Mali vs Rwanda
International - Africa Cup of Nations Qualification
Mali are creating the better shooting profile with average 5 overall shots and 1.72 xG. Their season scoring average is 2 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Above average
3.00League 2.49
Over 2.5 Goals
Well above avg
75%League 47%
Both Teams Score
Well above avg
75%League 47%
Cards
Well above avg
4.00League 3.16
Corners
Below average
8.00League 8.72
Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Rwanda average 7 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 8.72, which points to sustained attacking territory.
Over / Under
0.5
1+ gol
OVER100%UNDER0%1.5
2+ gol
OVER75%UNDER25%2.5
3+ gol
OVER75%UNDER25%3.5
4+ gol
OVER50%UNDER50%
The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.
Team Performance
Mali
Home
Rwanda
Away
Points & Results
- 3.00PPG3.00
- 100%Wins100%
- 100%First to Score50%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game2.002.50
- Conceded/game0.501.00
- xG1.721.03
- xGA0.651.91
Trends
- 50%Both Score100%
- 50%Clean Sheet0%
Mali scored in 2/2 recent form matches and averaged 2 goals.
Rwanda scored in 2/2 recent form matches and averaged 2.5 goals.
Rwanda is +25% better in terms of Scored/game
Mali is +100% better in terms of Conceded/game
Mali is +67% better in terms of xG
Mali is +194% better in terms of xGA
Both teams are equal in terms of First-Half Form
Both teams are equal in terms of Offsides
Mali is +23% better in terms of Corners
Rwanda is +200% better in terms of Cards
Mali is +67% better in terms of Shots on Target
Starting
Mali
Coach: Anthony da Silva
Substitutes
Mali
| # | Form | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group A | |||||||||||
| 1 | Morocco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 6 | ||
| 2 | Gabon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | ||
| 3 | Niger | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 4 | Lesotho | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | ||
| Group B | |||||||||||
| 1 | Egypt | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 4 | ||
| 2 | Angola | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 4 | ||
| 3 | Malawi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 4 | South Sudan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 | ||
| Group C | |||||||||||
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 6 | ||
| 2 | Gambia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 | ||
| 3 | Somalia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | ||
| 4 | Ghana | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | ||
| Group D | |||||||||||
| 1 | South Africa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 6 | ||
| 2 | Guinea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | ||
| 3 | Kenya | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | ||
| 4 | Eritrea | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 | ||
| Group E | |||||||||||
| 1 | Congo DR | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 6 | ||
| 2 | Zimbabwe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | ||
| 3 | Equatorial Guinea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 4 | Sierra Leone | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 | ||
| Group F | |||||||||||
| 1 | Burkina Faso | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 | ||
| 2 | Benin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 | ||
| 3 | Mauritania | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 3 | ||
| 4 | Central African Republic | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | ||
| Group G | |||||||||||
| 1 | Cameroon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 | ||
| 2 | Namibia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | ||
| 3 | Comoros | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 4 | Congo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | ||
| Group H | |||||||||||
| 1 | Uganda | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 | ||
| 2 | Tunisia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | ||
| 3 | Botswana | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | ||
| 4 | Libya | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | ||
| Group I | |||||||||||
| 1 | Algeria | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 4 | ||
| 2 | Zambia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | ||
| 3 | Togo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 4 | Burundi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | ||
| Group J | |||||||||||
| 1 | Mozambique | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 4 | ||
| 2 | Senegal | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 | ||
| 3 | Sudan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | ||
| 4 | Ethiopia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | ||
| Group K | |||||||||||
| 1 | Mali | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 6 | ||
| 2 | Rwanda | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 6 | ||
| 3 | Liberia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | ||
| 4 | Cape Verde | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | ||
| Group L | |||||||||||
| 1 | Guinea-Bissau | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 6 | ||
| 2 | Nigeria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | ||
| 3 | Madagascar | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | ||
| 4 | Tanzania | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | ||
Mali vs Rwanda: Statistics and Analysis - Africa Cup of Nations Qualification 2027
On this page you can check all the key statistics for Mali vs Rwanda - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
This Africa Cup of Nations Qualification match will be played on 13/11/2026 (Friday) at 19:00.
The fixture is part of game week 3rd of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualification season. Mali currently sits in position 1st of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualification table. Rwanda occupies position 2nd.
Stat Probabilities for Mali vs Rwanda
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Mali vs Rwanda at 75%.
Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Mali and Rwanda point to a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the Mali vs Rwanda prediction page.
Who is the favorite in Mali vs Rwanda?
According to the latest match odds, is the favorite at an implied probability of about 0%. The full 1X2 market has Mali at , the draw at , and Rwanda at .
Overall performance in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualification
Mali's record so far reads 2W-0D-0L from 2 played a win rate of 100% at 3 points per game.
Rwanda stands at 2W-0D-0L from 2 played, winning 100% of their matches at 3 points per game.
At home, Mali has a 100% win rate (1W-0D-0L from 1 played).
On the road, Rwanda has won 100% of their matches (1W-0D-0L from 1 played).
Goal statistics for Mali vs Rwanda
In attack, Mali averages 2 goals scored per game in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualification (4 in total), while conceding 0.5 per game (1 in total).
Rwanda averages 2.5 goals scored per game (5 in total) and 1 conceded per game (2 in total).
Mali's top scorer this season is Kamory Doumbia, with 8 goals.
For Rwanda, Gilbert Mugisha leads the scoring charts with 2 goals this season.
Mali's main creator is Yves Bissouma, with 2 assists.
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Head-to-head: Mali vs Rwanda
Mali and Rwanda have met 2 times in recent years. The record:
Mali wins: 2
Draws: 0
Rwanda wins: 0
Frequently asked questions about Mali vs Rwanda
When is Mali vs Rwanda?
The match will be played on 13/11/2026 (Friday) at 19:00.
What is the head-to-head record between Mali and Rwanda?
Across their last 2 meetings the record is 2-0-0 (Mali wins – draws – Rwanda wins).
What was the last match between Mali and Rwanda?
The two sides last met on 11/11/2021, and the result was Rwanda 0 vs 3 Mali. Full details: Mali vs Rwanda, 11/11/2021.
Who is the favorite in Mali vs Rwanda?
is the favorite at odds of , an implied probability of about 0%. Mali is priced at , the draw at and Rwanda at .
Where can I find a Mali vs Rwanda prediction?
You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Mali vs Rwanda prediction page.
Where can I find Mali vs Rwanda stats?
All key statistics for Mali vs Rwanda are on this page, updated in real time.
Where can I watch Mali vs Rwanda?
Live streaming information is available on our Mali vs Rwanda stream page.