Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes

Nigeria - NPFL

v.s

25 Oct 2026 11:00

Niger Tornadoes are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.86 overall shots and 1.85 xG. Their season scoring average is 0.89 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

34%
Abia Warriors to win
33%
Draw
33%
Niger Tornadoes to win

The result market leans toward Abia Warriors at 99%. The points profile supports that read: Abia Warriors average 1.5 PPG and Niger Tornadoes average 0.25 PPG in the comparable split.

Abia Warriors
5
wins
3
draws
Niger Tornadoes
3
wins
55%
BTTS
6/11
100%
OVER 0.5
11/11
73%
OVER 1.5
8/11
36%
OVER 2.5
4/11

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Well below avg

    1.75

    League 2.39

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Average

    38%

    League 41%

  • Both Teams Score

    Well below avg

    25%

    League 45%

  • Corners

    Below average

    8.00

    League 9.48

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Niger Tornadoes average 12 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.48, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    77%
    UNDER
    23%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    61%
    UNDER
    39%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    38%
    UNDER
    62%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    22%
    UNDER
    78%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Under 3.5 at 78% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Abia Warriors

Home

DDLWL
VS

Niger Tornadoes

Away

WDWLD

Points & Results

  • 1.11
    PPG
    1.33
  • 22%
    Wins
    33%
  • 33%
    First to Score
    33%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.00
    Scored/game
    0.89
  • 1.33
    Conceded/game
    0.89
  • 1.17
    xG
    1.85
  • 1.42
    xGA
    1.43

Trends

  • 33%
    Both Score
    44%
  • 44%
    Clean Sheet
    33%

Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes: Statistics and Analysis - NPFL 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This NPFL match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 15:00.

The venue is Umuahia Township Stadium.

The fixture is part of game week 10th of the NPFL season. Abia Warriors currently sits in position 16th of the NPFL table. Niger Tornadoes occupies position 11th.

Stat Probabilities for Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes at 25%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Abia Warriors and Niger Tornadoes point to a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes?

According to the latest match odds, is the favorite at an implied probability of about 0%. The full 1X2 market has Abia Warriors at 1.01, the draw at 1.01, and Niger Tornadoes at 1.01.

Overall performance in the NPFL

Abia Warriors's record so far reads 2W-4D-3L from 9 played a win rate of 22% at 1.11 points per game.

Niger Tornadoes stands at 3W-3D-3L from 9 played, winning 33% of their matches at 1.33 points per game.

In their last five, Abia Warriors has gone 1W-2D-2L, averaging 1 points per game.

Niger Tornadoes's last five read 2W-2D-1L, at 1.6 points per game.

At home, Abia Warriors has a 25% win rate (1W-3D-0L from 4 played).

On the road, Niger Tornadoes has won 0% of their matches (0W-1D-3L from 4 played).

Goal statistics for Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes

In attack, Abia Warriors averages 1 goals scored per game in the NPFL (9 in total), while conceding 1.33 per game (12 in total).

Niger Tornadoes averages 0.89 goals scored per game (8 in total) and 0.89 conceded per game (8 in total).

Abia Warriors's top scorer this season is Chukwuemeka Obioma, with 10 goals.

For Niger Tornadoes, Abdulrasheed Shehu Dabai leads the scoring charts with 8 goals this season.

Abdulrasheed Shehu Dabai tops the Niger Tornadoes assist chart with 3.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes

Abia Warriors and Niger Tornadoes have met 11 times in recent years. The record:

  • Abia Warriors wins: 5

  • Draws: 3

  • Niger Tornadoes wins: 3

Frequently asked questions about Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes

When is Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 15:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Abia Warriors and Niger Tornadoes?

Across their last 11 meetings the record is 5-3-3 (Abia Warriors wins – draws – Niger Tornadoes wins).

What was the last match between Abia Warriors and Niger Tornadoes?

The two sides last met on 23/03/2026, and the result was Abia Warriors 2 vs 1 Niger Tornadoes. Full details: Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes, 23/03/2026.

Who is the favorite in Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes?

is the favorite at odds of , an implied probability of about 0%. Abia Warriors is priced at 1.01, the draw at 1.01 and Niger Tornadoes at 1.01.

Where can I find a Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes prediction page.

Where can I find Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes stats?

All key statistics for Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes?

Live streaming information is available on our Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes stream page.