Castuera vs Llerenense
Spain - Tercera Group 14
Result Probability
The result market leans toward Castuera at 99%. The points profile supports that read: Castuera average 3 PPG and Llerenense average 2.33 PPG in the comparable split.
- 21/03/2025, 19:30Tercera Group 14Castuera3 - 1AD Llerenense21/03/2025, 19:30Tercera Group 14Castuera
3 - 1
AD Llerenense - 10/11/2024, 15:30Tercera Group 14AD Llerenense2 - 2Castuera10/11/2024, 15:30Tercera Group 14AD Llerenense
2 - 2
Castuera - 14/04/2019, 16:00Tercera Group 14AD Llerenense2 - 0Castuera14/04/2019, 16:00Tercera Group 14AD Llerenense
2 - 0
Castuera - 18/11/2018, 11:00Tercera Group 14Castuera6 - 3AD Llerenense18/11/2018, 11:00Tercera Group 14Castuera
6 - 3
AD Llerenense
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Below average
2.36League 2.63
Over 2.5 Goals
Average
50%League 50%
Both Teams Score
Well below avg
36%League 52%
Corners
Well below avg
5.00League 9.41
Over / Under
0.5
1+ gol
OVER92%UNDER8%1.5
2+ gol
OVER64%UNDER36%2.5
3+ gol
OVER50%UNDER50%3.5
4+ gol
OVER14%UNDER86%
The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 92% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.
Team Performance
Castuera
Home
Llerenense
Away
Points & Results
- 1.86PPG2.71
- 57%Wins86%
- 57%First to Score71%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game2.141.43
- Conceded/game0.860.29
- xG0.001.20
- xGA0.001.09
Trends
- 43%Both Score29%
- 43%Clean Sheet71%
- 21/10/2026, 18:00Tercera Group 14Quintana1 - 1DCastuera21/10/2026, 18:00Tercera Group 14Quintana
1 - 1
CastueraD - 18/10/2026, 10:30Tercera Group 14Moralo2 - 1LCastuera18/10/2026, 10:30Tercera Group 14Moralo
2 - 1
CastueraL - 11/10/2026, 10:00Tercera Group 14Castuera5 - 0WAtlético Pueblonuevo11/10/2026, 10:00Tercera Group 14Castuera
5 - 0
Atlético PueblonuevoW - 27/09/2026, 10:00Tercera Group 14Castuera1 - 0WPlasencia27/09/2026, 10:00Tercera Group 14Castuera
1 - 0
PlasenciaW - 20/09/2026, 17:00Tercera Group 14Jerez1 - 2WCastuera20/09/2026, 17:00Tercera Group 14Jerez
1 - 2
CastueraW - 13/09/2026, 17:00Tercera Group 14Puebla Calzada2 - 0LCastuera13/09/2026, 17:00Tercera Group 14Puebla Calzada
2 - 0
CastueraL - 05/09/2026, 18:00Tercera Group 14Castuera5 - 0WGévora05/09/2026, 18:00Tercera Group 14Castuera
5 - 0
GévoraW
Castuera scored in 6/7 recent form matches and averaged 2.14 goals.
- 21/10/2026, 16:00Tercera Group 14Llerenense3 - 0WSanta Amalia21/10/2026, 16:00Tercera Group 14Llerenense
3 - 0
Santa AmaliaW - 17/10/2026, 16:30Tercera Group 14Llerenense2 - 1WPuebla Calzada17/10/2026, 16:30Tercera Group 14Llerenense
2 - 1
Puebla CalzadaW - 11/10/2026, 16:00Tercera Group 14Gévora1 - 2WLlerenense11/10/2026, 16:00Tercera Group 14Gévora
1 - 2
LlerenenseW - 27/09/2026, 10:30Tercera Group 14Zafra Atlético0 - 0DLlerenense27/09/2026, 10:30Tercera Group 14Zafra Atlético
0 - 0
LlerenenseD - 19/09/2026, 17:00Tercera Group 14Llerenense1 - 0WJaraíz19/09/2026, 17:00Tercera Group 14Llerenense
1 - 0
JaraízW - 13/09/2026, 10:00Tercera Group 14CF Villanovense0 - 1WLlerenense13/09/2026, 10:00Tercera Group 14CF Villanovense
0 - 1
LlerenenseW - 06/09/2026, 17:30Tercera Group 14Llerenense1 - 0WGuadiana06/09/2026, 17:30Tercera Group 14Llerenense
1 - 0
GuadianaW
Llerenense scored in 6/7 recent form matches and averaged 1.43 goals.
Castuera is +50% better in terms of Scored/game
Llerenense is +197% better in terms of Conceded/game
Llerenense is +100% better in terms of xG
Castuera is +100% better in terms of xGA
Llerenense is +22% better in terms of First-Half Form
Llerenense is +100% better in terms of Offsides
Llerenense is +100% better in terms of Corners
Both teams are equal in terms of Cards
Llerenense is +100% better in terms of Shots on Target
| # | Form | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Llerenense | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 19 | |
| 2 | Azuaga | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | +11 | 18 | |
| 3 | Moralo | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 17 | |
| 4 | Castuera | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 13 | |
| 5 | CF Villanovense | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 13 | |
| 6 | Jerez | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 13 | |
| 7 | Villafranca | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | |
| 8 | Montijo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 | |
| 9 | Cabeza del Buey | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 9 | |
| 10 | Zafra Atlético | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 9 | |
| 11 | Puebla Calzada | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 8 | |
| 12 | Gévora | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 | |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 | |
| 14 | Quintana | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 6 | |
| 15 | Jaraíz | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 | |
| 16 | Plasencia | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 5 | |
| 17 | Atlético Pueblonuevo | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 4 | |
| 18 | Guadiana | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 1 |
Castuera vs Llerenense: Statistics and Analysis - Tercera Group 14 2026/2027
On this page you can check all the key statistics for Castuera vs Llerenense - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
This Tercera Group 14 match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 11:00.
The venue is Afak Stadium.
The fixture is part of game week 8th of the Tercera Group 14 season. Castuera currently sits in position 4th of the Tercera Group 14 table. Llerenense occupies position 1st.
Stat Probabilities for Castuera vs Llerenense
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Castuera vs Llerenense at 36%.
Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Castuera and Llerenense point to a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the Castuera vs Llerenense prediction page.
Who is the favorite in Castuera vs Llerenense?
According to the latest match odds, is the favorite at an implied probability of about 0%. The full 1X2 market has Castuera at 1.01, the draw at 1.01, and Llerenense at 1.01.
Overall performance in the Tercera Group 14
Castuera's record so far reads 4W-1D-2L from 7 played a win rate of 57% at 1.86 points per game.
Llerenense stands at 6W-1D-0L from 7 played, winning 86% of their matches at 2.71 points per game.
In their last five, Castuera has gone 3W-1D-1L, averaging 2 points per game.
Llerenense's last five read 4W-1D-0L, at 2.6 points per game.
At home, Castuera has a 100% win rate (3W-0D-0L from 3 played).
On the road, Llerenense has won 67% of their matches (2W-1D-0L from 3 played).
Goal statistics for Castuera vs Llerenense
In attack, Castuera averages 2.14 goals scored per game in the Tercera Group 14 (15 in total), while conceding 0.86 per game (6 in total).
Llerenense averages 1.43 goals scored per game (10 in total) and 0.29 conceded per game (2 in total).
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Head-to-head: Castuera vs Llerenense
Castuera and Llerenense have met 4 times in recent years. The record:
Castuera wins: 2
Draws: 1
Llerenense wins: 1
Frequently asked questions about Castuera vs Llerenense
When is Castuera vs Llerenense?
The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 11:00.
What is the head-to-head record between Castuera and Llerenense?
Across their last 4 meetings the record is 2-1-1 (Castuera wins – draws – Llerenense wins).
What was the last match between Castuera and Llerenense?
The two sides last met on 21/03/2025, and the result was Castuera 3 vs 1 Llerenense. Full details: Castuera vs Llerenense, 21/03/2025.
Who is the favorite in Castuera vs Llerenense?
is the favorite at odds of , an implied probability of about 0%. Castuera is priced at 1.01, the draw at 1.01 and Llerenense at 1.01.
Where can I find a Castuera vs Llerenense prediction?
You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Castuera vs Llerenense prediction page.
Where can I find Castuera vs Llerenense stats?
All key statistics for Castuera vs Llerenense are on this page, updated in real time.
Where can I watch Castuera vs Llerenense?
Live streaming information is available on our Castuera vs Llerenense stream page.