Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons

England - EFL League One

Stevenage

v.s

24 Oct 2026 10:00

Milton Keynes Dons

Stevenage are creating the better shooting profile with average 3.78 overall shots and 1.27 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.33 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

48%
Stevenage to win
27%
Draw
25%
Milton Keynes Dons to win

The result market leans toward Stevenage at 53%. The points profile supports that read: Stevenage average 1.75 PPG and Milton Keynes Dons average 0.75 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
Stevenage
2
wins
4
draws
Milton Keynes Dons
0
wins
83%
BTTS
5/6
83%
OVER 0.5
5/6
83%
OVER 1.5
5/6
50%
OVER 2.5
3/6

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    3.00

    League 2.84

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well above avg

    70%

    League 54%

  • Both Teams Score

    Average

    60%

    League 59%

  • Cards

    Average

    3.80

    League 3.82

  • Corners

    Average

    10.60

    League 11.06

Based on 125 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Milton Keynes Dons average 12 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 11.06, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    85%
    UNDER
    15%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    75%
    UNDER
    25%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    50%
    UNDER
    50%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    30%
    UNDER
    70%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 85% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Stevenage

Home

WLWLW
VS

Milton Keynes Dons

Away

LWLDD

Points & Results

  • 1.33
    PPG
    1.00
  • 33%
    Wins
    11%
  • 33%
    First to Score
    22%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.33
    Scored/game
    1.22
  • 1.11
    Conceded/game
    1.78
  • 1.27
    xG
    1.40
  • 1.16
    xGA
    1.79

Trends

  • 56%
    Both Score
    78%
  • 22%
    Clean Sheet
    22%

Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: Statistics and Analysis - EFL League One 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This EFL League One match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 15:00.

The venue is The Lamex Stadium.

The fixture is part of game week 13th of the EFL League One season. Stevenage currently sits in position 12th of the EFL League One table. Milton Keynes Dons occupies position 18th.

Stat Probabilities for Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons at 60%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Stevenage and Milton Keynes Dons point to a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?

According to the latest match odds, Stevenage is the favorite at 2.37 an implied probability of about 42.19%. The full 1X2 market has Stevenage at 2.37, the draw at 3.774, and Milton Keynes Dons at 4.255.

Overall performance in the EFL League One

Stevenage's record so far reads 3W-3D-3L from 9 played a win rate of 33% at 1.33 points per game.

Milton Keynes Dons stands at 1W-6D-2L from 9 played, winning 11% of their matches at 1 points per game.

In their last five, Stevenage has gone 3W-0D-2L, averaging 1.8 points per game.

Milton Keynes Dons's last five read 1W-3D-1L, at 1.2 points per game.

At home, Stevenage has a 50% win rate (2W-1D-1L from 4 played).

On the road, Milton Keynes Dons has won 0% of their matches (0W-3D-1L from 4 played).

Goal statistics for Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons

In attack, Stevenage averages 1.33 goals scored per game in the EFL League One (12 in total), while conceding 1.11 per game (10 in total).

Milton Keynes Dons averages 1.22 goals scored per game (11 in total) and 1.78 conceded per game (16 in total).

Stevenage's top scorer this season is Jamie Reid, with 14 goals.

For Milton Keynes Dons, Callum Paterson leads the scoring charts with 16 goals this season.

Stevenage's main creator is Harvey White, with 7 assists.

Liam Kelly tops the Milton Keynes Dons assist chart with 9.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons

Stevenage and Milton Keynes Dons have met 6 times in recent years. The record:

  • Stevenage wins: 2

  • Draws: 4

  • Milton Keynes Dons wins: 0

Frequently asked questions about Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons

When is Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?

The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 15:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Stevenage and Milton Keynes Dons?

Across their last 6 meetings the record is 2-4-0 (Stevenage wins – draws – Milton Keynes Dons wins).

What was the last match between Stevenage and Milton Keynes Dons?

The two sides last met on 16/11/2021, and the result was Stevenage 2 vs 1 Milton Keynes Dons. Full details: Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons, 16/11/2021.

Who is the favorite in Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Stevenage is the favorite at odds of 2.37, an implied probability of about 42.19%. Stevenage is priced at 2.37, the draw at 3.774 and Milton Keynes Dons at 4.255.

Where can I find a Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons prediction page.

Where can I find Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons stats?

All key statistics for Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Live streaming information is available on our Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons stream page.