Sertanense vs Fátima

Portugal - Campeonato de Portugal Group C

Sertanense
Sertanense

v.s

25 Oct 2026 11:00

Fátima
Fátima

Fátima are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.6 overall shots and 1.76 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.4 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

34%
Sertanense to win
33%
Draw
33%
Fátima to win

The result market leans toward Sertanense at 99%. The points profile supports that read: Sertanense average 0.5 PPG and Fátima average 0.5 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
Sertanense
2
wins
3
draws
Fátima
3
wins
38%
BTTS
3/8
88%
OVER 0.5
7/8
50%
OVER 1.5
4/8
13%
OVER 2.5
1/8

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Below average

    2.50

    League 2.77

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well below avg

    40%

    League 56%

  • Both Teams Score

    Below average

    50%

    League 56%

  • Corners

    Average

    8.80

    League 8.66

Based on 35 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Sertanense average 12 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 8.66, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    90%
    UNDER
    10%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    80%
    UNDER
    20%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    40%
    UNDER
    60%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    30%
    UNDER
    70%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 90% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Sertanense

Home

DLDLD
VS

Fátima

Away

LLLWD

Points & Results

  • 0.60
    PPG
    0.80
  • 0%
    Wins
    20%
  • 40%
    First to Score
    20%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 0.60
    Scored/game
    1.40
  • 1.40
    Conceded/game
    1.60
  • 0.82
    xG
    1.76
  • 1.49
    xGA
    1.30

Trends

  • 60%
    Both Score
    40%
  • 20%
    Clean Sheet
    20%

Sertanense vs Fátima: Statistics and Analysis - Campeonato de Portugal Group C 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Sertanense vs Fátima - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Campeonato de Portugal Group C match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 15:00.

The venue is Campo de Jogos Dr. Marques dos Santos.

The fixture is part of game week 6th of the Campeonato de Portugal Group C season. Sertanense currently sits in position 12th of the Campeonato de Portugal Group C table. Fátima occupies position 10th.

Stat Probabilities for Sertanense vs Fátima

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Sertanense vs Fátima at 50%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Sertanense and Fátima point to a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Sertanense vs Fátima prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Sertanense vs Fátima?

According to the latest match odds, is the favorite at an implied probability of about 0%. The full 1X2 market has Sertanense at 1.01, the draw at 1.01, and Fátima at 1.01.

Overall performance in the Campeonato de Portugal Group C

Sertanense's record so far reads 0W-3D-2L from 5 played a win rate of 0% at 0.6 points per game.

Fátima stands at 1W-1D-3L from 5 played, winning 20% of their matches at 0.8 points per game.

In their last five, Sertanense has gone 0W-3D-2L, averaging 0.6 points per game.

Fátima's last five read 1W-1D-3L, at 0.8 points per game.

At home, Sertanense has a 0% win rate (0W-1D-1L from 2 played).

On the road, Fátima has won 0% of their matches (0W-1D-1L from 2 played).

Goal statistics for Sertanense vs Fátima

In attack, Sertanense averages 0.6 goals scored per game in the Campeonato de Portugal Group C (3 in total), while conceding 1.4 per game (7 in total).

Fátima averages 1.4 goals scored per game (7 in total) and 1.6 conceded per game (8 in total).

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Sertanense vs Fátima

Sertanense and Fátima have met 8 times in recent years. The record:

  • Sertanense wins: 2

  • Draws: 3

  • Fátima wins: 3

Frequently asked questions about Sertanense vs Fátima

When is Sertanense vs Fátima?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 15:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Sertanense and Fátima?

Across their last 8 meetings the record is 2-3-3 (Sertanense wins – draws – Fátima wins).

What was the last match between Sertanense and Fátima?

The two sides last met on 23/02/2025, and the result was Fátima 1 vs 1 Sertanense. Full details: Sertanense vs Fátima, 23/02/2025.

Who is the favorite in Sertanense vs Fátima?

is the favorite at odds of , an implied probability of about 0%. Sertanense is priced at 1.01, the draw at 1.01 and Fátima at 1.01.

Where can I find a Sertanense vs Fátima prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Sertanense vs Fátima prediction page.

Where can I find Sertanense vs Fátima stats?

All key statistics for Sertanense vs Fátima are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Sertanense vs Fátima?

Live streaming information is available on our Sertanense vs Fátima stream page.