Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen
Germany - Bundesliga
Werder Bremen are creating the better shooting profile with average 6.83 overall shots and 1.64 xG. Their season scoring average is 2 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.
Result Probability
The result market leans toward Mainz 05 at 58%. The points profile supports that read: Mainz 05 average 0.33 PPG and Werder Bremen average 0.67 PPG in the comparable split.
- 15/03/2026, 14:30BundesligaWerder Bremen0 - 2Mainz 0515/03/2026, 14:30BundesligaWerder Bremen
0 - 2
Mainz 05 - 01/11/2025, 14:30BundesligaMainz 051 - 1Werder Bremen01/11/2025, 14:30BundesligaMainz 05
1 - 1
Werder Bremen - 31/01/2025, 19:30BundesligaWerder Bremen1 - 0Mainz 0531/01/2025, 19:30BundesligaWerder Bremen
1 - 0
Mainz 05 - 15/09/2024, 15:30BundesligaMainz 051 - 2Werder Bremen15/09/2024, 15:30BundesligaMainz 05
1 - 2
Werder Bremen - 03/02/2024, 14:30BundesligaMainz 050 - 1Werder Bremen03/02/2024, 14:30BundesligaMainz 05
0 - 1
Werder Bremen
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Average
3.67League 3.69
Over 2.5 Goals
Below average
67%League 74%
Both Teams Score
Well above avg
84%League 59%
Cards
Well below avg
2.33League 3.59
Corners
Average
10.66League 10.72
Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Werder Bremen average 12 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.72, which points to sustained attacking territory.
Over / Under
0.5
1+ gol
OVER91%UNDER9%1.5
2+ gol
OVER83%UNDER17%2.5
3+ gol
OVER75%UNDER25%3.5
4+ gol
OVER75%UNDER25%
The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 91% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.
Team Performance
Mainz 05
Home
Werder Bremen
Away
Points & Results
- 1.67PPG1.50
- 50%Wins33%
- 33%First to Score17%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game2.332.00
- Conceded/game1.672.00
- xG1.921.64
- xGA1.341.78
Trends
- 50%Both Score100%
- 50%Clean Sheet0%
- 17/10/2026, 13:30BundesligaSchalke 040 - 1Mainz 05W17/10/2026, 13:30BundesligaSchalke 04
0 - 1
Mainz 05W - 10/10/2026, 13:30BundesligaMainz 053 - 4Bayer LeverkusenL10/10/2026, 13:30BundesligaMainz 05
3 - 4
Bayer LeverkusenL - 19/09/2026, 13:30BundesligaBorussia M'gladbach3 - 4Mainz 05W19/09/2026, 13:30BundesligaBorussia M'gladbach
3 - 4
Mainz 05W - 12/09/2026, 13:30BundesligaMainz 051 - 3Eintracht FrankfurtL12/09/2026, 13:30BundesligaMainz 05
1 - 3
Eintracht FrankfurtL - 06/09/2026, 13:30BundesligaHamburger SV0 - 5Mainz 05W06/09/2026, 13:30BundesligaHamburger SV
0 - 5
Mainz 05W - 29/08/2026, 13:30BundesligaMainz 050 - 0PaderbornD29/08/2026, 13:30BundesligaMainz 05
0 - 0
PaderbornD
Mainz 05 scored in 5/6 recent form matches and averaged 2.33 goals.
- 17/10/2026, 13:30BundesligaWerder Bremen2 - 2PaderbornD17/10/2026, 13:30BundesligaWerder Bremen
2 - 2
PaderbornD - 09/10/2026, 18:30BundesligaBorussia Dortmund2 - 2Werder BremenD09/10/2026, 18:30BundesligaBorussia Dortmund
2 - 2
Werder BremenD - 19/09/2026, 13:30BundesligaWerder Bremen3 - 2AugsburgW19/09/2026, 13:30BundesligaWerder Bremen
3 - 2
AugsburgW - 12/09/2026, 16:30BundesligaKöln1 - 1Werder BremenD12/09/2026, 16:30BundesligaKöln
1 - 1
Werder BremenD - 05/09/2026, 13:30BundesligaWerder Bremen3 - 1RB LeipzigW05/09/2026, 13:30BundesligaWerder Bremen
3 - 1
RB LeipzigW - 30/08/2026, 13:30BundesligaFreiburg4 - 1Werder BremenL30/08/2026, 13:30BundesligaFreiburg
4 - 1
Werder BremenL
Werder Bremen scored in 6/6 recent form matches and averaged 2 goals.
Mainz 05 is +17% better in terms of Scored/game
Mainz 05 is +20% better in terms of Conceded/game
Mainz 05 is +17% better in terms of xG
Mainz 05 is +33% better in terms of xGA
Mainz 05 is +173% better in terms of First-Half Form
Mainz 05 is +30% better in terms of Offsides
Werder Bremen is +8% better in terms of Corners
Mainz 05 is +99% better in terms of Cards
Werder Bremen is +14% better in terms of Shots on Target
- 1Alexander Schwolow
Goalkeeper
- 2Philipp Mwene
Defender
- 4Stefan Posch
Defender
- 19Anthony Caci
Defender
- 21Danny da Costa
Defender
- 48Kacper Potulski
Defender
- 6Kaishu Sano
Midfielder
- 7Jae-Sung Lee
Midfielder
- 10Nadiem Amiri
Midfielder
- 9Phillip Tietz
Forward
- 23Sheraldo Becker
Forward
- Fabio Gruber
Defender
- Eric Martel
Midfielder
- Paul Nebel
Midfielder
- Ransford Königsdörffer
Forward
- Lennard Maloney
Midfielder
- Benedict Hollerbach
Forward
- Silvan Widmer
Defender
- Maximilian Kinzig
Goalkeeper
- Rael Nakuzola
Defender
| # | Form | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 5 | +17 | 14 | |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 14 | |
| 3 | Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 13 | |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 13 | |
| 5 | Mainz 05 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 10 | |
| 6 | Elversberg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 10 | |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 9 | |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 | |
| 9 | Hamburger SV | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 9 | |
| 10 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 8 | |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 | |
| 12 | Köln | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 | |
| 13 | Stuttgart | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 6 | |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 6 | |
| 15 | Schalke 04 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | |
| 16 | Paderborn | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 5 | |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 5 | |
| 18 | Borussia M'gladbach | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 0 |
Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen: Statistics and Analysis - Bundesliga 2026/2027
On this page you can check all the key statistics for Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
This Bundesliga match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 14:30.
The venue is Mewa Arena.
The fixture is part of game week 7th of the Bundesliga season. Mainz 05 currently sits in position 5th of the Bundesliga table. Werder Bremen occupies position 8th.
Stat Probabilities for Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen at 84%.
Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen point to a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen prediction page.
Who is the favorite in Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen?
According to the latest match odds, Mainz 05 is the favorite at 1.84 an implied probability of about 54.35%. The full 1X2 market has Mainz 05 at 1.84, the draw at 4.46, and Werder Bremen at 4.72.
Overall performance in the Bundesliga
Mainz 05's record so far reads 3W-1D-2L from 6 played a win rate of 50% at 1.67 points per game.
Werder Bremen stands at 2W-3D-1L from 6 played, winning 33% of their matches at 1.5 points per game.
In their last five, Mainz 05 has gone 3W-0D-2L, averaging 1.8 points per game.
Werder Bremen's last five read 2W-3D-0L, at 1.8 points per game.
At home, Mainz 05 has a 0% win rate (0W-1D-2L from 3 played).
On the road, Werder Bremen has won 0% of their matches (0W-2D-1L from 3 played).
Goal statistics for Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen
In attack, Mainz 05 averages 2.33 goals scored per game in the Bundesliga (14 in total), while conceding 1.67 per game (10 in total).
Werder Bremen averages 2 goals scored per game (12 in total) and 2 conceded per game (12 in total).
Mainz 05's top scorer this season is Nadiem Amiri, with 11 goals.
For Werder Bremen, Jens Stage leads the scoring charts with 10 goals this season.
Mainz 05's main creator is Benedict Hollerbach, with 3 assists.
Romano Schmid tops the Werder Bremen assist chart with 8.
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Head-to-head: Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen
Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen have met 12 times in recent years. The record:
Mainz 05 wins: 5
Draws: 2
Werder Bremen wins: 5
Frequently asked questions about Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen
When is Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen?
The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 14:30.
What is the head-to-head record between Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen?
Across their last 12 meetings the record is 5-2-5 (Mainz 05 wins – draws – Werder Bremen wins).
What was the last match between Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen?
The two sides last met on 15/03/2026, and the result was Werder Bremen 0 vs 2 Mainz 05. Full details: Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen, 15/03/2026.
Who is the favorite in Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen?
Mainz 05 is the favorite at odds of 1.84, an implied probability of about 54.35%. Mainz 05 is priced at 1.84, the draw at 4.46 and Werder Bremen at 4.72.
Where can I find a Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen prediction?
You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen prediction page.
Where can I find Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen stats?
All key statistics for Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen are on this page, updated in real time.
Where can I watch Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen?
Live streaming information is available on our Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen stream page.