Sturm Graz vs Ried
Austria - Austria Bundesliga
Ried are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.44 overall shots and 1.7 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.78 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.
Result Probability
The result market leans toward Sturm Graz at 60%. The points profile supports that read: Sturm Graz average 2.5 PPG and Ried average 1 PPG in the comparable split.
- 08/02/2026, 16:00Austria BundesligaSturm Graz1 - 0Ried08/02/2026, 16:00Austria BundesligaSturm Graz
1 - 0
Ried - 16/08/2025, 17:30Austria BundesligaRied1 - 3Sturm Graz16/08/2025, 17:30Austria BundesligaRied
1 - 3
Sturm Graz - 28/08/2024, 16:00Austrian CupRied1 - 3Sturm Graz28/08/2024, 16:00Austrian CupRied
1 - 3
Sturm Graz - 30/10/2022, 16:00Austria BundesligaSturm Graz2 - 1Ried30/10/2022, 16:00Austria BundesligaSturm Graz
2 - 1
Ried - 06/08/2022, 15:00Austria BundesligaRied1 - 1Sturm Graz06/08/2022, 15:00Austria BundesligaRied
1 - 1
Sturm Graz
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Above average
3.50League 3.17
Over 2.5 Goals
Average
63%League 65%
Both Teams Score
Well above avg
88%League 52%
Cards
Above average
4.25League 3.85
Corners
Above average
12.25League 10.76
Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Sturm Graz average 13.75 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.76, which points to sustained attacking territory.
Over / Under
0.5
1+ gol
OVER100%UNDER0%1.5
2+ gol
OVER88%UNDER12%2.5
3+ gol
OVER55%UNDER45%3.5
4+ gol
OVER33%UNDER67%
The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.
Team Performance
Sturm Graz
Home
Ried
Away
Points & Results
- 1.89PPG1.56
- 56%Wins44%
- 56%First to Score33%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.781.78
- Conceded/game1.111.67
- xG1.851.70
- xGA1.411.80
Trends
- 56%Both Score89%
- 33%Clean Sheet11%
- 18/10/2026, 15:00Austria BundesligaSturm Graz6 - 1GAKW18/10/2026, 15:00Austria BundesligaSturm Graz
6 - 1
GAKW - 10/10/2026, 17:30Austria BundesligaAustria Wien0 - 2Sturm GrazW10/10/2026, 17:30Austria BundesligaAustria Wien
0 - 2
Sturm GrazW - 20/09/2026, 15:00Austria BundesligaSalzburg3 - 0Sturm GrazL20/09/2026, 15:00Austria BundesligaSalzburg
3 - 0
Sturm GrazL - 13/09/2026, 15:00Austria BundesligaSturm Graz2 - 1LASKW13/09/2026, 15:00Austria BundesligaSturm Graz
2 - 1
LASKW - 30/08/2026, 15:00Austria BundesligaRapid Wien3 - 1Sturm GrazL30/08/2026, 15:00Austria BundesligaRapid Wien
3 - 1
Sturm GrazL - 22/08/2026, 17:30Austria BundesligaSturm Graz1 - 1Austria LustenauD22/08/2026, 17:30Austria BundesligaSturm Graz
1 - 1
Austria LustenauD - 15/08/2026, 17:30Austria BundesligaSturm Graz1 - 0Rheindorf AltachW15/08/2026, 17:30Austria BundesligaSturm Graz
1 - 0
Rheindorf AltachW
Sturm Graz scored in 6/7 recent form matches and averaged 1.86 goals.
- 17/10/2026, 17:30Austria BundesligaRied3 - 2Austria WienW17/10/2026, 17:30Austria BundesligaRied
3 - 2
Austria WienW - 10/10/2026, 15:00Austria BundesligaWattens1 - 2RiedW10/10/2026, 15:00Austria BundesligaWattens
1 - 2
RiedW - 20/09/2026, 12:30Austria BundesligaRied4 - 1Wolfsberger ACW20/09/2026, 12:30Austria BundesligaRied
4 - 1
Wolfsberger ACW - 11/09/2026, 17:30Austria BundesligaRied1 - 1SalzburgD11/09/2026, 17:30Austria BundesligaRied
1 - 1
SalzburgD - 30/08/2026, 15:00Austria BundesligaHartberg3 - 2RiedL30/08/2026, 15:00Austria BundesligaHartberg
3 - 2
RiedL - 21/08/2026, 17:30Austria BundesligaRied1 - 0GAKW21/08/2026, 17:30Austria BundesligaRied
1 - 0
GAKW - 14/08/2026, 17:30Austria BundesligaLASK4 - 1RiedL14/08/2026, 17:30Austria BundesligaLASK
4 - 1
RiedL
Ried scored in 7/7 recent form matches and averaged 2 goals.
Both teams are equal in terms of Scored/game
Sturm Graz is +50% better in terms of Conceded/game
Sturm Graz is +9% better in terms of xG
Sturm Graz is +28% better in terms of xGA
Ried is +28% better in terms of First-Half Form
Sturm Graz is +48% better in terms of Offsides
Sturm Graz is +21% better in terms of Corners
Sturm Graz is +5% better in terms of Cards
Ried is +4% better in terms of Shots on Target
| # | Form | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Wien | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 8 | +18 | 24 | |
| 2 | Salzburg | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 4 | +17 | 21 | |
| 3 | LASK | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 9 | +14 | 19 | |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 17 | |
| 5 | Ried | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 14 | |
| 6 | Wattens | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 | |
| 7 | Hartberg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 11 | |
| 8 | GAK | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 9 | |
| 9 | Austria Lustenau | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 8 | |
| 10 | Austria Wien | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 7 | |
| 11 | Rheindorf Altach | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 6 | |
| 12 | Wolfsberger AC | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 5 |
Sturm Graz vs Ried: Statistics and Analysis - Austria Bundesliga 2026/2027
On this page you can check all the key statistics for Sturm Graz vs Ried - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
This Austria Bundesliga match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 13:30.
The venue is Merkur Arena.
The fixture is part of game week 10th of the Austria Bundesliga season. Sturm Graz currently sits in position 4th of the Austria Bundesliga table. Ried occupies position 5th.
Stat Probabilities for Sturm Graz vs Ried
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Sturm Graz vs Ried at 88%.
Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Sturm Graz and Ried point to a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the Sturm Graz vs Ried prediction page.
Who is the favorite in Sturm Graz vs Ried?
According to the latest match odds, Sturm Graz is the favorite at 1.81 an implied probability of about 55.25%. The full 1X2 market has Sturm Graz at 1.81, the draw at 4.4, and Ried at 4.62.
Overall performance in the Austria Bundesliga
Sturm Graz's record so far reads 5W-2D-2L from 9 played a win rate of 56% at 1.89 points per game.
Ried stands at 4W-2D-3L from 9 played, winning 44% of their matches at 1.56 points per game.
In their last five, Sturm Graz has gone 3W-0D-2L, averaging 1.8 points per game.
Ried's last five read 3W-1D-1L, at 2 points per game.
At home, Sturm Graz has a 75% win rate (3W-1D-0L from 4 played).
On the road, Ried has won 25% of their matches (1W-1D-2L from 4 played).
Goal statistics for Sturm Graz vs Ried
In attack, Sturm Graz averages 1.78 goals scored per game in the Austria Bundesliga (16 in total), while conceding 1.11 per game (10 in total).
Ried averages 1.78 goals scored per game (16 in total) and 1.67 conceded per game (15 in total).
Sturm Graz's top scorer this season is Otar Kiteishvili, with 15 goals.
For Ried, Kingstone Mutandwa leads the scoring charts with 16 goals this season.
Sturm Graz's main creator is Tomi Horvat, with 5 assists.
Ante Bajic tops the Ried assist chart with 5.
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Head-to-head: Sturm Graz vs Ried
Sturm Graz and Ried have met 12 times in recent years. The record:
Sturm Graz wins: 9
Draws: 2
Ried wins: 1
Frequently asked questions about Sturm Graz vs Ried
When is Sturm Graz vs Ried?
The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 13:30.
What is the head-to-head record between Sturm Graz and Ried?
Across their last 12 meetings the record is 9-2-1 (Sturm Graz wins – draws – Ried wins).
What was the last match between Sturm Graz and Ried?
The two sides last met on 08/02/2026, and the result was Sturm Graz 1 vs 0 Ried. Full details: Sturm Graz vs Ried, 08/02/2026.
Who is the favorite in Sturm Graz vs Ried?
Sturm Graz is the favorite at odds of 1.81, an implied probability of about 55.25%. Sturm Graz is priced at 1.81, the draw at 4.4 and Ried at 4.62.
Where can I find a Sturm Graz vs Ried prediction?
You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Sturm Graz vs Ried prediction page.
Where can I find Sturm Graz vs Ried stats?
All key statistics for Sturm Graz vs Ried are on this page, updated in real time.
Where can I watch Sturm Graz vs Ried?
Live streaming information is available on our Sturm Graz vs Ried stream page.