PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya
Indonesia - Liga 1
Persebaya Surabaya are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.6 overall shots and 1.73 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.2 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.
Result Probability
The result market leans toward Persebaya Surabaya at 51%. The points profile supports that read: PSM average 1 PPG and Persebaya Surabaya average 2 PPG in the comparable split.
- 25/02/2026, 13:30Liga 1Persebaya Surabaya1 - 0PSM25/02/2026, 13:30Liga 1Persebaya Surabaya
1 - 0
PSM - 06/12/2025, 12:00Liga 1PSM1 - 1Persebaya Surabaya06/12/2025, 12:00Liga 1PSM
1 - 1
Persebaya Surabaya - 07/03/2025, 13:30Liga 1PSM0 - 1Persebaya Surabaya07/03/2025, 13:30Liga 1PSM
0 - 1
Persebaya Surabaya - 23/10/2024, 12:00Liga 1Persebaya Surabaya1 - 1PSM23/10/2024, 12:00Liga 1Persebaya Surabaya
1 - 1
PSM - 28/02/2024, 12:00Liga 1PSM0 - 0Persebaya Surabaya28/02/2024, 12:00Liga 1PSM
0 - 0
Persebaya Surabaya
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Above average
3.25League 2.96
Over 2.5 Goals
Below average
50%League 56%
Both Teams Score
Above average
75%League 63%
Cards
Well above avg
5.50League 3.96
Corners
Well above avg
15.50League 10.38
Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Persebaya Surabaya average 13 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.38, which points to sustained attacking territory.
Over / Under
0.5
1+ gol
OVER100%UNDER0%1.5
2+ gol
OVER80%UNDER20%2.5
3+ gol
OVER60%UNDER40%3.5
4+ gol
OVER40%UNDER60%
The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.
Team Performance
PSM
Home
Persebaya Surabaya
Away
Points & Results
- 1.00PPG1.80
- 20%Wins40%
- 40%First to Score80%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.601.20
- Conceded/game2.400.80
- xG1.471.73
- xGA1.320.95
Trends
- 80%Both Score60%
- 0%Clean Sheet40%
- 16/10/2026, 08:30Liga 1PSIM Yogyakarta1 - 2WPSM16/10/2026, 08:30Liga 1PSIM Yogyakarta
1 - 2
PSMW - 11/10/2026, 08:30Liga 1PSS Sleman3 - 0LPSM11/10/2026, 08:30Liga 1PSS Sleman
3 - 0
PSML - 19/09/2026, 08:30Liga 1PSM2 - 2DPersita19/09/2026, 08:30Liga 1PSM
2 - 2
PersitaD - 13/09/2026, 08:30Liga 1PSM3 - 3DArema13/09/2026, 08:30Liga 1PSM
3 - 3
AremaD - 06/09/2026, 12:00Liga 1Persib3 - 1LPSM06/09/2026, 12:00Liga 1Persib
3 - 1
PSML
PSM scored in 4/5 recent form matches and averaged 1.6 goals.
- 18/10/2026, 08:30Liga 1Persebaya Surabaya2 - 2DPSS Sleman18/10/2026, 08:30Liga 1Persebaya Surabaya
2 - 2
PSS SlemanD - 09/10/2026, 12:00Liga 1Adhyaksa0 - 1WPersebaya Surabaya09/10/2026, 12:00Liga 1Adhyaksa
0 - 1
Persebaya SurabayaW - 19/09/2026, 08:30Liga 1Persebaya Surabaya1 - 1DGarudayaksa FC19/09/2026, 08:30Liga 1Persebaya Surabaya
1 - 1
Garudayaksa FCD - 13/09/2026, 12:00Liga 1Persebaya Surabaya1 - 0WPSIM Yogyakarta13/09/2026, 12:00Liga 1Persebaya Surabaya
1 - 0
PSIM YogyakartaW - 05/09/2026, 08:30Liga 1Bhayangkara1 - 1DPersebaya Surabaya05/09/2026, 08:30Liga 1Bhayangkara
1 - 1
Persebaya SurabayaD
Persebaya Surabaya scored in 5/5 recent form matches and averaged 1.2 goals.
PSM is +33% better in terms of Scored/game
Persebaya Surabaya is +200% better in terms of Conceded/game
Persebaya Surabaya is +18% better in terms of xG
Persebaya Surabaya is +39% better in terms of xGA
Persebaya Surabaya is +125% better in terms of First-Half Form
PSM is +9% better in terms of Offsides
Persebaya Surabaya is +36% better in terms of Corners
PSM is +56% better in terms of Cards
Persebaya Surabaya is +22% better in terms of Shots on Target
- 1Muhammad Ardiansyah
Goalkeeper
- 2Aloísio Soares Neto
Defender
- 22Victor Filho
Defender
- 71Muhammad Mufli Hidayat
Defender
- 94Dušan Lagator
Defender
- 8Stefan Jevtoski
Midfielder
- 11Luka Bulatović
Midfielder
- 16Ezequiel Agüero
Midfielder
- 29Achmat Fahrul Aditia
Midfielder
- 7Lars Veldwijk
Forward
- 24Muhammad Pratama
Forward
- Resky Fandi Witriawan
Midfielder
- Navarone Foor
Midfielder
- Kodai Tanaka
Forward
- Rashyid Assyahid Bakri
Midfielder
- Gala Pagamo
Forward
- Henhen Herdiana
Defender
- Akbar Tanjung
Midfielder
- Muhammad Arfan
Midfielder
- Riski Aditya
Forward
- Abdul Rahman
Forward
- Ananda Raehan Alif
Midfielder
- Hilman Syah
Goalkeeper
| # | Form | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dewa United | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 14 | |
| 2 | Persija | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 12 | |
| 3 | Persita | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 11 | |
| 4 | Persib | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 | |
| 5 | Madura United | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 10 | |
| 6 | Bhayangkara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 10 | |
| 7 | Bali United | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 9 | |
| 8 | Persebaya Surabaya | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 9 | |
| 9 | Malut United | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 | |
| 10 | Persik Kediri | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 7 | |
| 11 | Arema | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 6 | |
| 12 | Borneo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 | |
| 13 | Garudayaksa FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 | |
| 14 | PSM | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 | |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 4 | |
| 16 | Adhyaksa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 4 | |
| 17 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 1 | |
| 18 | Persijap | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 14 | -12 | 0 |
PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya: Statistics and Analysis - Liga 1 2026/2027
On this page you can check all the key statistics for PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
This Liga 1 match will be played on 22/10/2026 (Thursday) at 09:30.
The fixture is part of game week 6th of the Liga 1 season. PSM currently sits in position 14th of the Liga 1 table. Persebaya Surabaya occupies position 8th.
Stat Probabilities for PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya at 75%.
Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for PSM and Persebaya Surabaya point to a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.
PSM over 1.5 goals scored: the numbers give PSM a 100% chance of scoring 2 or more goals.
PSM over 1.5 goals conceded: based on their record, there is a 100% chance of PSM conceding 2 or more goals.
Persebaya Surabaya over 4.5 corners: Persebaya Surabaya has taken 5 or more corners in 80% of their matches in the competition.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya prediction page.
Who is the favorite in PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya?
According to the latest match odds, Persebaya Surabaya is the favorite at 2.174 an implied probability of about 46.00%. The full 1X2 market has PSM at 3.846, the draw at 3.509, and Persebaya Surabaya at 2.174.
Overall performance in the Liga 1
PSM's record so far reads 1W-2D-2L from 5 played a win rate of 20% at 1 points per game.
Persebaya Surabaya stands at 2W-3D-0L from 5 played, winning 40% of their matches at 1.8 points per game.
In their last five, PSM has gone 1W-2D-2L, averaging 1 points per game.
Persebaya Surabaya's last five read 2W-3D-0L, at 1.8 points per game.
At home, PSM has a 0% win rate (0W-2D-0L from 2 played).
On the road, Persebaya Surabaya has won 50% of their matches (1W-1D-0L from 2 played).
Goal statistics for PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya
In attack, PSM averages 1.6 goals scored per game in the Liga 1 (8 in total), while conceding 2.4 per game (12 in total).
Persebaya Surabaya averages 1.2 goals scored per game (6 in total) and 0.8 conceded per game (4 in total).
PSM's top scorer this season is Alex de Aguiar Gomes, with 6 goals.
For Persebaya Surabaya, Francisco Israel Rivera Dávalos leads the scoring charts with 13 goals this season.
PSM's main creator is Victor Luiz Prestes Filho, with 9 assists.
Francisco Israel Rivera Dávalos tops the Persebaya Surabaya assist chart with 7.
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Head-to-head: PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya
PSM and Persebaya Surabaya have met 12 times in recent years. The record:
PSM wins: 5
Draws: 3
Persebaya Surabaya wins: 4
Frequently asked questions about PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya
When is PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya?
The match will be played on 22/10/2026 (Thursday) at 09:30.
What is the head-to-head record between PSM and Persebaya Surabaya?
Across their last 12 meetings the record is 5-3-4 (PSM wins – draws – Persebaya Surabaya wins).
What was the last match between PSM and Persebaya Surabaya?
The two sides last met on 25/02/2026, and the result was Persebaya Surabaya 1 vs 0 PSM. Full details: PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya, 25/02/2026.
Who is the favorite in PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Persebaya Surabaya is the favorite at odds of 2.174, an implied probability of about 46.00%. PSM is priced at 3.846, the draw at 3.509 and Persebaya Surabaya at 2.174.
Where can I find a PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya prediction?
You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya prediction page.
Where can I find PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya stats?
All key statistics for PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya are on this page, updated in real time.
Where can I watch PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Live streaming information is available on our PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya stream page.