Falkirk vs Kilmarnock

Scotland - Scottish Premiership

Falkirk

v.s

24 Oct 2026 10:00

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.22 overall shots and 1.27 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.11 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

51%
Falkirk to win
25%
Draw
24%
Kilmarnock to win

The result market leans toward Falkirk at 55%. The points profile supports that read: Falkirk average 0.75 PPG and Kilmarnock average 1 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
Falkirk
3
wins
0
draws
Kilmarnock
0
wins
67%
BTTS
2/3
100%
OVER 0.5
3/3
67%
OVER 1.5
2/3
67%
OVER 2.5
2/3

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    2.83

    League 2.76

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Average

    56%

    League 56%

  • Both Teams Score

    Above average

    67%

    League 56%

  • Cards

    Average

    3.89

    League 3.74

  • Corners

    Below average

    9.00

    League 11.41

Based on 54 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Kilmarnock average 13.5 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 11.41, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    88%
    UNDER
    12%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    77%
    UNDER
    23%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    55%
    UNDER
    45%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    27%
    UNDER
    73%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 88% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Falkirk

Home

WLDWD
VS

Kilmarnock

Away

WLDWD

Points & Results

  • 1.00
    PPG
    0.89
  • 22%
    Wins
    22%
  • 56%
    First to Score
    33%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.00
    Scored/game
    1.11
  • 1.33
    Conceded/game
    2.22
  • 1.28
    xG
    1.27
  • 1.72
    xGA
    1.94

Trends

  • 78%
    Both Score
    56%
  • 11%
    Clean Sheet
    22%

Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: Statistics and Analysis - Scottish Premiership 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Falkirk vs Kilmarnock - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Scottish Premiership match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 15:00.

The venue is Falkirk Community Stadium.

The fixture is part of game week 10th of the Scottish Premiership season. Falkirk currently sits in position 9th of the Scottish Premiership table. Kilmarnock occupies position 11th.

Stat Probabilities for Falkirk vs Kilmarnock

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Falkirk vs Kilmarnock at 67%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Falkirk and Kilmarnock point to a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Falkirk vs Kilmarnock prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?

According to the latest match odds, Falkirk is the favorite at 1.961 an implied probability of about 50.99%. The full 1X2 market has Falkirk at 1.961, the draw at 4, and Kilmarnock at 4.255.

Overall performance in the Scottish Premiership

Falkirk's record so far reads 2W-3D-4L from 9 played a win rate of 22% at 1 points per game.

Kilmarnock stands at 2W-2D-5L from 9 played, winning 22% of their matches at 0.89 points per game.

In their last five, Falkirk has gone 2W-2D-1L, averaging 1.6 points per game.

Kilmarnock's last five read 2W-2D-1L, at 1.6 points per game.

At home, Falkirk has a 25% win rate (1W-0D-3L from 4 played).

On the road, Kilmarnock has won 25% of their matches (1W-1D-2L from 4 played).

Goal statistics for Falkirk vs Kilmarnock

In attack, Falkirk averages 1 goals scored per game in the Scottish Premiership (9 in total), while conceding 1.33 per game (12 in total).

Kilmarnock averages 1.11 goals scored per game (10 in total) and 2.22 conceded per game (20 in total).

Falkirk's top scorer this season is Barney Stewart, with 8 goals.

For Kilmarnock, Tyreece John-Jules leads the scoring charts with 8 goals this season.

Falkirk's main creator is Calvin Miller, with 9 assists.

Greg Kiltie tops the Kilmarnock assist chart with 7.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Falkirk vs Kilmarnock

Falkirk and Kilmarnock have met 3 times in recent years. The record:

  • Falkirk wins: 3

  • Draws: 0

  • Kilmarnock wins: 0

Frequently asked questions about Falkirk vs Kilmarnock

When is Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?

The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 15:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Falkirk and Kilmarnock?

Across their last 3 meetings the record is 3-0-0 (Falkirk wins – draws – Kilmarnock wins).

What was the last match between Falkirk and Kilmarnock?

The two sides last met on 28/02/2026, and the result was Falkirk 5 vs 1 Kilmarnock. Full details: Falkirk vs Kilmarnock, 28/02/2026.

Who is the favorite in Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?

Falkirk is the favorite at odds of 1.961, an implied probability of about 50.99%. Falkirk is priced at 1.961, the draw at 4 and Kilmarnock at 4.255.

Where can I find a Falkirk vs Kilmarnock prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Falkirk vs Kilmarnock prediction page.

Where can I find Falkirk vs Kilmarnock stats?

All key statistics for Falkirk vs Kilmarnock are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?

Live streaming information is available on our Falkirk vs Kilmarnock stream page.