Bahia vs Atlético-MG

Brazil - Brazil Serie A

v.s

01 Dec 2026 19:00

Bahia
4
wins
3
draws
Atlético-MG
5
wins
58%
BTTS
7/12
100%
OVER 0.5
12/12
92%
OVER 1.5
11/12
58%
OVER 2.5
7/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Well above avg

    2.35

    League 0.00

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well above avg

    45%

    League 0%

  • Both Teams Score

    Well above avg

    48%

    League 0%

  • Cards

    Well above avg

    4.98

    League 0.00

  • Corners

    Well above avg

    10.66

    League 0.00

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    90%
    UNDER
    10%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    70%
    UNDER
    30%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    55%
    UNDER
    45%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    25%
    UNDER
    75%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 90% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Bahia vs Atlético-MG: Statistics and Analysis - Brazil Serie A 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Bahia vs Atlético-MG - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Brazil Serie A match will be played on 02/12/2026 (Wednesday) at 00:00.

The fixture is part of game week 38th of the Brazil Serie A season. Bahia currently sits in position 5th of the Brazil Serie A table. Atlético-MG occupies position 1st.

Stat Probabilities for Bahia vs Atlético-MG

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Bahia vs Atlético-MG at 48%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Bahia and Atlético-MG point to a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Bahia vs Atlético-MG prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Bahia vs Atlético-MG?

According to the latest match odds, is the favorite at an implied probability of about 0%. The full 1X2 market has Bahia at , the draw at , and Atlético-MG at .

Overall performance in the Brazil Serie A

Bahia's record so far reads 13W-10D-7L from 30 played a win rate of 43% at 1.63 points per game.

Atlético-MG stands at 6W-2D-3L from 11 played, winning 55% of their matches at 1.82 points per game.

In their last five, Bahia has gone 3W-0D-2L, averaging 1.8 points per game.

Atlético-MG's last five read 3W-1D-1L, at 2 points per game.

At home, Bahia has a 73% win rate (11W-3D-1L from 15 played).

On the road, Atlético-MG has won 20% of their matches (1W-1D-3L from 5 played).

Goal statistics for Bahia vs Atlético-MG

In attack, Bahia averages 1.47 goals scored per game in the Brazil Serie A (29 in total), while conceding 1.2 per game (10 in total).

Atlético-MG averages 1.64 goals scored per game (4 in total) and 1.09 conceded per game (7 in total).

Bahia's top scorer this season is Luciano Batista da Silva Junior, with 10 goals.

For Atlético-MG, Hulk leads the scoring charts with 7 goals this season.

Bahia's main creator is Gilberto Moraes Junior, with 4 assists.

Hulk tops the Atlético-MG assist chart with 5.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Bahia vs Atlético-MG

Bahia and Atlético-MG have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Bahia wins: 4

  • Draws: 3

  • Atlético-MG wins: 5

Frequently asked questions about Bahia vs Atlético-MG

When is Bahia vs Atlético-MG?

The match will be played on 02/12/2026 (Wednesday) at 00:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Bahia and Atlético-MG?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 4-3-5 (Bahia wins – draws – Atlético-MG wins).

What was the last match between Bahia and Atlético-MG?

The two sides last met on 21/07/2026, and the result was Atlético-MG 1 vs 1 Bahia. Full details: Bahia vs Atlético-MG, 21/07/2026.

Who is the favorite in Bahia vs Atlético-MG?

is the favorite at odds of , an implied probability of about 0%. Bahia is priced at , the draw at and Atlético-MG at .

Where can I find a Bahia vs Atlético-MG prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Bahia vs Atlético-MG prediction page.

Where can I find Bahia vs Atlético-MG stats?

All key statistics for Bahia vs Atlético-MG are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Bahia vs Atlético-MG?

Live streaming information is available on our Bahia vs Atlético-MG stream page.