Tonota vs Police XI
Botswana - Botswana Premier League
Tonota are creating the better shooting profile with average 5 overall shots and 1.89 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.4 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.
Result Probability
The result market leans toward Tonota at 99%. The points profile supports that read: Tonota average 2.33 PPG and Police XI average 3 PPG in the comparable split.
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Well below avg
1.17League 2.03
Both Teams Score
Well below avg
17%League 45%
Corners
Well above avg
12.67League 9.60
Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Police XI average 10 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.6, which points to sustained attacking territory.
Over / Under
0.5
1+ gol
OVER77%UNDER23%1.5
2+ gol
OVER44%UNDER56%2.5
3+ gol
OVER11%UNDER89%3.5
4+ gol
OVER11%UNDER89%
The recent scoring sample is stronger for Under 2.5 at 89% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.
Team Performance
Tonota
Home
Police XI
Away
Points & Results
- 2.20PPG2.00
- 60%Wins50%
- 100%First to Score50%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.400.75
- Conceded/game0.600.00
- xG1.891.68
- xGA1.061.99
Trends
- 60%Both Score0%
- 40%Clean Sheet100%
- 10/09/2026, 17:00Botswana Premier LeagueTonota1 - 0Sua FlamingoesW10/09/2026, 17:00Botswana Premier LeagueTonota
1 - 0
Sua FlamingoesW - 10/03/2026, 14:00Botswana Premier LeagueMatebele1 - 3TonotaW10/03/2026, 14:00Botswana Premier LeagueMatebele
1 - 3
TonotaW - 09/16/2026, 17:00Botswana Premier LeagueCentre Chiefs1 - 1TonotaD09/16/2026, 17:00Botswana Premier LeagueCentre Chiefs
1 - 1
TonotaD - 09/11/2026, 17:00Botswana Premier LeagueTonota1 - 1BDF XID09/11/2026, 17:00Botswana Premier LeagueTonota
1 - 1
BDF XID - 08/29/2026, 17:00Botswana Premier LeagueTonota1 - 0TAFICW08/29/2026, 17:00Botswana Premier LeagueTonota
1 - 0
TAFICW
Tonota scored in 5/5 recent form matches and averaged 1.4 goals.
- 10/11/2026, 14:00Botswana Premier LeaguePolice XI0 - 0Extension GunnersD10/11/2026, 14:00Botswana Premier LeaguePolice XI
0 - 0
Extension GunnersD - 09/19/2026, 14:00Botswana Premier LeaguePolice XI0 - 0Orapa UnitedD09/19/2026, 14:00Botswana Premier LeaguePolice XI
0 - 0
Orapa UnitedD - 09/05/2026, 14:00Botswana Premier LeagueMatebele0 - 1Police XIW09/05/2026, 14:00Botswana Premier LeagueMatebele
0 - 1
Police XIW - 08/30/2026, 14:00Botswana Premier LeaguePolice XI2 - 0Morupule WanderersW08/30/2026, 14:00Botswana Premier LeaguePolice XI
2 - 0
Morupule WanderersW
Police XI scored in 2/4 recent form matches and averaged 0.75 goals.
Tonota is +87% better in terms of Scored/game
Police XI is +100% better in terms of Conceded/game
Tonota is +13% better in terms of xG
Tonota is +88% better in terms of xGA
Tonota is +20% better in terms of First-Half Form
Both teams are equal in terms of Offsides
Police XI is +43% better in terms of Corners
Both teams are equal in terms of Cards
Tonota is +25% better in terms of Shots on Target
| # | Form | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tonota | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 11 | |
| 2 | Police XI | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 8 | |
| 3 | Sua Flamingoes | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 8 | |
| 4 | Centre Chiefs | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 7 | |
| 5 | Extension Gunners | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 7 | |
| 6 | Gaborone United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 6 | |
| 7 | Orapa United | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 6 | |
| 8 | Township Rollers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 5 | |
| 9 | Enesia | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 | |
| 10 | TAFIC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | |
| 11 | BDF XI | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 | |
| 12 | Galaxy | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 13 | Prisons XI | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | |
| 14 | Nico United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | |
| 15 | Morupule Wanderers | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 2 | |
| 16 | Matebele | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
Tonota vs Police XI: Statistics and Analysis - Botswana Premier League 2026/2027
On this page you can check all the key statistics for Tonota vs Police XI - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
This Botswana Premier League match will be played on 17/10/2026 (Saturday) at 15:00.
The venue is Francistown Stadium.
The fixture is part of game week 6th of the Botswana Premier League season. Tonota currently sits in position 1st of the Botswana Premier League table. Police XI occupies position 2nd.
Stat Probabilities for Tonota vs Police XI
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Tonota vs Police XI at 17%.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the Tonota vs Police XI prediction page.
Who is the favorite in Tonota vs Police XI?
According to the latest match odds, is the favorite at an implied probability of about 0%. The full 1X2 market has Tonota at 1.01, the draw at 1.01, and Police XI at 1.01.
Overall performance in the Botswana Premier League
Tonota's record so far reads 3W-2D-0L from 5 played a win rate of 60% at 2.2 points per game.
Police XI stands at 2W-2D-0L from 4 played, winning 50% of their matches at 2 points per game.
In their last five, Tonota has gone 3W-2D-0L, averaging 2.2 points per game.
At home, Tonota has a 67% win rate (2W-1D-0L from 3 played).
On the road, Police XI has won 100% of their matches (1W-0D-0L from 1 played).
Goal statistics for Tonota vs Police XI
In attack, Tonota averages 1.4 goals scored per game in the Botswana Premier League (7 in total), while conceding 0.6 per game (3 in total).
Police XI averages 0.75 goals scored per game (3 in total) and 0 conceded per game (0 in total).
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Frequently asked questions about Tonota vs Police XI
When is Tonota vs Police XI?
The match will be played on 17/10/2026 (Saturday) at 15:00.
Who is the favorite in Tonota vs Police XI?
is the favorite at odds of , an implied probability of about 0%. Tonota is priced at 1.01, the draw at 1.01 and Police XI at 1.01.
Where can I find a Tonota vs Police XI prediction?
You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Tonota vs Police XI prediction page.
Where can I find Tonota vs Police XI stats?
All key statistics for Tonota vs Police XI are on this page, updated in real time.
Where can I watch Tonota vs Police XI?
Live streaming information is available on our Tonota vs Police XI stream page.