AD Pemba vs Chingale de Tete

Mozambique - Mocambola

v.s

09 Oct 2026 09:00

AD Pemba are creating the better shooting profile with average 1.67 overall shots and 0.69 xG. Their season scoring average is 0.53 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

53%
AD Pemba to win
29%
Draw
18%
Chingale de Tete to win

The result market leans toward AD Pemba at 60%. The points profile supports that read: AD Pemba average 1.63 PPG and Chingale de Tete average 0.44 PPG in the comparable split.

AD Pemba
0
wins
1
draws
Chingale de Tete
0
wins
0%
BTTS
0/1
0%
OVER 0.5
0/1
0%
OVER 1.5
0/1
0%
OVER 2.5
0/1

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Below average

    1.54

    League 1.69

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well below avg

    18%

    League 30%

  • Both Teams Score

    Below average

    24%

    League 30%

  • Corners

    Well below avg

    4.60

    League 10.08

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Chingale de Tete average 11.8 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.08, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    95%
    UNDER
    5%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    40%
    UNDER
    60%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    5%
    UNDER
    95%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    0%
    UNDER
    100%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Under 3.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

AD Pemba

Home

LLWWW
VS

Chingale de Tete

Away

WLLLD

Points & Results

  • 1.00
    PPG
    0.63
  • 29%
    Wins
    11%
  • 24%
    First to Score
    11%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 0.53
    Scored/game
    0.26
  • 1.12
    Conceded/game
    0.89
  • 0.69
    xG
    0.58
  • 1.62
    xGA
    1.37

Trends

  • 18%
    Both Score
    16%
  • 29%
    Clean Sheet
    37%

AD Pemba vs Chingale de Tete: Statistics and Analysis - Mocambola 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for AD Pemba vs Chingale de Tete - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

The fixture is part of game week 22th of the Mocambola season. AD Pemba currently sits in position 12th of the Mocambola table. Chingale de Tete occupies position 13th.

Stat Probabilities for AD Pemba vs Chingale de Tete

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in AD Pemba vs Chingale de Tete at 24%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for AD Pemba and Chingale de Tete point to a 18% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the AD Pemba vs Chingale de Tete prediction page.

Who is the favorite in AD Pemba vs Chingale de Tete?

According to the latest match odds, AD Pemba is the favorite at 1.89 an implied probability of about 52.91%. The full 1X2 market has AD Pemba at 1.89, the draw at 3.25, and Chingale de Tete at 5.34.

Overall performance in the Mocambola

AD Pemba's record so far reads 5W-2D-10L from 17 played a win rate of 29% at 1 points per game.

Chingale de Tete stands at 2W-6D-11L from 19 played, winning 11% of their matches at 0.63 points per game.

In their last five, AD Pemba has gone 3W-0D-2L, averaging 1.8 points per game.

Chingale de Tete's last five read 1W-1D-3L, at 0.8 points per game.

At home, AD Pemba has a 50% win rate (4W-1D-3L from 8 played).

On the road, Chingale de Tete has won 11% of their matches (1W-1D-7L from 9 played).

Goal statistics for AD Pemba vs Chingale de Tete

In attack, AD Pemba averages 0.53 goals scored per game in the Mocambola (9 in total), while conceding 1.12 per game (19 in total).

Chingale de Tete averages 0.26 goals scored per game (5 in total) and 0.89 conceded per game (17 in total).

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Frequently asked questions about AD Pemba vs Chingale de Tete

What was the last match between AD Pemba and Chingale de Tete?

The two sides last met on 28/06/2026, and the result was Chingale de Tete 0 vs 0 AD Pemba. Full details: AD Pemba vs Chingale de Tete, 28/06/2026.

Who is the favorite in AD Pemba vs Chingale de Tete?

AD Pemba is the favorite at odds of 1.89, an implied probability of about 52.91%. AD Pemba is priced at 1.89, the draw at 3.25 and Chingale de Tete at 5.34.

Where can I find AD Pemba vs Chingale de Tete stats?

All key statistics for AD Pemba vs Chingale de Tete are on this page, updated in real time.