Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax

Netherlands - Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam

v.s

25 Oct 2026 11:45

Ajax

Ajax are creating the better shooting profile with average 7.89 overall shots and 2.48 xG. Their season scoring average is 3 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

14%
Sparta Rotterdam to win
19%
Draw
67%
Ajax to win

The result market leans toward Ajax at 67%. The points profile supports that read: Sparta Rotterdam average 1 PPG and Ajax average 3 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
Sparta Rotterdam
0
wins
3
draws
Ajax
9
wins
50%
BTTS
6/12
100%
OVER 0.5
12/12
75%
OVER 1.5
9/12
58%
OVER 2.5
7/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Above average

    4.38

    League 3.84

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Average

    78%

    League 75%

  • Both Teams Score

    Below average

    55%

    League 72%

  • Cards

    Well above avg

    4.05

    League 2.94

  • Corners

    Well above avg

    13.45

    League 10.35

Based on 81 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Sparta Rotterdam average 12.4 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.35, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    100%
    UNDER
    0%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    94%
    UNDER
    6%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    83%
    UNDER
    17%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    77%
    UNDER
    23%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Sparta Rotterdam

Home

WDLLD
VS

Ajax

Away

WDDWW

Points & Results

  • 1.00
    PPG
    2.00
  • 22%
    Wins
    56%
  • 33%
    First to Score
    89%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.78
    Scored/game
    3.00
  • 2.44
    Conceded/game
    1.33
  • 1.59
    xG
    2.48
  • 1.91
    xGA
    1.16

Trends

  • 78%
    Both Score
    78%
  • 0%
    Clean Sheet
    22%

Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax: Statistics and Analysis - Eredivisie 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Eredivisie match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 15:45.

The fixture is part of game week 10th of the Eredivisie season. Sparta Rotterdam currently sits in position 13th of the Eredivisie table. Ajax occupies position 4th.

Stat Probabilities for Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax at 55%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax point to a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax?

According to the latest match odds, Ajax is the favorite at 1.48 an implied probability of about 67.57%. The full 1X2 market has Sparta Rotterdam at 7.17, the draw at 5.59, and Ajax at 1.48.

Overall performance in the Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam's record so far reads 2W-3D-4L from 9 played a win rate of 22% at 1 points per game.

Ajax stands at 5W-3D-1L from 9 played, winning 56% of their matches at 2 points per game.

In their last five, Sparta Rotterdam has gone 1W-2D-2L, averaging 1 points per game.

Ajax's last five read 3W-2D-0L, at 2.2 points per game.

At home, Sparta Rotterdam has a 20% win rate (1W-2D-2L from 5 played).

On the road, Ajax has won 100% of their matches (4W-0D-0L from 4 played).

Goal statistics for Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax

In attack, Sparta Rotterdam averages 1.78 goals scored per game in the Eredivisie (16 in total), while conceding 2.44 per game (22 in total).

Ajax averages 3 goals scored per game (27 in total) and 1.33 conceded per game (12 in total).

Sparta Rotterdam's top scorer this season is Tobias Lauritsen, with 12 goals.

For Ajax, Mika Godts leads the scoring charts with 17 goals this season.

Sparta Rotterdam's main creator is Tobias Lauritsen, with 5 assists.

Mika Godts tops the Ajax assist chart with 13.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax

Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Sparta Rotterdam wins: 0

  • Draws: 3

  • Ajax wins: 9

Frequently asked questions about Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax

When is Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 15:45.

What is the head-to-head record between Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 0-3-9 (Sparta Rotterdam wins – draws – Ajax wins).

What was the last match between Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax?

The two sides last met on 14/03/2026, and the result was Ajax 4 vs 0 Sparta Rotterdam. Full details: Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax, 14/03/2026.

Who is the favorite in Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax?

Ajax is the favorite at odds of 1.48, an implied probability of about 67.57%. Sparta Rotterdam is priced at 7.17, the draw at 5.59 and Ajax at 1.48.

Where can I find a Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax prediction page.

Where can I find Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax stats?

All key statistics for Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax?

Live streaming information is available on our Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax stream page.