Barau vs Kwara United
Nigeria - NPFL
Barau are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.57 overall shots and 1.61 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.33 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.
Result Probability
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Average
2.38League 2.39
Over 2.5 Goals
Average
38%League 41%
Both Teams Score
Below average
38%League 45%
Cards
Well above avg
0.75League 0.49
Corners
Below average
8.33League 9.48
Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Barau average 10.33 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.48, which points to sustained attacking territory.
Over / Under
0.5
1+ gol
OVER88%UNDER12%1.5
2+ gol
OVER66%UNDER34%2.5
3+ gol
OVER44%UNDER56%3.5
4+ gol
OVER27%UNDER73%
The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 88% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.
Team Performance
Barau
Home
Kwara United
Away
Points & Results
- 1.44PPG1.22
- 33%Wins33%
- 44%First to Score33%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.331.11
- Conceded/game1.111.11
- xG1.610.18
- xGA1.021.21
Trends
- 56%Both Score44%
- 33%Clean Sheet11%
- 19/10/2026, 07:00NPFLRivers United1 - 0LBarau19/10/2026, 07:00NPFLRivers United
1 - 0
BarauL - 11/10/2026, 15:00NPFLBarau2 - 2DEnugu Rangers11/10/2026, 15:00NPFLBarau
2 - 2
Enugu RangersD - 04/10/2026, 15:00NPFLBendel Insurance4 - 1LBarau04/10/2026, 15:00NPFLBendel Insurance
4 - 1
BarauL - 26/09/2026, 15:00NPFLSporting Lagos1 - 1DBarau26/09/2026, 15:00NPFLSporting Lagos
1 - 1
BarauD - 23/09/2026, 15:00NPFLBarau2 - 0WAbia Warriors23/09/2026, 15:00NPFLBarau
2 - 0
Abia WarriorsW - 19/09/2026, 15:00NPFLIkorodu City0 - 0DBarau19/09/2026, 15:00NPFLIkorodu City
0 - 0
BarauD - 13/09/2026, 15:00NPFLBarau3 - 1WRanchers Bees13/09/2026, 15:00NPFLBarau
3 - 1
Ranchers BeesW
Barau scored in 5/7 recent form matches and averaged 1.29 goals.
- 17/10/2026, 15:00NPFLKwara United1 - 1DAbia Warriors17/10/2026, 15:00NPFLKwara United
1 - 1
Abia WarriorsD - 10/10/2026, 15:00NPFLIkorodu City2 - 0LKwara United10/10/2026, 15:00NPFLIkorodu City
2 - 0
Kwara UnitedL - 04/10/2026, 15:00NPFLKwara United2 - 1WRanchers Bees04/10/2026, 15:00NPFLKwara United
2 - 1
Ranchers BeesW - 27/09/2026, 15:00NPFLKun Khalifat1 - 0LKwara United27/09/2026, 15:00NPFLKun Khalifat
1 - 0
Kwara UnitedL - 23/09/2026, 15:00NPFLKwara United2 - 1WNasarawa United23/09/2026, 15:00NPFLKwara United
2 - 1
Nasarawa UnitedW - 20/09/2026, 15:00NPFLWarri Wolves1 - 0LKwara United20/09/2026, 15:00NPFLWarri Wolves
1 - 0
Kwara UnitedL - 13/09/2026, 15:00NPFLKwara United3 - 0WKatsina United13/09/2026, 15:00NPFLKwara United
3 - 0
Katsina UnitedW
Kwara United scored in 4/7 recent form matches and averaged 1.14 goals.
Barau is +20% better in terms of Scored/game
Both teams are equal in terms of Conceded/game
Barau is +794% better in terms of xG
Barau is +19% better in terms of xGA
Barau is +62% better in terms of First-Half Form
Barau is +94% better in terms of Offsides
Barau is +16% better in terms of Corners
Barau is +100% better in terms of Cards
Barau is +457% better in terms of Shots on Target
Starting
| # | Form | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rivers United | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 2 | +12 | 19 | |
| 2 | Sporting Lagos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 15 | |
| 3 | Enugu Rangers | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 14 | |
| 4 | Plateau United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 14 | |
| 5 | Nasarawa United | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 14 | |
| 6 | Kano Pillars | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 14 | |
| 7 | Doma United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 | |
| 8 | Barau | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 13 | |
| 9 | Ikorodu City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 12 | |
| 10 | Bendel Insurance | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 12 | |
| 11 | Niger Tornadoes | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 | |
| 12 | Katsina United | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 12 | |
| 13 | Kwara United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 11 | |
| 14 | Warri Wolves | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 11 | |
| 15 | Shooting Stars | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 11 | |
| 16 | Abia Warriors | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 | |
| 17 | Kun Khalifat | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 9 | |
| 18 | Ranchers Bees | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 | |
| 19 | Enyimba | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 8 | |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 5 |
Barau vs Kwara United: Statistics and Analysis - NPFL 2026/2027
On this page you can check all the key statistics for Barau vs Kwara United - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
This NPFL match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 15:00.
The fixture is part of game week 10th of the NPFL season. Barau currently sits in position 8th of the NPFL table. Kwara United occupies position 13th.
Stat Probabilities for Barau vs Kwara United
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Barau vs Kwara United at 38%.
Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Barau and Kwara United point to a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the Barau vs Kwara United prediction page.
Who is the favorite in Barau vs Kwara United?
According to the latest match odds, is the favorite at an implied probability of about 0%. The full 1X2 market has Barau at 1.01, the draw at 1.01, and Kwara United at 1.01.
Overall performance in the NPFL
Barau's record so far reads 3W-4D-2L from 9 played a win rate of 33% at 1.44 points per game.
Kwara United stands at 3W-2D-4L from 9 played, winning 33% of their matches at 1.22 points per game.
In their last five, Barau has gone 1W-2D-2L, averaging 1 points per game.
Kwara United's last five read 2W-1D-2L, at 1.4 points per game.
At home, Barau has a 75% win rate (3W-1D-0L from 4 played).
On the road, Kwara United has won 0% of their matches (0W-0D-4L from 4 played).
Goal statistics for Barau vs Kwara United
In attack, Barau averages 1.33 goals scored per game in the NPFL (12 in total), while conceding 1.11 per game (10 in total).
Kwara United averages 1.11 goals scored per game (10 in total) and 1.11 conceded per game (10 in total).
Barau's top scorer this season is Ibrahim Yahaya, with 3 goals.
For Kwara United, Junior Aimufua leads the scoring charts with 4 goals this season.
Junior Aimufua tops the Kwara United assist chart with 2.
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Head-to-head: Barau vs Kwara United
Barau and Kwara United have met 2 times in recent years. The record:
Barau wins: 1
Draws: 0
Kwara United wins: 1
Frequently asked questions about Barau vs Kwara United
When is Barau vs Kwara United?
The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 15:00.
What is the head-to-head record between Barau and Kwara United?
Across their last 2 meetings the record is 1-0-1 (Barau wins – draws – Kwara United wins).
What was the last match between Barau and Kwara United?
The two sides last met on 19/04/2026, and the result was Kwara United 2 vs 1 Barau. Full details: Barau vs Kwara United, 19/04/2026.
Who is the favorite in Barau vs Kwara United?
is the favorite at odds of , an implied probability of about 0%. Barau is priced at 1.01, the draw at 1.01 and Kwara United at 1.01.
Where can I find a Barau vs Kwara United prediction?
You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Barau vs Kwara United prediction page.
Where can I find Barau vs Kwara United stats?
All key statistics for Barau vs Kwara United are on this page, updated in real time.
Where can I watch Barau vs Kwara United?
Live streaming information is available on our Barau vs Kwara United stream page.