Hartlepool United vs AFC Hornchurch
England - National League
AFC Hornchurch are creating the better shooting profile with average 3.54 overall shots and 1.22 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.15 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.
Result Probability
The result market leans toward Hartlepool United at 48%. The points profile supports that read: Hartlepool United average 1 PPG and AFC Hornchurch average 0.86 PPG in the comparable split.
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Below average
2.48League 3.10
Over 2.5 Goals
Below average
52%League 61%
Both Teams Score
Well below avg
30%League 63%
Cards
Well below avg
2.96League 4.13
Corners
Average
9.62League 9.90
Corner volume is the clearest signal here. AFC Hornchurch average 12.43 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.9, which points to sustained attacking territory.
Over / Under
0.5
1+ gol
OVER100%UNDER0%1.5
2+ gol
OVER55%UNDER45%2.5
3+ gol
OVER45%UNDER55%3.5
4+ gol
OVER20%UNDER80%
The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.
Team Performance
Hartlepool United
Home
AFC Hornchurch
Away
Points & Results
- 0.92PPG1.62
- 31%Wins54%
- 38%First to Score46%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game0.921.15
- Conceded/game1.461.46
- xG1.261.22
- xGA1.561.62
Trends
- 38%Both Score31%
- 23%Clean Sheet31%
- 10/10/2026, 16:30National LeagueForest Green Rovers2 - 4WHartlepool United10/10/2026, 16:30National LeagueForest Green Rovers
2 - 4
Hartlepool UnitedW - 03/10/2026, 14:00National LeagueHartlepool United0 - 1LTamworth03/10/2026, 14:00National LeagueHartlepool United
0 - 1
TamworthL - 29/09/2026, 18:45National LeagueHartlepool United0 - 1LHarrogate Town29/09/2026, 18:45National LeagueHartlepool United
0 - 1
Harrogate TownL - 26/09/2026, 14:00National LeagueScunthorpe United4 - 1LHartlepool United26/09/2026, 14:00National LeagueScunthorpe United
4 - 1
Hartlepool UnitedL - 19/09/2026, 11:30National LeagueHartlepool United1 - 3LWorthing19/09/2026, 11:30National LeagueHartlepool United
1 - 3
WorthingL - 16/09/2026, 18:45National LeagueAltrincham2 - 1LHartlepool United16/09/2026, 18:45National LeagueAltrincham
2 - 1
Hartlepool UnitedL - 11/09/2026, 18:45National LeagueKidderminster Harriers2 - 0LHartlepool United11/09/2026, 18:45National LeagueKidderminster Harriers
2 - 0
Hartlepool UnitedL
Hartlepool United scored in 4/7 recent form matches and averaged 1 goals.
- 10/10/2026, 14:00National LeagueAFC Hornchurch2 - 0WEastleigh10/10/2026, 14:00National LeagueAFC Hornchurch
2 - 0
EastleighW - 03/10/2026, 14:00National LeagueHarrogate Town3 - 0LAFC Hornchurch03/10/2026, 14:00National LeagueHarrogate Town
3 - 0
AFC HornchurchL - 29/09/2026, 18:45National LeagueAFC Hornchurch2 - 1WAldershot Town29/09/2026, 18:45National LeagueAFC Hornchurch
2 - 1
Aldershot TownW - 26/09/2026, 14:00National LeagueAltrincham3 - 0LAFC Hornchurch26/09/2026, 14:00National LeagueAltrincham
3 - 0
AFC HornchurchL - 19/09/2026, 16:30National LeagueAFC Hornchurch1 - 0WScunthorpe United19/09/2026, 16:30National LeagueAFC Hornchurch
1 - 0
Scunthorpe UnitedW - 15/09/2026, 18:45National LeagueWorthing1 - 0LAFC Hornchurch15/09/2026, 18:45National LeagueWorthing
1 - 0
AFC HornchurchL - 12/09/2026, 14:00National LeagueHalifax Town3 - 0LAFC Hornchurch12/09/2026, 14:00National LeagueHalifax Town
3 - 0
AFC HornchurchL
AFC Hornchurch scored in 3/7 recent form matches and averaged 0.71 goals.
AFC Hornchurch is +25% better in terms of Scored/game
Both teams are equal in terms of Conceded/game
Hartlepool United is +3% better in terms of xG
Hartlepool United is +4% better in terms of xGA
Hartlepool United is +19% better in terms of First-Half Form
Hartlepool United is +21% better in terms of Offsides
AFC Hornchurch is +13% better in terms of Corners
Hartlepool United is +38% better in terms of Cards
Hartlepool United is +2% better in terms of Shots on Target
| # | Form | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 13 | +21 | 35 | |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 17 | +12 | 28 | |
| 3 | Southend United | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 19 | +12 | 27 | |
| 4 | Yeovil Town | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 15 | +17 | 25 | |
| 5 | Worthing | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 18 | +9 | 24 | |
| 6 | Altrincham | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 24 | |
| 7 | Fylde | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 23 | |
| 8 | Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 16 | +6 | 21 | |
| 9 | AFC Hornchurch | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 21 | |
| 10 | Halifax Town | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 15 | +7 | 20 | |
| 11 | Kidderminster Harriers | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 20 | |
| 12 | Aldershot Town | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 18 | |
| 13 | Sutton United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 18 | |
| 14 | Carlisle United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | +3 | 17 | |
| 15 | Woking | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 15 | |
| 16 | Forest Green Rovers | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 15 | |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 | |
| 18 | Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 14 | |
| 19 | Hartlepool United | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 | |
| 20 | Wealdstone | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 12 | |
| 21 | Boston United | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 | |
| 22 | Scunthorpe United | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 10 | |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 7 | |
| 24 | Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 31 | -23 | 4 |
Hartlepool United vs AFC Hornchurch: Statistics and Analysis - National League 2026/2027
On this page you can check all the key statistics for Hartlepool United vs AFC Hornchurch - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
This National League match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 15:00.
The venue is The Suit Direct Stadium.
The fixture is part of game week 14th of the National League season. Hartlepool United currently sits in position 19th of the National League table. AFC Hornchurch occupies position 9th.
Stat Probabilities for Hartlepool United vs AFC Hornchurch
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Hartlepool United vs AFC Hornchurch at 30%.
Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Hartlepool United and AFC Hornchurch point to a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.
AFC Hornchurch over 1.5 goals conceded: based on their record, there is a 71% chance of AFC Hornchurch conceding 2 or more goals.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the Hartlepool United vs AFC Hornchurch prediction page.
Who is the favorite in Hartlepool United vs AFC Hornchurch?
According to the latest match odds, Hartlepool United is the favorite at 2.26 an implied probability of about 44.25%. The full 1X2 market has Hartlepool United at 2.26, the draw at 4, and AFC Hornchurch at 3.704.
Overall performance in the National League
Hartlepool United's record so far reads 4W-0D-9L from 13 played a win rate of 31% at 0.92 points per game.
AFC Hornchurch stands at 7W-0D-6L from 13 played, winning 54% of their matches at 1.62 points per game.
In their last five, Hartlepool United has gone 1W-0D-4L, averaging 0.6 points per game.
AFC Hornchurch's last five read 3W-0D-2L, at 1.8 points per game.
At home, Hartlepool United has a 33% win rate (2W-0D-4L from 6 played).
On the road, AFC Hornchurch has won 29% of their matches (2W-0D-5L from 7 played).
Goal statistics for Hartlepool United vs AFC Hornchurch
In attack, Hartlepool United averages 0.92 goals scored per game in the National League (12 in total), while conceding 1.46 per game (19 in total).
AFC Hornchurch averages 1.15 goals scored per game (15 in total) and 1.46 conceded per game (19 in total).
Hartlepool United's top scorer this season is Alex Michael Reid, with 12 goals.
For AFC Hornchurch, Jack Baldwin leads the scoring charts with 2 goals this season.
Hartlepool United's main creator is Jamie Miley, with 7 assists.
Ryan Inniss tops the AFC Hornchurch assist chart with 2.
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Frequently asked questions about Hartlepool United vs AFC Hornchurch
When is Hartlepool United vs AFC Hornchurch?
The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 15:00.
Who is the favorite in Hartlepool United vs AFC Hornchurch?
Hartlepool United is the favorite at odds of 2.26, an implied probability of about 44.25%. Hartlepool United is priced at 2.26, the draw at 4 and AFC Hornchurch at 3.704.
Where can I find a Hartlepool United vs AFC Hornchurch prediction?
You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Hartlepool United vs AFC Hornchurch prediction page.
Where can I find Hartlepool United vs AFC Hornchurch stats?
All key statistics for Hartlepool United vs AFC Hornchurch are on this page, updated in real time.
Where can I watch Hartlepool United vs AFC Hornchurch?
Live streaming information is available on our Hartlepool United vs AFC Hornchurch stream page.