Almería vs Real Oviedo

Spain - La Liga 2

v.s

24 Oct 2026 15:00

Real Oviedo are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.9 overall shots and 1.62 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.3 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

56%
Almería to win
25%
Draw
19%
Real Oviedo to win

The result market leans toward Almería at 60%. The points profile supports that read: Almería average 3 PPG and Real Oviedo average 1.8 PPG in the comparable split.

Almería
4
wins
4
draws
Real Oviedo
4
wins
67%
BTTS
8/12
92%
OVER 0.5
11/12
83%
OVER 1.5
10/12
50%
OVER 2.5
6/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Above average

    3.20

    League 2.65

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well above avg

    80%

    League 49%

  • Both Teams Score

    Average

    50%

    League 50%

  • Cards

    Below average

    4.20

    League 5.47

  • Corners

    Average

    9.40

    League 9.18

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Real Oviedo average 10.4 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.18, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    90%
    UNDER
    10%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    65%
    UNDER
    35%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    50%
    UNDER
    50%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    25%
    UNDER
    75%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 90% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Almería

Home

WWWWW
VS

Real Oviedo

Away

WWLWL

Points & Results

  • 2.40
    PPG
    1.70
  • 80%
    Wins
    50%
  • 70%
    First to Score
    60%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 2.00
    Scored/game
    1.30
  • 0.70
    Conceded/game
    1.00
  • 1.46
    xG
    1.62
  • 1.42
    xGA
    1.54

Trends

  • 30%
    Both Score
    40%
  • 50%
    Clean Sheet
    50%

Almería vs Real Oviedo: Statistics and Analysis - La Liga 2 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Almería vs Real Oviedo - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This La Liga 2 match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 20:00.

The venue is Estadio del Mediterráneo.

The fixture is part of game week 11th of the La Liga 2 season. Almería currently sits in position 1st of the La Liga 2 table. Real Oviedo occupies position 8th.

Stat Probabilities for Almería vs Real Oviedo

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Almería vs Real Oviedo at 50%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Almería and Real Oviedo point to a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

Almería over 1.5 goals scored: the numbers give Almería a 100% chance of scoring 2 or more goals.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Almería vs Real Oviedo prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Almería vs Real Oviedo?

According to the latest match odds, Almería is the favorite at 1.77 an implied probability of about 56.50%. The full 1X2 market has Almería at 1.77, the draw at 4.17, and Real Oviedo at 5.714.

Overall performance in the La Liga 2

Almería's record so far reads 8W-0D-2L from 10 played a win rate of 80% at 2.4 points per game.

Real Oviedo stands at 5W-2D-3L from 10 played, winning 50% of their matches at 1.7 points per game.

In their last five, Almería has gone 5W-0D-0L, averaging 3 points per game.

Real Oviedo's last five read 3W-0D-2L, at 1.8 points per game.

At home, Almería has a 100% win rate (5W-0D-0L from 5 played).

On the road, Real Oviedo has won 60% of their matches (3W-0D-2L from 5 played).

Goal statistics for Almería vs Real Oviedo

In attack, Almería averages 2 goals scored per game in the La Liga 2 (20 in total), while conceding 0.7 per game (7 in total).

Real Oviedo averages 1.3 goals scored per game (13 in total) and 1 conceded per game (10 in total).

Almería's top scorer this season is Sergio Arribas, with 26 goals.

For Real Oviedo, Federico Sebastián Viñas Barboza leads the scoring charts with 9 goals this season.

Almería's main creator is Adrián Embarba, with 11 assists.

Thiago Cruz Fernández tops the Real Oviedo assist chart with 4.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Almería vs Real Oviedo

Almería and Real Oviedo have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Almería wins: 4

  • Draws: 4

  • Real Oviedo wins: 4

Frequently asked questions about Almería vs Real Oviedo

When is Almería vs Real Oviedo?

The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 20:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Almería and Real Oviedo?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 4-4-4 (Almería wins – draws – Real Oviedo wins).

What was the last match between Almería and Real Oviedo?

The two sides last met on 11/06/2025, and the result was Real Oviedo 1 vs 1 Almería. Full details: Almería vs Real Oviedo, 11/06/2025.

Who is the favorite in Almería vs Real Oviedo?

Almería is the favorite at odds of 1.77, an implied probability of about 56.50%. Almería is priced at 1.77, the draw at 4.17 and Real Oviedo at 5.714.

Where can I find a Almería vs Real Oviedo prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Almería vs Real Oviedo prediction page.

Where can I find Almería vs Real Oviedo stats?

All key statistics for Almería vs Real Oviedo are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Almería vs Real Oviedo?

Live streaming information is available on our Almería vs Real Oviedo stream page.