Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar

Netherlands - Eredivisie

Ajax
Ajax

v.s

31 Oct 2026 16:00

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar

Ajax are creating the better shooting profile with average 7.5 overall shots and 2.4 xG. Their season scoring average is 2.9 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

55%
Ajax to win
22%
Draw
23%
AZ Alkmaar to win

The result market leans toward Ajax at 58%. The points profile supports that read: Ajax average 1.2 PPG and AZ Alkmaar average 2 PPG in the comparable split.

Head-to-Head
Ajax
1
wins
4
draws
AZ Alkmaar
7
wins
50%
BTTS
6/12
92%
OVER 0.5
11/12
92%
OVER 1.5
11/12
50%
OVER 2.5
6/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Average

    3.80

    League 3.80

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Average

    70%

    League 73%

  • Both Teams Score

    Above average

    80%

    League 72%

  • Cards

    Well above avg

    3.80

    League 3.00

  • Corners

    Well above avg

    14.80

    League 10.36

Based on 90 completed matches this season.

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. AZ Alkmaar average 11.4 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 10.36, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    100%
    UNDER
    0%

  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    95%
    UNDER
    5%

  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    60%
    UNDER
    40%

  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    55%
    UNDER
    45%

Based on the whole season for both teams combined

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Ajax

Home

WWDDW
VS

AZ Alkmaar

Away

LDLWD

Points & Results

  • 2.10
    PPG
    2.00
  • 60%
    Wins
    60%
  • 90%
    First to Score
    70%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 2.90
    Scored/game
    2.00
  • 1.30
    Conceded/game
    1.20
  • 2.40
    xG
    2.01
  • 1.19
    xGA
    1.09

Trends

  • 80%
    Both Score
    50%
  • 20%
    Clean Sheet
    30%

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar: Statistics and Analysis - Eredivisie 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Eredivisie match will be played on 31/10/2026 (Saturday) at 20:00.

The venue is Johan Cruijff Arena.

The fixture is part of game week 11th of the Eredivisie season. Ajax currently sits in position 2nd of the Eredivisie table. AZ Alkmaar occupies position 5th.

Stat Probabilities for Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar at 80%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Ajax and AZ Alkmaar point to a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

AZ Alkmaar over 1.5 goals scored: the numbers give AZ Alkmaar a 80% chance of scoring 2 or more goals.

AZ Alkmaar over 4.5 corners: AZ Alkmaar has taken 5 or more corners in 80% of their matches in the competition.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar?

According to the latest match odds, Ajax is the favorite at 1.83 an implied probability of about 54.64%. The full 1X2 market has Ajax at 1.83, the draw at 4.878, and AZ Alkmaar at 4.444.

Overall performance in the Eredivisie

Ajax's record so far reads 6W-3D-1L from 10 played a win rate of 60% at 2.1 points per game.

AZ Alkmaar stands at 6W-2D-2L from 10 played, winning 60% of their matches at 2 points per game.

In their last five, Ajax has gone 3W-2D-0L, averaging 2.2 points per game.

AZ Alkmaar's last five read 1W-2D-2L, at 1 points per game.

At home, Ajax has a 20% win rate (1W-3D-1L from 5 played).

On the road, AZ Alkmaar has won 60% of their matches (3W-1D-1L from 5 played).

Goal statistics for Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar

In attack, Ajax averages 2.9 goals scored per game in the Eredivisie (29 in total), while conceding 1.3 per game (13 in total).

AZ Alkmaar averages 2 goals scored per game (20 in total) and 1.2 conceded per game (12 in total).

Ajax's top scorer this season is Mika Godts, with 17 goals.

For AZ Alkmaar, Troy Parrott leads the scoring charts with 17 goals this season.

Ajax's main creator is Mika Godts, with 13 assists.

Kees Smit tops the AZ Alkmaar assist chart with 6.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar

Ajax and AZ Alkmaar have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Ajax wins: 1

  • Draws: 4

  • AZ Alkmaar wins: 7

Frequently asked questions about Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar

When is Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar?

The match will be played on 31/10/2026 (Saturday) at 20:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Ajax and AZ Alkmaar?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 1-4-7 (Ajax wins – draws – AZ Alkmaar wins).

What was the last match between Ajax and AZ Alkmaar?

The two sides last met on 08/02/2026, and the result was AZ Alkmaar 1 vs 1 Ajax. Full details: Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar, 08/02/2026.

Who is the favorite in Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar?

Ajax is the favorite at odds of 1.83, an implied probability of about 54.64%. Ajax is priced at 1.83, the draw at 4.878 and AZ Alkmaar at 4.444.

Where can I find a Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar prediction page.

Where can I find Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar stats?

All key statistics for Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar?

Live streaming information is available on our Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar stream page.