Alianza Atlético vs Deportivo Garcilaso
Peru - Primera División
Alianza Atlético are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.17 overall shots and 1.54 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.5 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.
Result Probability
The result market leans toward Alianza Atlético at 51%. The points profile supports that read: Alianza Atlético average 2 PPG and Deportivo Garcilaso average 0.93 PPG in the comparable split.
- 11/05/2026, 18:00Primera DivisiónDeportivo Garcilaso2 - 1Alianza Atlético11/05/2026, 18:00Primera DivisiónDeportivo Garcilaso
2 - 1
Alianza Atlético - 04/03/2026, 02:00Copa SudamericanaAlianza Atlético2 - 0Deportivo Garcilaso04/03/2026, 02:00Copa SudamericanaAlianza Atlético
2 - 0
Deportivo Garcilaso - 05/10/2025, 22:30Primera DivisiónDeportivo Garcilaso2 - 4Alianza Atlético05/10/2025, 22:30Primera DivisiónDeportivo Garcilaso
2 - 4
Alianza Atlético - 16/05/2025, 20:30Primera DivisiónAlianza Atlético1 - 0Deportivo Garcilaso16/05/2025, 20:30Primera DivisiónAlianza Atlético
1 - 0
Deportivo Garcilaso - 16/05/2025, 20:30Primera DivisiónAlianza Atlético1 - 0Deportivo Garcilaso16/05/2025, 20:30Primera DivisiónAlianza Atlético
1 - 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Average
2.69League 2.79
Over 2.5 Goals
Below average
49%League 54%
Both Teams Score
Average
58%League 59%
Cards
Average
4.74League 5.06
Corners
Below average
7.80League 8.84
Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Deportivo Garcilaso average 10.07 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 8.84, which points to sustained attacking territory.
Over / Under
0.5
1+ gol
OVER95%UNDER5%1.5
2+ gol
OVER70%UNDER30%2.5
3+ gol
OVER60%UNDER40%3.5
4+ gol
OVER55%UNDER45%
The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 95% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.
Team Performance
Alianza Atlético
Home
Deportivo Garcilaso
Away
Points & Results
- 1.43PPG1.66
- 40%Wins48%
- 43%First to Score62%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.501.41
- Conceded/game1.471.00
- xG1.541.38
- xGA1.361.48
Trends
- 70%Both Score45%
- 20%Clean Sheet38%
- 24/10/2026, 17:45Primera DivisiónSport Huancayo4 - 1LAlianza Atlético24/10/2026, 17:45Primera DivisiónSport Huancayo
4 - 1
Alianza AtléticoL - 18/10/2026, 20:30Primera DivisiónAlianza Atlético1 - 4LUniversitario18/10/2026, 20:30Primera DivisiónAlianza Atlético
1 - 4
UniversitarioL - 11/10/2026, 20:30Primera DivisiónSport Boys1 - 3WAlianza Atlético11/10/2026, 20:30Primera DivisiónSport Boys
1 - 3
Alianza AtléticoW - 18/09/2026, 20:00Primera DivisiónAlianza Atlético2 - 1WComerciantes Unidos18/09/2026, 20:00Primera DivisiónAlianza Atlético
2 - 1
Comerciantes UnidosW - 13/09/2026, 20:15Primera DivisiónAtlético Grau3 - 1LAlianza Atlético13/09/2026, 20:15Primera DivisiónAtlético Grau
3 - 1
Alianza AtléticoL - 04/09/2026, 20:15Primera DivisiónAlianza Atlético3 - 2WUTC04/09/2026, 20:15Primera DivisiónAlianza Atlético
3 - 2
UTCW - 30/08/2026, 16:00Primera DivisiónDeportivo Moquegua1 - 4WAlianza Atlético30/08/2026, 16:00Primera DivisiónDeportivo Moquegua
1 - 4
Alianza AtléticoW
Alianza Atlético scored in 7/7 recent form matches and averaged 2.14 goals.
- 17/10/2026, 23:00Primera DivisiónMelgar4 - 2LDeportivo Garcilaso17/10/2026, 23:00Primera DivisiónMelgar
4 - 2
Deportivo GarcilasoL - 10/10/2026, 01:00Primera DivisiónDeportivo Garcilaso0 - 1LSport Huancayo10/10/2026, 01:00Primera DivisiónDeportivo Garcilaso
0 - 1
Sport HuancayoL - 19/09/2026, 23:00Primera DivisiónDeportivo Garcilaso4 - 0WUniversitario19/09/2026, 23:00Primera DivisiónDeportivo Garcilaso
4 - 0
UniversitarioW - 13/09/2026, 18:00Primera DivisiónSport Boys1 - 0LDeportivo Garcilaso13/09/2026, 18:00Primera DivisiónSport Boys
1 - 0
Deportivo GarcilasoL - 06/09/2026, 18:30Primera DivisiónDeportivo Garcilaso4 - 2WAtlético Grau06/09/2026, 18:30Primera DivisiónDeportivo Garcilaso
4 - 2
Atlético GrauW - 30/08/2026, 00:30Primera DivisiónAlianza Lima0 - 1WDeportivo Garcilaso30/08/2026, 00:30Primera DivisiónAlianza Lima
0 - 1
Deportivo GarcilasoW - 23/08/2026, 00:00Primera DivisiónDeportivo Garcilaso4 - 1WCusco FC23/08/2026, 00:00Primera DivisiónDeportivo Garcilaso
4 - 1
Cusco FCW
Deportivo Garcilaso scored in 5/7 recent form matches and averaged 2.14 goals.
Alianza Atlético is +6% better in terms of Scored/game
Deportivo Garcilaso is +47% better in terms of Conceded/game
Alianza Atlético is +12% better in terms of xG
Alianza Atlético is +9% better in terms of xGA
Deportivo Garcilaso is +33% better in terms of First-Half Form
Both teams are equal in terms of Offsides
Deportivo Garcilaso is +3% better in terms of Corners
Alianza Atlético is +12% better in terms of Cards
Alianza Atlético is +13% better in terms of Shots on Target
Predicted Lineup
Starting
Alianza Atlético
Deportivo Garcilaso
| # | Form | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 29 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 49 | 20 | +29 | 62 | |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 52 | 34 | +18 | 56 | |
| 3 | Melgar | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 53 | 34 | +19 | 53 | |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 41 | 29 | +12 | 48 | |
| 5 | Cusco FC | 30 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 43 | +2 | 48 | |
| 6 | Cienciano | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 49 | 40 | +9 | 47 | |
| 7 | Los Chankas | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 46 | |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 54 | 45 | +9 | 44 | |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 44 | |
| 10 | Alianza Atlético | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 45 | 44 | +1 | 43 | |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 38 | |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 38 | |
| 13 | Atlético Grau | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 34 | |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 31 | |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 28 | |
| 16 | Deportivo Moquegua | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 28 | |
| 17 | ADT Tarma | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 27 | |
| 18 | UTC | 30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 20 |
Alianza Atlético vs Deportivo Garcilaso: Statistics and Analysis - Primera División 2026
On this page you can check all the key statistics for Alianza Atlético vs Deportivo Garcilaso - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
This Primera División match will be played on 28/10/2026 (Wednesday) at 20:30.
The fixture is part of game week 14th of the Primera División season. Alianza Atlético currently sits in position 10th of the Primera División table. Deportivo Garcilaso occupies position 4th.
Stat Probabilities for Alianza Atlético vs Deportivo Garcilaso
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Alianza Atlético vs Deportivo Garcilaso at 58%.
Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Alianza Atlético and Deportivo Garcilaso point to a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the Alianza Atlético vs Deportivo Garcilaso prediction page.
Who is the favorite in Alianza Atlético vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
According to the latest match odds, Alianza Atlético is the favorite at 2.1 an implied probability of about 47.62%. The full 1X2 market has Alianza Atlético at 2.1, the draw at 3.96, and Deportivo Garcilaso at 4.37.
Overall performance in the Primera División
Alianza Atlético's record so far reads 12W-7D-11L from 30 played a win rate of 40% at 1.43 points per game.
Deportivo Garcilaso stands at 14W-6D-9L from 29 played, winning 48% of their matches at 1.66 points per game.
In their last five, Alianza Atlético has gone 2W-0D-3L, averaging 1.2 points per game.
Deportivo Garcilaso's last five read 2W-0D-3L, at 1.2 points per game.
At home, Alianza Atlético has a 57% win rate (8W-4D-2L from 14 played).
On the road, Deportivo Garcilaso has won 21% of their matches (3W-4D-7L from 14 played).
Goal statistics for Alianza Atlético vs Deportivo Garcilaso
In attack, Alianza Atlético averages 1.5 goals scored per game in the Primera División (45 in total), while conceding 1.47 per game (44 in total).
Deportivo Garcilaso averages 1.41 goals scored per game (41 in total) and 1 conceded per game (29 in total).
Alianza Atlético's top scorer this season is Cristian Anderson Penilla Caicedo, with 9 goals.
For Deportivo Garcilaso, Luiz Humberto da Silva Silva leads the scoring charts with 11 goals this season.
Alianza Atlético's main creator is Cristian Anderson Penilla Caicedo, with 6 assists.
Francisco Andrés Arancibia Silva tops the Deportivo Garcilaso assist chart with 6.
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Head-to-head: Alianza Atlético vs Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Atlético and Deportivo Garcilaso have met 9 times in recent years. The record:
Alianza Atlético wins: 7
Draws: 0
Deportivo Garcilaso wins: 2
Frequently asked questions about Alianza Atlético vs Deportivo Garcilaso
When is Alianza Atlético vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
The match will be played on 28/10/2026 (Wednesday) at 20:30.
What is the head-to-head record between Alianza Atlético and Deportivo Garcilaso?
Across their last 9 meetings the record is 7-0-2 (Alianza Atlético wins – draws – Deportivo Garcilaso wins).
What was the last match between Alianza Atlético and Deportivo Garcilaso?
The two sides last met on 11/05/2026, and the result was Deportivo Garcilaso 2 vs 1 Alianza Atlético. Full details: Alianza Atlético vs Deportivo Garcilaso, 11/05/2026.
Who is the favorite in Alianza Atlético vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Alianza Atlético is the favorite at odds of 2.1, an implied probability of about 47.62%. Alianza Atlético is priced at 2.1, the draw at 3.96 and Deportivo Garcilaso at 4.37.
Where can I find a Alianza Atlético vs Deportivo Garcilaso prediction?
You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Alianza Atlético vs Deportivo Garcilaso prediction page.
Where can I find Alianza Atlético vs Deportivo Garcilaso stats?
All key statistics for Alianza Atlético vs Deportivo Garcilaso are on this page, updated in real time.
Where can I watch Alianza Atlético vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Live streaming information is available on our Alianza Atlético vs Deportivo Garcilaso stream page.