NEC vs Groningen

Netherlands - Eredivisie

v.s

25 Oct 2026 09:30

Groningen are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.78 overall shots and 1.68 xG. Their season scoring average is 2.44 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

45%
NEC to win
25%
Draw
30%
Groningen to win

The result market leans toward NEC at 47%. The points profile supports that read: NEC average 0.6 PPG and Groningen average 1.75 PPG in the comparable split.

NEC
5
wins
3
draws
Groningen
4
wins
50%
BTTS
6/12
92%
OVER 0.5
11/12
83%
OVER 1.5
10/12
50%
OVER 2.5
6/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    4.08

    League 3.84

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Average

    78%

    League 75%

  • Both Teams Score

    Well above avg

    100%

    League 72%

  • Cards

    Well below avg

    1.80

    League 2.94

  • Corners

    Average

    9.80

    League 10.35

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. NEC average 9.8 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.35, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    100%
    UNDER
    0%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    100%
    UNDER
    0%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    83%
    UNDER
    17%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    61%
    UNDER
    39%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

NEC

Home

DDDLD
VS

Groningen

Away

LWWDD

Points & Results

  • 1.11
    PPG
    1.56
  • 22%
    Wins
    44%
  • 44%
    First to Score
    67%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.67
    Scored/game
    2.44
  • 1.78
    Conceded/game
    2.11
  • 1.75
    xG
    1.68
  • 1.26
    xGA
    1.69

Trends

  • 89%
    Both Score
    89%
  • 0%
    Clean Sheet
    11%

NEC vs Groningen: Statistics and Analysis - Eredivisie 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for NEC vs Groningen - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Eredivisie match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 13:30.

The fixture is part of game week 10th of the Eredivisie season. NEC currently sits in position 12th of the Eredivisie table. Groningen occupies position 7th.

Stat Probabilities for NEC vs Groningen

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in NEC vs Groningen at 100%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for NEC and Groningen point to a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the NEC vs Groningen prediction page.

Who is the favorite in NEC vs Groningen?

According to the latest match odds, NEC is the favorite at 2.2 an implied probability of about 45.45%. The full 1X2 market has NEC at 2.2, the draw at 4.11, and Groningen at 3.39.

Overall performance in the Eredivisie

NEC's record so far reads 2W-4D-3L from 9 played a win rate of 22% at 1.11 points per game.

Groningen stands at 4W-2D-3L from 9 played, winning 44% of their matches at 1.56 points per game.

In their last five, NEC has gone 0W-4D-1L, averaging 0.8 points per game.

Groningen's last five read 2W-2D-1L, at 1.6 points per game.

At home, NEC has a 0% win rate (0W-3D-2L from 5 played).

On the road, Groningen has won 50% of their matches (2W-1D-1L from 4 played).

Goal statistics for NEC vs Groningen

In attack, NEC averages 1.67 goals scored per game in the Eredivisie (15 in total), while conceding 1.78 per game (16 in total).

Groningen averages 2.44 goals scored per game (22 in total) and 2.11 conceded per game (19 in total).

NEC's top scorer this season is Bryan Linssen, with 12 goals.

For Groningen, Thom van Bergen leads the scoring charts with 9 goals this season.

NEC's main creator is Basar Onal, with 7 assists.

Younes Taha El Idrissi tops the Groningen assist chart with 9.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: NEC vs Groningen

NEC and Groningen have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • NEC wins: 5

  • Draws: 3

  • Groningen wins: 4

Frequently asked questions about NEC vs Groningen

When is NEC vs Groningen?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 13:30.

What is the head-to-head record between NEC and Groningen?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 5-3-4 (NEC wins – draws – Groningen wins).

What was the last match between NEC and Groningen?

The two sides last met on 10/05/2026, and the result was Groningen 2 vs 1 NEC. Full details: NEC vs Groningen, 10/05/2026.

Who is the favorite in NEC vs Groningen?

NEC is the favorite at odds of 2.2, an implied probability of about 45.45%. NEC is priced at 2.2, the draw at 4.11 and Groningen at 3.39.

Where can I find a NEC vs Groningen prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the NEC vs Groningen prediction page.

Where can I find NEC vs Groningen stats?

All key statistics for NEC vs Groningen are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch NEC vs Groningen?

Live streaming information is available on our NEC vs Groningen stream page.