Greenock Morton vs Ayr United

Scotland - Scottish Championship

Greenock Morton

v.s

24 Oct 2026 10:00

Ayr United

Greenock Morton are creating the better shooting profile with average 3.09 overall shots and 0.93 xG. Their season scoring average is 0.82 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

31%
Greenock Morton to win
27%
Draw
42%
Ayr United to win

The result market leans toward Ayr United at 47%. The points profile supports that read: Greenock Morton average 0.5 PPG and Ayr United average 1.4 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
Greenock Morton
5
wins
5
draws
Ayr United
2
wins
58%
BTTS
7/12
92%
OVER 0.5
11/12
75%
OVER 1.5
9/12
42%
OVER 2.5
5/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Above average

    2.25

    League 2.02

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well above avg

    35%

    League 28%

  • Both Teams Score

    Above average

    45%

    League 38%

  • Cards

    Average

    3.93

    League 3.72

  • Corners

    Well below avg

    7.40

    League 10.09

Based on 54 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Ayr United average 10.4 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.09, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    100%
    UNDER
    0%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    80%
    UNDER
    20%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    35%
    UNDER
    65%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    10%
    UNDER
    90%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Greenock Morton

Home

WWLLL
VS

Ayr United

Away

LDWLW

Points & Results

  • 0.64
    PPG
    1.09
  • 18%
    Wins
    27%
  • 18%
    First to Score
    36%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 0.82
    Scored/game
    0.91
  • 1.64
    Conceded/game
    1.09
  • 0.93
    xG
    0.98
  • 1.42
    xGA
    1.46

Trends

  • 55%
    Both Score
    45%
  • 9%
    Clean Sheet
    18%

Greenock Morton vs Ayr United: Statistics and Analysis - Scottish Championship 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Greenock Morton vs Ayr United - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Scottish Championship match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 15:00.

The venue is Cappielow Park.

The fixture is part of game week 12th of the Scottish Championship season. Greenock Morton currently sits in position 9th of the Scottish Championship table. Ayr United occupies position 7th.

Stat Probabilities for Greenock Morton vs Ayr United

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Greenock Morton vs Ayr United at 45%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Greenock Morton and Ayr United point to a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Greenock Morton vs Ayr United prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Greenock Morton vs Ayr United?

According to the latest match odds, Ayr United is the favorite at 2.2 an implied probability of about 45.45%. The full 1X2 market has Greenock Morton at 3.48, the draw at 3.4, and Ayr United at 2.2.

Overall performance in the Scottish Championship

Greenock Morton's record so far reads 2W-1D-8L from 11 played a win rate of 18% at 0.64 points per game.

Ayr United stands at 3W-3D-5L from 11 played, winning 27% of their matches at 1.09 points per game.

In their last five, Greenock Morton has gone 2W-0D-3L, averaging 1.2 points per game.

Ayr United's last five read 2W-1D-2L, at 1.4 points per game.

At home, Greenock Morton has a 17% win rate (1W-0D-5L from 6 played).

On the road, Ayr United has won 40% of their matches (2W-1D-2L from 5 played).

Goal statistics for Greenock Morton vs Ayr United

In attack, Greenock Morton averages 0.82 goals scored per game in the Scottish Championship (9 in total), while conceding 1.64 per game (18 in total).

Ayr United averages 0.91 goals scored per game (10 in total) and 1.09 conceded per game (12 in total).

Greenock Morton's top scorer this season is Eamonn Brophy, with 6 goals.

For Ayr United, Mark McKenzie leads the scoring charts with 7 goals this season.

Greenock Morton's main creator is Owen Moffat, with 7 assists.

Marco Rus tops the Ayr United assist chart with 6.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Greenock Morton vs Ayr United

Greenock Morton and Ayr United have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Greenock Morton wins: 5

  • Draws: 5

  • Ayr United wins: 2

Frequently asked questions about Greenock Morton vs Ayr United

When is Greenock Morton vs Ayr United?

The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 15:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Greenock Morton and Ayr United?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 5-5-2 (Greenock Morton wins – draws – Ayr United wins).

What was the last match between Greenock Morton and Ayr United?

The two sides last met on 29/08/2026, and the result was Ayr United 1 vs 1 Greenock Morton. Full details: Greenock Morton vs Ayr United, 29/08/2026.

Who is the favorite in Greenock Morton vs Ayr United?

Ayr United is the favorite at odds of 2.2, an implied probability of about 45.45%. Greenock Morton is priced at 3.48, the draw at 3.4 and Ayr United at 2.2.

Where can I find a Greenock Morton vs Ayr United prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Greenock Morton vs Ayr United prediction page.

Where can I find Greenock Morton vs Ayr United stats?

All key statistics for Greenock Morton vs Ayr United are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Greenock Morton vs Ayr United?

Live streaming information is available on our Greenock Morton vs Ayr United stream page.