Dorados vs Piratas

Mexico - Liga de Expansão MX

v.s

24 Oct 2026 20:00

Piratas are creating the better shooting profile with average 6.54 overall shots and 1.99 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.62 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

22%
Dorados to win
24%
Draw
54%
Piratas to win

The result market leans toward Piratas at 58%. The points profile supports that read: Dorados average 0.86 PPG and Piratas average 0.86 PPG in the comparable split.

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    3.16

    League 3.26

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Average

    58%

    League 63%

  • Both Teams Score

    Average

    58%

    League 61%

  • Cards

    Average

    5.85

    League 6.14

  • Corners

    Above average

    11.15

    League 10.05

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Dorados average 9.86 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.05, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    100%
    UNDER
    0%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    85%
    UNDER
    15%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    60%
    UNDER
    40%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    40%
    UNDER
    60%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Dorados

Home

WLLLD
VS

Piratas

Away

WLWLW

Points & Results

  • 1.23
    PPG
    1.62
  • 31%
    Wins
    46%
  • 31%
    First to Score
    54%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.77
    Scored/game
    1.62
  • 1.85
    Conceded/game
    1.08
  • 1.63
    xG
    1.99
  • 1.69
    xGA
    0.99

Trends

  • 77%
    Both Score
    38%
  • 8%
    Clean Sheet
    38%

Dorados vs Piratas: Statistics and Analysis - Liga de Expansão MX 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Dorados vs Piratas - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Liga de Expansão MX match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 01:00.

The venue is Estadio Banorte.

The fixture is part of game week 14th of the Liga de Expansão MX season. Dorados currently sits in position 11th of the Liga de Expansão MX table. Piratas occupies position 4th.

Stat Probabilities for Dorados vs Piratas

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Dorados vs Piratas at 58%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Dorados and Piratas point to a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Dorados vs Piratas prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Dorados vs Piratas?

According to the latest match odds, Piratas is the favorite at 1.79 an implied probability of about 55.87%. The full 1X2 market has Dorados at 4.55, the draw at 4.18, and Piratas at 1.79.

Overall performance in the Liga de Expansão MX

Dorados's record so far reads 4W-4D-5L from 13 played a win rate of 31% at 1.23 points per game.

Piratas stands at 6W-3D-4L from 13 played, winning 46% of their matches at 1.62 points per game.

In their last five, Dorados has gone 1W-1D-3L, averaging 0.8 points per game.

Piratas's last five read 3W-0D-2L, at 1.8 points per game.

At home, Dorados has a 14% win rate (1W-3D-3L from 7 played).

On the road, Piratas has won 14% of their matches (1W-3D-3L from 7 played).

Goal statistics for Dorados vs Piratas

In attack, Dorados averages 1.77 goals scored per game in the Liga de Expansão MX (23 in total), while conceding 1.85 per game (24 in total).

Piratas averages 1.62 goals scored per game (21 in total) and 1.08 conceded per game (14 in total).

Dorados's top scorer this season is Oscar Daniel Coronel Arzamendia, with 6 goals.

For Piratas, Omar Ernesto Soto López leads the scoring charts with 4 goals this season.

Dorados's main creator is Erick Fernando González García, with 5 assists.

Brian Eduardo Figueroa Flores tops the Piratas assist chart with 2.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Frequently asked questions about Dorados vs Piratas

When is Dorados vs Piratas?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 01:00.

Who is the favorite in Dorados vs Piratas?

Piratas is the favorite at odds of 1.79, an implied probability of about 55.87%. Dorados is priced at 4.55, the draw at 4.18 and Piratas at 1.79.

Where can I find a Dorados vs Piratas prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Dorados vs Piratas prediction page.

Where can I find Dorados vs Piratas stats?

All key statistics for Dorados vs Piratas are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Dorados vs Piratas?

Live streaming information is available on our Dorados vs Piratas stream page.