Santos vs Bahia

Brazil - Brazil Serie A

Santos
Santos

v.s

24 Oct 2026 20:00

Bahia
Bahia

Bahia are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.71 overall shots and 1.56 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.42 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

48%
Santos to win
26%
Draw
26%
Bahia to win

The result market leans toward Santos at 51%. The points profile supports that read: Santos average 1.53 PPG and Bahia average 1.47 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
Santos
4
wins
5
draws
Bahia
3
wins
42%
BTTS
5/12
83%
OVER 0.5
10/12
75%
OVER 1.5
9/12
50%
OVER 2.5
6/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    2.84

    League 2.66

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Average

    53%

    League 51%

  • Both Teams Score

    Above average

    64%

    League 59%

  • Cards

    Above average

    5.67

    League 4.93

  • Corners

    Above average

    11.33

    League 10.45

Based on 309 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Bahia average 11.6 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.45, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    95%
    UNDER
    5%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    80%
    UNDER
    20%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    70%
    UNDER
    30%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    25%
    UNDER
    75%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 95% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Santos

Home

WLDWW
VS

Bahia

Away

LWLLW

Points & Results

  • 1.45
    PPG
    1.58
  • 39%
    Wins
    42%
  • 58%
    First to Score
    39%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.55
    Scored/game
    1.42
  • 1.48
    Conceded/game
    1.26
  • 1.44
    xG
    1.56
  • 1.47
    xGA
    1.62

Trends

  • 74%
    Both Score
    61%
  • 19%
    Clean Sheet
    29%

Santos vs Bahia: Statistics and Analysis - Brazil Serie A 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Santos vs Bahia - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Brazil Serie A match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 01:00.

The venue is Estádio Urbano Caldeira.

The fixture is part of game week 32th of the Brazil Serie A season. Santos currently sits in position 8th of the Brazil Serie A table. Bahia occupies position 7th.

Stat Probabilities for Santos vs Bahia

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Santos vs Bahia at 64%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Santos and Bahia point to a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Santos vs Bahia prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Santos vs Bahia?

According to the latest match odds, Santos is the favorite at 2.14 an implied probability of about 46.73%. The full 1X2 market has Santos at 2.14, the draw at 3.93, and Bahia at 3.92.

Overall performance in the Brazil Serie A

Santos's record so far reads 12W-9D-10L from 31 played a win rate of 39% at 1.45 points per game.

Bahia stands at 13W-10D-8L from 31 played, winning 42% of their matches at 1.58 points per game.

In their last five, Santos has gone 3W-1D-1L, averaging 2 points per game.

Bahia's last five read 2W-0D-3L, at 1.2 points per game.

At home, Santos has a 40% win rate (6W-5D-4L from 15 played).

On the road, Bahia has won 40% of their matches (6W-4D-5L from 15 played).

Goal statistics for Santos vs Bahia

In attack, Santos averages 1.55 goals scored per game in the Brazil Serie A (48 in total), while conceding 1.48 per game (46 in total).

Bahia averages 1.42 goals scored per game (44 in total) and 1.26 conceded per game (39 in total).

Santos's top scorer this season is Gabriel Barbosa Almeida, with 15 goals.

For Bahia, Luciano Batista da Silva Junior leads the scoring charts with 10 goals this season.

Santos's main creator is Gabriel Barbosa Almeida, with 5 assists.

Gilberto Moraes Junior tops the Bahia assist chart with 4.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Santos vs Bahia

Santos and Bahia have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Santos wins: 4

  • Draws: 5

  • Bahia wins: 3

Frequently asked questions about Santos vs Bahia

When is Santos vs Bahia?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 01:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Santos and Bahia?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 4-5-3 (Santos wins – draws – Bahia wins).

What was the last match between Santos and Bahia?

The two sides last met on 25/04/2026, and the result was Bahia 2 vs 2 Santos. Full details: Santos vs Bahia, 25/04/2026.

Who is the favorite in Santos vs Bahia?

Santos is the favorite at odds of 2.14, an implied probability of about 46.73%. Santos is priced at 2.14, the draw at 3.93 and Bahia at 3.92.

Where can I find a Santos vs Bahia prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Santos vs Bahia prediction page.

Where can I find Santos vs Bahia stats?

All key statistics for Santos vs Bahia are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Santos vs Bahia?

Live streaming information is available on our Santos vs Bahia stream page.