Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior

Netherlands - Eredivisie

v.s

25 Oct 2026 07:15

Fortuna Sittard are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.44 overall shots and 1.14 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.78 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

39%
Fortuna Sittard to win
26%
Draw
35%
Excelsior to win

The result market leans toward Fortuna Sittard at 41%. The points profile supports that read: Fortuna Sittard average 1 PPG and Excelsior average 1.6 PPG in the comparable split.

Fortuna Sittard
5
wins
3
draws
Excelsior
4
wins
58%
BTTS
7/12
100%
OVER 0.5
12/12
83%
OVER 1.5
10/12
67%
OVER 2.5
8/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    3.65

    League 3.84

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Average

    75%

    League 75%

  • Both Teams Score

    Below average

    58%

    League 72%

  • Cards

    Well below avg

    2.15

    League 2.94

  • Corners

    Well below avg

    7.55

    League 10.35

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Fortuna Sittard average 13.75 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.35, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    100%
    UNDER
    0%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    94%
    UNDER
    6%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    83%
    UNDER
    17%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    61%
    UNDER
    39%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Fortuna Sittard

Home

DDWLW
VS

Excelsior

Away

LLDLD

Points & Results

  • 1.67
    PPG
    1.22
  • 44%
    Wins
    33%
  • 78%
    First to Score
    33%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.78
    Scored/game
    1.78
  • 1.89
    Conceded/game
    2.00
  • 1.14
    xG
    1.26
  • 2.30
    xGA
    1.69

Trends

  • 78%
    Both Score
    67%
  • 11%
    Clean Sheet
    22%

Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior: Statistics and Analysis - Eredivisie 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Eredivisie match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 11:15.

The fixture is part of game week 10th of the Eredivisie season. Fortuna Sittard currently sits in position 6th of the Eredivisie table. Excelsior occupies position 10th.

Stat Probabilities for Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior at 58%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Fortuna Sittard and Excelsior point to a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?

According to the latest match odds, Fortuna Sittard is the favorite at 2.62 an implied probability of about 38.17%. The full 1X2 market has Fortuna Sittard at 2.62, the draw at 3.93, and Excelsior at 2.85.

Overall performance in the Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard's record so far reads 4W-3D-2L from 9 played a win rate of 44% at 1.67 points per game.

Excelsior stands at 3W-2D-4L from 9 played, winning 33% of their matches at 1.22 points per game.

In their last five, Fortuna Sittard has gone 2W-2D-1L, averaging 1.6 points per game.

Excelsior's last five read 0W-2D-3L, at 0.4 points per game.

At home, Fortuna Sittard has a 25% win rate (1W-1D-2L from 4 played).

On the road, Excelsior has won 40% of their matches (2W-2D-1L from 5 played).

Goal statistics for Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior

In attack, Fortuna Sittard averages 1.78 goals scored per game in the Eredivisie (16 in total), while conceding 1.89 per game (17 in total).

Excelsior averages 1.78 goals scored per game (16 in total) and 2 conceded per game (18 in total).

Fortuna Sittard's top scorer this season is Kaj Sierhuis, with 12 goals.

For Excelsior, Noah Naujoks leads the scoring charts with 10 goals this season.

Fortuna Sittard's main creator is Mohammed Amine Ihattaren, with 10 assists.

Gyan de Regt tops the Excelsior assist chart with 7.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior

Fortuna Sittard and Excelsior have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Fortuna Sittard wins: 5

  • Draws: 3

  • Excelsior wins: 4

Frequently asked questions about Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior

When is Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 11:15.

What is the head-to-head record between Fortuna Sittard and Excelsior?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 5-3-4 (Fortuna Sittard wins – draws – Excelsior wins).

What was the last match between Fortuna Sittard and Excelsior?

The two sides last met on 20/02/2026, and the result was Fortuna Sittard 2 vs 1 Excelsior. Full details: Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior, 20/02/2026.

Who is the favorite in Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?

Fortuna Sittard is the favorite at odds of 2.62, an implied probability of about 38.17%. Fortuna Sittard is priced at 2.62, the draw at 3.93 and Excelsior at 2.85.

Where can I find a Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior prediction page.

Where can I find Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior stats?

All key statistics for Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?

Live streaming information is available on our Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior stream page.