Atlético Grau vs ADT Tarma

Peru - Primera División

v.s

23 Oct 2026 16:15

ADT Tarma are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.72 overall shots and 1.44 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.03 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

57%
Atlético Grau to win
26%
Draw
17%
ADT Tarma to win

The result market leans toward Atlético Grau at 61%. The points profile supports that read: Atlético Grau average 1.71 PPG and ADT Tarma average 0.5 PPG in the comparable split.

Atlético Grau
3
wins
3
draws
ADT Tarma
4
wins
70%
BTTS
7/10
100%
OVER 0.5
10/10
80%
OVER 1.5
8/10
50%
OVER 2.5
5/10

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Below average

    2.33

    League 2.77

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Below average

    43%

    League 54%

  • Both Teams Score

    Below average

    45%

    League 59%

  • Cards

    Average

    5.38

    League 5.07

  • Corners

    Average

    8.38

    League 8.82

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. ADT Tarma average 8.57 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 8.82, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    85%
    UNDER
    15%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    65%
    UNDER
    35%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    50%
    UNDER
    50%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    35%
    UNDER
    65%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 85% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Atlético Grau

Home

LDLWL
VS

ADT Tarma

Away

LDWLL

Points & Results

  • 1.14
    PPG
    0.90
  • 31%
    Wins
    21%
  • 34%
    First to Score
    34%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 0.93
    Scored/game
    1.03
  • 1.17
    Conceded/game
    1.52
  • 1.32
    xG
    1.44
  • 1.57
    xGA
    1.36

Trends

  • 38%
    Both Score
    52%
  • 34%
    Clean Sheet
    24%

Atlético Grau vs ADT Tarma: Statistics and Analysis - Primera División 2026

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Atlético Grau vs ADT Tarma - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Primera División match will be played on 23/10/2026 (Friday) at 21:15.

The venue is Estadio Miguel Grau.

The fixture is part of game week 13th of the Primera División season. Atlético Grau currently sits in position 13th of the Primera División table. ADT Tarma occupies position 17th.

Stat Probabilities for Atlético Grau vs ADT Tarma

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Atlético Grau vs ADT Tarma at 45%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Atlético Grau and ADT Tarma point to a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

ADT Tarma over 1.5 goals conceded: based on their record, there is a 71% chance of ADT Tarma conceding 2 or more goals.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Atlético Grau vs ADT Tarma prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Atlético Grau vs ADT Tarma?

According to the latest match odds, Atlético Grau is the favorite at 1.73 an implied probability of about 57.80%. The full 1X2 market has Atlético Grau at 1.73, the draw at 4.167, and ADT Tarma at 5.714.

Overall performance in the Primera División

Atlético Grau's record so far reads 9W-6D-14L from 29 played a win rate of 31% at 1.14 points per game.

ADT Tarma stands at 6W-8D-15L from 29 played, winning 21% of their matches at 0.9 points per game.

In their last five, Atlético Grau has gone 1W-1D-3L, averaging 0.8 points per game.

ADT Tarma's last five read 1W-1D-3L, at 0.8 points per game.

At home, Atlético Grau has a 50% win rate (7W-3D-4L from 14 played).

On the road, ADT Tarma has won 7% of their matches (1W-4D-9L from 14 played).

Goal statistics for Atlético Grau vs ADT Tarma

In attack, Atlético Grau averages 0.93 goals scored per game in the Primera División (27 in total), while conceding 1.17 per game (34 in total).

ADT Tarma averages 1.03 goals scored per game (30 in total) and 1.52 conceded per game (44 in total).

Atlético Grau's top scorer this season is Néstor Adrián Fernández Palacios, with 4 goals.

For ADT Tarma, Jonathan Bauman leads the scoring charts with 5 goals this season.

Atlético Grau's main creator is Rafael Guarderas Saravia, with 3 assists.

Carlos Miguel Cabello Anagua tops the ADT Tarma assist chart with 8.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Atlético Grau vs ADT Tarma

Atlético Grau and ADT Tarma have met 10 times in recent years. The record:

  • Atlético Grau wins: 3

  • Draws: 3

  • ADT Tarma wins: 4

Frequently asked questions about Atlético Grau vs ADT Tarma

When is Atlético Grau vs ADT Tarma?

The match will be played on 23/10/2026 (Friday) at 21:15.

What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Grau and ADT Tarma?

Across their last 10 meetings the record is 3-3-4 (Atlético Grau wins – draws – ADT Tarma wins).

What was the last match between Atlético Grau and ADT Tarma?

The two sides last met on 02/05/2026, and the result was ADT Tarma 1 vs 0 Atlético Grau. Full details: Atlético Grau vs ADT Tarma, 02/05/2026.

Who is the favorite in Atlético Grau vs ADT Tarma?

Atlético Grau is the favorite at odds of 1.73, an implied probability of about 57.80%. Atlético Grau is priced at 1.73, the draw at 4.167 and ADT Tarma at 5.714.

Where can I find a Atlético Grau vs ADT Tarma prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Atlético Grau vs ADT Tarma prediction page.

Where can I find Atlético Grau vs ADT Tarma stats?

All key statistics for Atlético Grau vs ADT Tarma are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Atlético Grau vs ADT Tarma?

Live streaming information is available on our Atlético Grau vs ADT Tarma stream page.