Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong

South Korea - K-League 2

Paju Citizen
Paju Citizen

v.s

25 Oct 2026 03:30

Hwaseong
Hwaseong

Hwaseong are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.64 overall shots and 1.48 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.54 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

22%
Paju Citizen to win
26%
Draw
52%
Hwaseong to win

The result market leans toward Hwaseong at 58%. The points profile supports that read: Paju Citizen average 0.92 PPG and Hwaseong average 1.25 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
Paju Citizen
1
wins
0
draws
Hwaseong
0
wins
100%
BTTS
1/1
100%
OVER 0.5
1/1
100%
OVER 1.5
1/1
100%
OVER 2.5
1/1

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Below average

    2.13

    League 2.71

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well below avg

    37%

    League 53%

  • Both Teams Score

    Well below avg

    40%

    League 61%

  • Cards

    Above average

    4.27

    League 3.75

  • Corners

    Above average

    9.60

    League 8.75

Based on 232 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Hwaseong average 9.33 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 8.75, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    85%
    UNDER
    15%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    60%
    UNDER
    40%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    35%
    UNDER
    65%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    20%
    UNDER
    80%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 85% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Paju Citizen

Home

LDWDL
VS

Hwaseong

Away

LLDWD

Points & Results

  • 1.11
    PPG
    1.57
  • 30%
    Wins
    43%
  • 41%
    First to Score
    50%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 0.96
    Scored/game
    1.54
  • 1.22
    Conceded/game
    1.11
  • 1.27
    xG
    1.48
  • 1.54
    xGA
    1.40

Trends

  • 48%
    Both Score
    54%
  • 26%
    Clean Sheet
    32%

Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong: Statistics and Analysis - K-League 2 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This K-League 2 match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 07:30.

The venue is Paju Public Stadium.

The fixture is part of game week 30th of the K-League 2 season. Paju Citizen currently sits in position 12th of the K-League 2 table. Hwaseong occupies position 6th.

Stat Probabilities for Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong at 40%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Paju Citizen and Hwaseong point to a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong?

According to the latest match odds, Hwaseong is the favorite at 1.95 an implied probability of about 51.28%. The full 1X2 market has Paju Citizen at 4.4, the draw at 3.83, and Hwaseong at 1.95.

Overall performance in the K-League 2

Paju Citizen's record so far reads 8W-6D-13L from 27 played a win rate of 30% at 1.11 points per game.

Hwaseong stands at 12W-8D-8L from 28 played, winning 43% of their matches at 1.57 points per game.

In their last five, Paju Citizen has gone 1W-2D-2L, averaging 1 points per game.

Hwaseong's last five read 1W-2D-2L, at 1 points per game.

At home, Paju Citizen has a 23% win rate (3W-3D-7L from 13 played).

On the road, Hwaseong has won 33% of their matches (4W-3D-5L from 12 played).

Goal statistics for Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong

In attack, Paju Citizen averages 0.96 goals scored per game in the K-League 2 (26 in total), while conceding 1.22 per game (33 in total).

Hwaseong averages 1.54 goals scored per game (43 in total) and 1.11 conceded per game (31 in total).

Paju Citizen's top scorer this season is Borja Bastón, with 7 goals.

For Hwaseong, Leonard Pllana leads the scoring charts with 11 goals this season.

Paju Citizen's main creator is Joon-Suk Lee, with 3 assists.

Leonard Pllana tops the Hwaseong assist chart with 10.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Frequently asked questions about Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong

When is Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 07:30.

What was the last match between Paju Citizen and Hwaseong?

The two sides last met on 11/07/2026, and the result was Hwaseong 1 vs 2 Paju Citizen. Full details: Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong, 11/07/2026.

Who is the favorite in Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong?

Hwaseong is the favorite at odds of 1.95, an implied probability of about 51.28%. Paju Citizen is priced at 4.4, the draw at 3.83 and Hwaseong at 1.95.

Where can I find a Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong prediction page.

Where can I find Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong stats?

All key statistics for Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong?

Live streaming information is available on our Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong stream page.