal - Liga 3

v.s

25 Oct 2026 14:00

Vitória Guimarães II are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.5 overall shots and 1.6 xG. Their season scoring average is 0.67 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

34%
Varzim to win
33%
Draw
33%
Vitória Guimarães II to win

The result market leans toward Varzim at 99%. The points profile supports that read: Varzim average 1 PPG and Vitória Guimarães II average 0.33 PPG in the comparable split.

Varzim
3
wins
4
draws
Vitória Guimarães II
5
wins
58%
BTTS
7/12
92%
OVER 0.5
11/12
83%
OVER 1.5
10/12
58%
OVER 2.5
7/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    2.33

    League 2.48

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Average

    50%

    League 48%

  • Both Teams Score

    Well above avg

    67%

    League 48%

  • Cards

    Average

    3.33

    League 3.50

  • Corners

    Below average

    7.33

    League 9.37

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Vitória Guimarães II average 10.33 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.37, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    91%
    UNDER
    9%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    58%
    UNDER
    42%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    41%
    UNDER
    59%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    16%
    UNDER
    84%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 91% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Varzim

Home

LLLWW
VS

Vitória Guimarães II

Away

LLDDW

Points & Results

  • 1.50
    PPG
    0.83
  • 50%
    Wins
    17%
  • 83%
    First to Score
    33%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.50
    Scored/game
    0.67
  • 1.17
    Conceded/game
    1.00
  • 1.31
    xG
    1.60
  • 1.44
    xGA
    1.21

Trends

  • 67%
    Both Score
    33%
  • 17%
    Clean Sheet
    33%

Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II: Statistics and Analysis - Liga 3 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Liga 3 match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 18:00.

The venue is Estádio do Varzim Sport Club.

The fixture is part of game week 7th of the Liga 3 season. Varzim currently sits in position 5th of the Liga 3 table. Vitória Guimarães II occupies position 8th.

Stat Probabilities for Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II at 67%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Varzim and Vitória Guimarães II point to a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II?

According to the latest match odds, is the favorite at an implied probability of about 0%. The full 1X2 market has Varzim at 1.01, the draw at 1.01, and Vitória Guimarães II at 1.01.

Overall performance in the Liga 3

Varzim's record so far reads 3W-0D-3L from 6 played a win rate of 50% at 1.5 points per game.

Vitória Guimarães II stands at 1W-2D-3L from 6 played, winning 17% of their matches at 0.83 points per game.

In their last five, Varzim has gone 2W-0D-3L, averaging 1.2 points per game.

Vitória Guimarães II's last five read 1W-2D-2L, at 1 points per game.

At home, Varzim has a 33% win rate (1W-0D-2L from 3 played).

On the road, Vitória Guimarães II has won 0% of their matches (0W-1D-2L from 3 played).

Goal statistics for Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II

In attack, Varzim averages 1.5 goals scored per game in the Liga 3 (9 in total), while conceding 1.17 per game (7 in total).

Vitória Guimarães II averages 0.67 goals scored per game (4 in total) and 1 conceded per game (6 in total).

Varzim's top scorer this season is Francisco Paulo Franco França, with 6 goals.

For Vitória Guimarães II, João Miguel Costa Nogueira leads the scoring charts with 9 goals this season.

Varzim's main creator is Diogo Miguel Pereira Sequeira, with 2 assists.

Hugo Miguel Zagal Nunes tops the Vitória Guimarães II assist chart with 4.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II

Varzim and Vitória Guimarães II have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Varzim wins: 3

  • Draws: 4

  • Vitória Guimarães II wins: 5

Frequently asked questions about Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II

When is Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 18:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Varzim and Vitória Guimarães II?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 3-4-5 (Varzim wins – draws – Vitória Guimarães II wins).

What was the last match between Varzim and Vitória Guimarães II?

The two sides last met on 25/04/2026, and the result was Varzim 2 vs 2 Vitória Guimarães II. Full details: Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II, 25/04/2026.

Who is the favorite in Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II?

is the favorite at odds of , an implied probability of about 0%. Varzim is priced at 1.01, the draw at 1.01 and Vitória Guimarães II at 1.01.

Where can I find a Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II prediction page.

Where can I find Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II stats?

All key statistics for Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II?

Live streaming information is available on our Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães II stream page.