Vasco vs Corinthians

Brazil - Brazil Serie A

Vasco
Vasco

v.s

24 Oct 2026 17:30

Corinthians
Corinthians

Vasco are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.33 overall shots and 1.88 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.2 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

57%
Vasco to win
25%
Draw
18%
Corinthians to win

The result market leans toward Vasco at 61%. The points profile supports that read: Vasco average 1.6 PPG and Corinthians average 0.93 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
Vasco
1
wins
2
draws
Corinthians
9
wins
50%
BTTS
6/12
83%
OVER 0.5
10/12
67%
OVER 1.5
8/12
58%
OVER 2.5
7/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    2.57

    League 2.66

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Above average

    57%

    League 51%

  • Both Teams Score

    Average

    63%

    League 59%

  • Cards

    Average

    4.93

    League 4.93

  • Corners

    Above average

    11.54

    League 10.45

Based on 309 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Corinthians average 10.67 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.45, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    90%
    UNDER
    10%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    75%
    UNDER
    25%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    65%
    UNDER
    35%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    25%
    UNDER
    75%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 90% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Vasco

Home

LDWWW
VS

Corinthians

Away

DLLLL

Points & Results

  • 1.17
    PPG
    1.06
  • 30%
    Wins
    26%
  • 33%
    First to Score
    35%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.20
    Scored/game
    1.03
  • 1.43
    Conceded/game
    1.26
  • 1.88
    xG
    1.38
  • 1.26
    xGA
    1.29

Trends

  • 60%
    Both Score
    58%
  • 13%
    Clean Sheet
    32%

Vasco vs Corinthians: Statistics and Analysis - Brazil Serie A 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Vasco vs Corinthians - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Brazil Serie A match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 22:30.

The venue is Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama.

The fixture is part of game week 32th of the Brazil Serie A season. Vasco currently sits in position 15th of the Brazil Serie A table. Corinthians occupies position 16th.

Stat Probabilities for Vasco vs Corinthians

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Vasco vs Corinthians at 63%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Vasco and Corinthians point to a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Vasco vs Corinthians prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Vasco vs Corinthians?

According to the latest match odds, Vasco is the favorite at 1.85 an implied probability of about 54.05%. The full 1X2 market has Vasco at 1.85, the draw at 4.211, and Corinthians at 5.479.

Overall performance in the Brazil Serie A

Vasco's record so far reads 9W-8D-13L from 30 played a win rate of 30% at 1.17 points per game.

Corinthians stands at 8W-9D-14L from 31 played, winning 26% of their matches at 1.06 points per game.

In their last five, Vasco has gone 3W-1D-1L, averaging 2 points per game.

Corinthians's last five read 0W-1D-4L, at 0.2 points per game.

At home, Vasco has a 47% win rate (7W-3D-5L from 15 played).

On the road, Corinthians has won 20% of their matches (3W-5D-7L from 15 played).

Goal statistics for Vasco vs Corinthians

In attack, Vasco averages 1.2 goals scored per game in the Brazil Serie A (36 in total), while conceding 1.43 per game (43 in total).

Corinthians averages 1.03 goals scored per game (32 in total) and 1.26 conceded per game (39 in total).

Vasco's top scorer this season is Andres Gomez, with 5 goals.

For Corinthians, Yuri Alberto Monteiro da Silva leads the scoring charts with 4 goals this season.

Vasco's main creator is José Luis Rodríguez Bebanz, with 4 assists.

Rodrigo Garro tops the Corinthians assist chart with 6.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Vasco vs Corinthians

Vasco and Corinthians have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Vasco wins: 1

  • Draws: 2

  • Corinthians wins: 9

Frequently asked questions about Vasco vs Corinthians

When is Vasco vs Corinthians?

The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 22:30.

What is the head-to-head record between Vasco and Corinthians?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 1-2-9 (Vasco wins – draws – Corinthians wins).

What was the last match between Vasco and Corinthians?

The two sides last met on 26/04/2026, and the result was Corinthians 1 vs 0 Vasco. Full details: Vasco vs Corinthians, 26/04/2026.

Who is the favorite in Vasco vs Corinthians?

Vasco is the favorite at odds of 1.85, an implied probability of about 54.05%. Vasco is priced at 1.85, the draw at 4.211 and Corinthians at 5.479.

Where can I find a Vasco vs Corinthians prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Vasco vs Corinthians prediction page.

Where can I find Vasco vs Corinthians stats?

All key statistics for Vasco vs Corinthians are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Vasco vs Corinthians?

Live streaming information is available on our Vasco vs Corinthians stream page.