Milan vs Fiorentina

Italy - Serie A

v.s

05 Jan 2027 14:45

Milan
7
wins
2
draws
Fiorentina
3
wins
75%
BTTS
9/12
100%
OVER 0.5
12/12
83%
OVER 1.5
10/12
67%
OVER 2.5
8/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Well above avg

    3.83

    League 0.00

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well above avg

    84%

    League 0%

  • Both Teams Score

    Well above avg

    50%

    League 0%

  • Cards

    Well above avg

    2.67

    League 0.00

  • Corners

    Well above avg

    5.67

    League 0.00

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    100%
    UNDER
    0%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    100%
    UNDER
    0%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    71%
    UNDER
    29%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    35%
    UNDER
    65%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Milan vs Fiorentina: Statistics and Analysis - Serie A 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Milan vs Fiorentina - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Serie A match will be played on 05/01/2027 (Tuesday) at 19:45.

The fixture is part of game week 18th of the Serie A season. Milan currently sits in position 6th of the Serie A table. Fiorentina occupies position 17th.

Stat Probabilities for Milan vs Fiorentina

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Milan vs Fiorentina at 50%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Milan and Fiorentina point to a 84% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Milan vs Fiorentina prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Milan vs Fiorentina?

According to the latest match odds, is the favorite at an implied probability of about 0%. The full 1X2 market has Milan at , the draw at , and Fiorentina at .

Overall performance in the Serie A

Milan's record so far reads 3W-3D-0L from 6 played a win rate of 50% at 2 points per game.

Fiorentina stands at 1W-1D-3L from 5 played, winning 20% of their matches at 0.8 points per game.

In their last five, Milan has gone 2W-3D-0L, averaging 1.8 points per game.

Fiorentina's last five read 1W-1D-3L, at 0.8 points per game.

At home, Milan has a 150% win rate (3W-0D-1L from 2 played).

On the road, Fiorentina has won 50% of their matches (1W-0D-1L from 2 played).

Goal statistics for Milan vs Fiorentina

In attack, Milan averages 1.83 goals scored per game in the Serie A (7 in total), while conceding 0.83 per game (4 in total).

Fiorentina averages 1.2 goals scored per game (4 in total) and 2.4 conceded per game (6 in total).

Milan's top scorer this season is Rafael Leão, with 9 goals.

For Fiorentina, Moise Kean leads the scoring charts with 8 goals this season.

Milan's main creator is Christian Pulisic, with 4 assists.

Albert Gudmundsson tops the Fiorentina assist chart with 4.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Milan vs Fiorentina

Milan and Fiorentina have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Milan wins: 7

  • Draws: 2

  • Fiorentina wins: 3

Frequently asked questions about Milan vs Fiorentina

When is Milan vs Fiorentina?

The match will be played on 05/01/2027 (Tuesday) at 19:45.

What is the head-to-head record between Milan and Fiorentina?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 7-2-3 (Milan wins – draws – Fiorentina wins).

What was the last match between Milan and Fiorentina?

The two sides last met on 11/01/2026, and the result was Fiorentina 1 vs 1 Milan. Full details: Milan vs Fiorentina, 11/01/2026.

Who is the favorite in Milan vs Fiorentina?

is the favorite at odds of , an implied probability of about 0%. Milan is priced at , the draw at and Fiorentina at .

Where can I find a Milan vs Fiorentina prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Milan vs Fiorentina prediction page.

Where can I find Milan vs Fiorentina stats?

All key statistics for Milan vs Fiorentina are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Milan vs Fiorentina?

Live streaming information is available on our Milan vs Fiorentina stream page.