De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk

Netherlands - Eerste Divisie

v.s

23 Oct 2026 14:00

RKC Waalwijk are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.36 overall shots and 1.68 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.82 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

38%
De Graafschap to win
24%
Draw
38%
RKC Waalwijk to win

The result market leans toward De Graafschap at 40%. The points profile supports that read: De Graafschap average 1.2 PPG and RKC Waalwijk average 1 PPG in the comparable split.

De Graafschap
4
wins
2
draws
RKC Waalwijk
2
wins
50%
BTTS
4/8
88%
OVER 0.5
7/8
75%
OVER 1.5
6/8
63%
OVER 2.5
5/8

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Below average

    3.00

    League 3.49

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Below average

    50%

    League 66%

  • Both Teams Score

    Below average

    60%

    League 67%

  • Cards

    Above average

    4.20

    League 3.50

  • Corners

    Average

    9.60

    League 10.31

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. De Graafschap average 10.6 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.31, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    100%
    UNDER
    0%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    95%
    UNDER
    5%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    70%
    UNDER
    30%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    40%
    UNDER
    60%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

De Graafschap

Home

LWDWL
VS

RKC Waalwijk

Away

DLDLW

Points & Results

  • 1.00
    PPG
    1.36
  • 27%
    Wins
    27%
  • 27%
    First to Score
    45%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.27
    Scored/game
    1.82
  • 2.27
    Conceded/game
    1.45
  • 1.53
    xG
    1.68
  • 1.90
    xGA
    1.38

Trends

  • 82%
    Both Score
    73%
  • 9%
    Clean Sheet
    9%

De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk: Statistics and Analysis - Eerste Divisie 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Eerste Divisie match will be played on 23/10/2026 (Friday) at 19:00.

The venue is Stadion De Vijverberg.

The fixture is part of game week 12th of the Eerste Divisie season. De Graafschap currently sits in position 16th of the Eerste Divisie table. RKC Waalwijk occupies position 10th.

Stat Probabilities for De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk at 60%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for De Graafschap and RKC Waalwijk point to a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

Corners against De Graafschap: opponents have taken 5 or more corners in 82% of De Graafschap's matches.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk prediction page.

Who is the favorite in De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk?

According to the latest match odds, De Graafschap is the favorite at 2.597 an implied probability of about 38.51%. The full 1X2 market has De Graafschap at 2.597, the draw at 4.348, and RKC Waalwijk at 2.6.

Overall performance in the Eerste Divisie

De Graafschap's record so far reads 3W-2D-6L from 11 played a win rate of 27% at 1 points per game.

RKC Waalwijk stands at 3W-6D-2L from 11 played, winning 27% of their matches at 1.36 points per game.

In their last five, De Graafschap has gone 2W-1D-2L, averaging 1.4 points per game.

RKC Waalwijk's last five read 1W-2D-2L, at 1 points per game.

At home, De Graafschap has a 40% win rate (2W-0D-3L from 5 played).

On the road, RKC Waalwijk has won 20% of their matches (1W-2D-2L from 5 played).

Goal statistics for De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk

In attack, De Graafschap averages 1.27 goals scored per game in the Eerste Divisie (14 in total), while conceding 2.27 per game (25 in total).

RKC Waalwijk averages 1.82 goals scored per game (20 in total) and 1.45 conceded per game (16 in total).

De Graafschap's top scorer this season is Reuven Niemeijer, with 19 goals.

For RKC Waalwijk, Jesper Uneken leads the scoring charts with 14 goals this season.

De Graafschap's main creator is Jevon Simons, with 7 assists.

Juan Familio-Castillo tops the RKC Waalwijk assist chart with 7.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk

De Graafschap and RKC Waalwijk have met 8 times in recent years. The record:

  • De Graafschap wins: 4

  • Draws: 2

  • RKC Waalwijk wins: 2

Frequently asked questions about De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk

When is De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk?

The match will be played on 23/10/2026 (Friday) at 19:00.

What is the head-to-head record between De Graafschap and RKC Waalwijk?

Across their last 8 meetings the record is 4-2-2 (De Graafschap wins – draws – RKC Waalwijk wins).

What was the last match between De Graafschap and RKC Waalwijk?

The two sides last met on 23/01/2026, and the result was De Graafschap 2 vs 4 RKC Waalwijk. Full details: De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk, 23/01/2026.

Who is the favorite in De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk?

De Graafschap is the favorite at odds of 2.597, an implied probability of about 38.51%. De Graafschap is priced at 2.597, the draw at 4.348 and RKC Waalwijk at 2.6.

Where can I find a De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk prediction page.

Where can I find De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk stats?

All key statistics for De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk?

Live streaming information is available on our De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk stream page.